Here's another way to show "progressive white liberals" are NOT the political base for reform DAs.

Here I define "white lib" tracts as college grad rate > 50%, Dem POTUS vote share > 75%.

Almost all are less pro-reform than ANY maj-Black tract.

Also: you can see white libs lose faith in 2020.

This likely confirms that the decision to arrest him was made at the highest levels of government, a terrifying return to the policies of ideological exclusion last seen used during the heights of the Cold War. A very, very worrying precedent at the start of this government.

sitting in my office, doing my silly little regressions on how people feel about politics, wondering if any of this shit matters anymore

RCJH!

It’s refreshing to see so many faces and voices on this app that I’ve been missing on the other one. As a preternatural lurker/consumer, it’s appreciated.

Why is Trump choosing B-list celebs and showboats to lead his government? 🧵

Choosing unserious, unqualified, or "wannabe" appointees to top government jobs is what authoritarian leaders do to secure loyalists in positions of authority. 1/5

(X'X)^-1 X'Y

Grad methods should teach:
-Gelman & Stern 2006 (below)
-Heinmueller et al. on interactions
-Data Colada on power
-Gelman on interaction power
-Jacob/me on post-treatment bias
-Franco et al. on dropping conditions/outcomes (still common in "preregistered" work)

So many of my reviews are about these