Political Gambler
paulmotty.bsky.social
Political Gambler
@paulmotty.bsky.social
30 years+ semi or professional gambler. Political analyst for Betfair and bylines at GQ, Politico, Reuters, CityAM.
www.politicalgambler.com
Media enquires: paulkrishnamurty@gmail.com
Who could possibly have predicted this?
Gosh, why and how could that be? Such an enigma!
November 15, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
If you're furious at the New York Times for the Olivia Nuzzi piece, watch my film Mr. Jones starring James Norton, Vanessa Kirby, on the long history of the NYT abusing power. They refused to let us show their articles covering up Stalin’s famine in Ukraine. youtu.be/wtWSyFNT9qY?...
MR. JONES - Official North American Trailer
YouTube video by Samuel Goldwyn Films
youtu.be
November 14, 2025 at 7:06 PM
My thoughts on the betting around Keir Starmer's exit date, for gambling.com

www.gambling.com/uk/news/keir...
Keir Starmer Exit Date Odds: Labour Have No Easy Path To Remove Their Leader
How long will Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer last as the UK's prime minister?...
www.gambling.com
November 13, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Verdict of one Labour grandee I just bumped into: “Ed Miliband is the person most likely to be the most next Prime Minister”.
November 13, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Can't wait to hear the rational explanation from the sensible, 'its all a conspiracy theory' crowd.
November 13, 2025 at 1:05 PM
The broad swathe of mainstream commentators who dismissed TrumpRussia, or indeed the Epstein files, as crazy, fringe conspiracy theories, should hang their heads in shame.
NEW: Jeffrey Epstein said in emails that he had been advising the Russian government on how to deal with Donald Trump, one of several cases in which he wielded his connections to try to influence the course of foreign affairs. w @nahaltoosi

www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 12, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
One thing is clear, the campaign to threaten and sue networks over their coverage definitely worked
"Trump has not been implicated in wrongdoing" -- CNN offers this dubious disclaimer in every interview they do about Epstein
November 12, 2025 at 8:09 PM
My latest for gambling.com analyses last week's US elections and forward to the midterms. I have one strong long-term bet to recommend.

www.gambling.com/uk/news/us-m...
US Midterm Election Odds 2026: Betting Points To Split Congress
The Dems are expected to take control of the House of Representatives in November 2026....
www.gambling.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Trump's actual quote, pre-edit, is more damning. This may be the stupidest, confected scandal yet.
Left: Donald Trump’s Jan 6th quote, as presented in the dossier that brought down two BBC bosses

Right: What Donald Trump actually said.

Full story in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social: www.thenewworld.co.uk/james-ball-e...
November 12, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Lots of stuff here that you won't read in most of the legacy media which seems completely uninterested in the backgrounds, associations and possible motivations of those behind the BBC crisis.

Why was the BBC having its homework marked by a lobbyist who hasn't worked as a journalist for 20 years?
🧵On our revelations today about the BBC Coup and the Prescott Dossier.

The leaked ‘BBC Bias’ memo Trump used to attack the BBC was authored by Michael Prescott — a Hanover lobbyist paid by US tech/media giants tied to Trump. Full story: bylinetimes.com/2025/11/11/b... 1/12
'BBC Bias' Memo Was Authored by Lobbyist Tied to Pro-Trump Tech Giants
The leaked memo that fuelled Trump’s attack on the BBC was written by a lobbyist at a firm paid by US tech giants tied to the President
bylinetimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Why are intelligent people who followed UK politics/media over the past decade surprised, shocked even, about Trump and the wars on truth and independent journalism?

Is it wilful blindness, or fear?
November 11, 2025 at 1:24 PM
The police investigation into how SNP spent £0.6M of private donations, which destabilised Nicola Sturgeon and involved her garden being dug up in front of TV crews, has cost the taxpayer £2.7M. #UKSR
November 7, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
все старое снова новое.
Q-dropping Russian sovereign wealth fund guy praises Putin for using American technology--given away by Trump 5 Jan 2021--to create his Burevestnik missiles with unlimited range, capable of attacking US cities while tagging Elon Musk to make sure he knows the same SMRs can help them colonize Mars.
November 4, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Q-dropping Russian sovereign wealth fund guy praises Putin for using American technology--given away by Trump 5 Jan 2021--to create his Burevestnik missiles with unlimited range, capable of attacking US cities while tagging Elon Musk to make sure he knows the same SMRs can help them colonize Mars.
November 4, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Notable in today's YouGov that the centre/left bloc - Lab/Green/LD/SNP are on 54%. With Reform/Tories on 43%. That's the biggest differential in a long time.

I think useful to track blocs given instability between parties at the moment.
November 4, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Political Gambler
I know it's got a little world of its own, but the Telegraph (and other right-wing papers) standing up for Trump against the BBC is a striking illustration of how far off the deep (state?) end they've gone.
Why Trump speech scandal could be costly for the BBC
Broadcaster should brace itself for US president’s retaliation to ‘doctored’ footage
www.telegraph.co.uk
November 4, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Most people dont realise they are in a race against time to fight back and shut it all down before the oligarchs finish building a complete police state with everything locked down. Gaza was the testing ground for what they are rapidly implementing at home.

In this video, The Intellectualist examines whether economic inequality in the U.S. today is worse than pre-revolutionary France. Using Federal Reserve, CBO data, and economic history, we reveal a shocking answer: the wealth gap in America is worse.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uXY...
Why America's Economic Inequality in 2024 Is Worse Than Pre-Revolutionary France
In this video, The Intellectualist explores a report by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, Trends in the Distribution of Family Wealth, 1989 to 2019, that...
www.youtube.com
November 1, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Add a dose of propaganda to your morning coffee.. This smells of Russian-like “special operation”
November 2, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Things universities can make national news for:
- people on the internet are a bit upset about the speaker selection of an obscure student group,
- a member of faculty copy-pasted a sentence of boilerplate methods language in her PhD thesis 30 years ago.
Things no one cares about:
- Bombs.
November 2, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Almost every large American city has signed a contract with Skydio in the last 18 months

Skydio drones were recently used by city police departments to gather information at the ‘No Kings’ protests & also used by Yale to spy on the anti-genocide protest camp set up by students at the last year
AI drones used in Gaza now surveilling American cities
Immediately after October 7, a little know company shipped over 100 reconnaissance drones to Israel for use in its siege of Gaza. Having been battle-tested on Palestinian civilians, the UAVs are now b...
open.substack.com
November 2, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Reposted by Political Gambler
Putler’s strategy here is - if you’re a fire department and want to get busy, you start causing fires. He comes in as the mediator who gets ahold of natural resources in return
November 1, 2025 at 10:00 PM
These are often the same people who said Musk was merely doing a 'Roman salute', that Kanye was a misunderstood victim and apparently never saw any of the swastikas on Jan 6th, Tea Party rallies etc.
Its truly wild that people who are paid to write about US politics have suddenly noticed, in late 2025, that the far-Right have an anti-semitic faction.
November 1, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Its truly wild that people who are paid to write about US politics have suddenly noticed, in late 2025, that the far-Right have an anti-semitic faction.
November 1, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Please. Enough of the hopium. MAGA will never implode because it is a Cult.
The MAGA coalition is imploding over its antisemitism problem, Tucker Carlson’s recent interview of Nick Fuentes, and Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts’ statement supporting Tucker after the backlash from the Fuentes interview. 1/
October 31, 2025 at 6:39 PM