Patrick English
@patrick-pme.bsky.social
YouGov guy earning paychecks by researching public opinion, projecting elections, doing MRPs, running campaign and comms testing and development, figuring out how AI can help measure public opinion, and being a talking head in the media.
Ha, good spot Andy and thanks!
September 14, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Ha, good spot Andy and thanks!
If the answer is “not many” then the membership’s appetite for change over continuity could be diminished.
The bar for bath water removal becomes that little bit higher.
The bar for bath water removal becomes that little bit higher.
September 14, 2025 at 2:18 PM
If the answer is “not many” then the membership’s appetite for change over continuity could be diminished.
The bar for bath water removal becomes that little bit higher.
The bar for bath water removal becomes that little bit higher.
Precisely *who* these remaining members are vs those who have left will be a key driver in which way the membership will lean in the Deputy Leadership contest.
For example: how many of those 135,218 members who voted for Rebecca Long-Bailey in 2020 remain in the party now?
For example: how many of those 135,218 members who voted for Rebecca Long-Bailey in 2020 remain in the party now?
September 14, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Precisely *who* these remaining members are vs those who have left will be a key driver in which way the membership will lean in the Deputy Leadership contest.
For example: how many of those 135,218 members who voted for Rebecca Long-Bailey in 2020 remain in the party now?
For example: how many of those 135,218 members who voted for Rebecca Long-Bailey in 2020 remain in the party now?
Finally, while the public do prefer to have Keir Starmer over Labour's current top adversary Nigel Farage as their prime minister, back in May they were totally split on whether Rayner would make a better prime minister than the Reform leader.
September 5, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Finally, while the public do prefer to have Keir Starmer over Labour's current top adversary Nigel Farage as their prime minister, back in May they were totally split on whether Rayner would make a better prime minister than the Reform leader.
Brits are not convinced Rayner would make a good prime minister
11% of Brtis told us last month that they thought she would make a 'good' or 'great' PM, but 46% thought she would be 'poor' or 'terrible'
Her net score of -35 compares to -28 for Farage, -32 for Corbyn, and -35 for Badenoch
11% of Brtis told us last month that they thought she would make a 'good' or 'great' PM, but 46% thought she would be 'poor' or 'terrible'
Her net score of -35 compares to -28 for Farage, -32 for Corbyn, and -35 for Badenoch
September 5, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Brits are not convinced Rayner would make a good prime minister
11% of Brtis told us last month that they thought she would make a 'good' or 'great' PM, but 46% thought she would be 'poor' or 'terrible'
Her net score of -35 compares to -28 for Farage, -32 for Corbyn, and -35 for Badenoch
11% of Brtis told us last month that they thought she would make a 'good' or 'great' PM, but 46% thought she would be 'poor' or 'terrible'
Her net score of -35 compares to -28 for Farage, -32 for Corbyn, and -35 for Badenoch
Rayner's latest favourability numbers in our regular tracking were 21% favourable, 53% unfavourable.
Her net score of -32 was significantly better than Reeves (-47) and Starmer (-44), about the same as Farage (-29) and Badenoch (-31), and slightly better than Corbyn (-35).
Her net score of -32 was significantly better than Reeves (-47) and Starmer (-44), about the same as Farage (-29) and Badenoch (-31), and slightly better than Corbyn (-35).
September 5, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Rayner's latest favourability numbers in our regular tracking were 21% favourable, 53% unfavourable.
Her net score of -32 was significantly better than Reeves (-47) and Starmer (-44), about the same as Farage (-29) and Badenoch (-31), and slightly better than Corbyn (-35).
Her net score of -32 was significantly better than Reeves (-47) and Starmer (-44), about the same as Farage (-29) and Badenoch (-31), and slightly better than Corbyn (-35).
Thank you for the share, Laura! And for doing all the excellent research that I got to lean on!
July 21, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Thank you for the share, Laura! And for doing all the excellent research that I got to lean on!
Thank you so much for the share and the kind words, Tim! 🙏
July 21, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Thank you so much for the share and the kind words, Tim! 🙏
Hi Mark sorry for taking ages to get around to this.
Yes, the Scottish sample would have been about six times what we get in a normal GB poll.
We have actually combined the England and Wales and Scotland model back into one (for now), given we can harmonise census data, now
Yes, the Scottish sample would have been about six times what we get in a normal GB poll.
We have actually combined the England and Wales and Scotland model back into one (for now), given we can harmonise census data, now
July 4, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Hi Mark sorry for taking ages to get around to this.
Yes, the Scottish sample would have been about six times what we get in a normal GB poll.
We have actually combined the England and Wales and Scotland model back into one (for now), given we can harmonise census data, now
Yes, the Scottish sample would have been about six times what we get in a normal GB poll.
We have actually combined the England and Wales and Scotland model back into one (for now), given we can harmonise census data, now