Pablo Geraldo Bastías
@pablogerbas.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow in Sociology at Nuffield College, University of Oxford
🇨🇱 —> 🇺🇸 —> 🇬🇧
Social Science | Causal Inference | Education | Inequality | CompSoc | Complexity | Everything else
🇨🇱 —> 🇺🇸 —> 🇬🇧
Social Science | Causal Inference | Education | Inequality | CompSoc | Complexity | Everything else
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
How does employer access to prisoners’ labor through work release impact the well-being of those workers & of free workers?
New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
November 3, 2025 at 2:20 PM
How does employer access to prisoners’ labor through work release impact the well-being of those workers & of free workers?
New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Excited to announce the launch of a new working group at Nuffield College, the Generative² Social Science Lab (co-organised with @pablogerbas.bsky.social). We will have our first meeting tomorrow at 11:00am, come join us! More details here: github.com/gen2socscila...
Home
The Generative² Social Science Lab is a collaborative research forum based at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. - gen2socscilab/Generative2-Social-Science-Lab
github.com
October 14, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Excited to announce the launch of a new working group at Nuffield College, the Generative² Social Science Lab (co-organised with @pablogerbas.bsky.social). We will have our first meeting tomorrow at 11:00am, come join us! More details here: github.com/gen2socscila...
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Our submission to Journal of Vegetation Science for a special issue has been sitting for six months with zero reviewers, after JVS switched to this system. I just resigned as an editor of Global Ecology & Biogeography today (after 7 years) because I can no longer do my job effectively.
October 6, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Our submission to Journal of Vegetation Science for a special issue has been sitting for six months with zero reviewers, after JVS switched to this system. I just resigned as an editor of Global Ecology & Biogeography today (after 7 years) because I can no longer do my job effectively.
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Job alert! Join us at @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social as a postdoctoral fellow to work on your own research for three years. #sociology
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
August 20, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Job alert! Join us at @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social as a postdoctoral fellow to work on your own research for three years. #sociology
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Great work by @pablogerbas.bsky.social! Loved the clear, causal lens on educational mobility — such a productive framework. The insights on Chile’s 2015 tuition-free policy were especially compelling. Thanks @mebucca.bsky.social @andreacanales.bsky.social @taniahutt.bsky.social for the workshop!
August 6, 2025 at 1:42 AM
Great work by @pablogerbas.bsky.social! Loved the clear, causal lens on educational mobility — such a productive framework. The insights on Chile’s 2015 tuition-free policy were especially compelling. Thanks @mebucca.bsky.social @andreacanales.bsky.social @taniahutt.bsky.social for the workshop!
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
`tinyplot` v0.4.2 is now available on CRAN + R-universe 🎉 Mostly bug fixes, but includes some important integration improvements for Positron IDE users. Release notes: grantmcdermott.com/tinyplot/NEW...
#rstats
#rstats
July 12, 2025 at 3:17 PM
`tinyplot` v0.4.2 is now available on CRAN + R-universe 🎉 Mostly bug fixes, but includes some important integration improvements for Positron IDE users. Release notes: grantmcdermott.com/tinyplot/NEW...
#rstats
#rstats
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
How can we reform science? I have some ideas. But I am not sure you’ll like them, because they don’t promise much. elevanth.org/blog/2025/07...
Which Kind of Science Reform
What hope is there for science reform, if we can't agree on what to reform? Right now, principles are more important than practices.
elevanth.org
July 9, 2025 at 1:40 PM
How can we reform science? I have some ideas. But I am not sure you’ll like them, because they don’t promise much. elevanth.org/blog/2025/07...
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
I am often told that public critique of published articles must also solve the issues found. I think this frequently enforced requirement hinders scientific self-correction.
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
July 5, 2025 at 12:01 PM
I am often told that public critique of published articles must also solve the issues found. I think this frequently enforced requirement hinders scientific self-correction.
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
Blog post:
mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
🔥Coming July 2: 'Metrics and Models'!🔥
A new seminar series on advanced modelling w/ impact across health/society.
🌍 Open to *ALL*!
🕑 Weds 2pm UK alternating weeks (online)
🔗 metrics-and-models.github.io
📬 metrics_and_models-subscribe@maillist.ox.ac.uk
Brilliant speakers. *Please share*!
A new seminar series on advanced modelling w/ impact across health/society.
🌍 Open to *ALL*!
🕑 Weds 2pm UK alternating weeks (online)
🔗 metrics-and-models.github.io
📬 metrics_and_models-subscribe@maillist.ox.ac.uk
Brilliant speakers. *Please share*!
June 10, 2025 at 5:48 PM
🔥Coming July 2: 'Metrics and Models'!🔥
A new seminar series on advanced modelling w/ impact across health/society.
🌍 Open to *ALL*!
🕑 Weds 2pm UK alternating weeks (online)
🔗 metrics-and-models.github.io
📬 metrics_and_models-subscribe@maillist.ox.ac.uk
Brilliant speakers. *Please share*!
A new seminar series on advanced modelling w/ impact across health/society.
🌍 Open to *ALL*!
🕑 Weds 2pm UK alternating weeks (online)
🔗 metrics-and-models.github.io
📬 metrics_and_models-subscribe@maillist.ox.ac.uk
Brilliant speakers. *Please share*!
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
There's no doubt that editors for academic publishing need more help and support to keep things going.
But my god, this isn't it.
I've published in a number of OUP outlets. This would force me to reconsider. I suspect other #SkyStorians will, too.
But my god, this isn't it.
I've published in a number of OUP outlets. This would force me to reconsider. I suspect other #SkyStorians will, too.
Oxford University Press and Hum sign agreement to pilot Alchemist Review
Oxford University Press partners with Hum to pilot Alchemist Review, an AI-based editorial assistant that will enhance manuscript assessment while reducing a...
www.alpsp.org
June 3, 2025 at 4:01 PM
There's no doubt that editors for academic publishing need more help and support to keep things going.
But my god, this isn't it.
I've published in a number of OUP outlets. This would force me to reconsider. I suspect other #SkyStorians will, too.
But my god, this isn't it.
I've published in a number of OUP outlets. This would force me to reconsider. I suspect other #SkyStorians will, too.
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Should LLMs be used to review papers? AAAI is piloting LLM-generated reviews this year. I wrote a blog post arguing that using LLMs as reviewers can have bad downstream consequences for science by centralizing judgments about what constitutes good research.
bryanwilder.github.io/files/llmrev...
bryanwilder.github.io/files/llmrev...
Equilibrium effects of LLM reviewing
Equilibrium effects of LLM reviewing
bryanwilder.github.io
May 26, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Should LLMs be used to review papers? AAAI is piloting LLM-generated reviews this year. I wrote a blog post arguing that using LLMs as reviewers can have bad downstream consequences for science by centralizing judgments about what constitutes good research.
bryanwilder.github.io/files/llmrev...
bryanwilder.github.io/files/llmrev...
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵
May 9, 2025 at 9:29 AM
🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Folks, always share your code. It doesn’t have to be perfect to be helpful. And if you feel that it’s still too messy or not sufficiently clean to be shared, you shouldn’t submit yet. After all, there could be mistakes in your mess.
May 9, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Folks, always share your code. It doesn’t have to be perfect to be helpful. And if you feel that it’s still too messy or not sufficiently clean to be shared, you shouldn’t submit yet. After all, there could be mistakes in your mess.
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Also, *please* don’t compare this to the climate change (denial) discourse. I’m strongly opposed against such rhetorical moves that try to cash in on the hard-earned trust that *other* scientific fields have built up.
May 19, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Also, *please* don’t compare this to the climate change (denial) discourse. I’m strongly opposed against such rhetorical moves that try to cash in on the hard-earned trust that *other* scientific fields have built up.
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Update: the application deadline for this position has been extended until Feb. 12!
I have an open 3-year PostDoc position in my research group, centered on the extraction and analysis of relations of societal actors (e.g. politicians, CEOs, ...) from unstructured text data.
Feel free to reach out if you want to know more! Deadline is Jan 1st.
jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/a122...
Feel free to reach out if you want to know more! Deadline is Jan 1st.
jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/a122...
Universität Graz
jobs.uni-graz.at
January 29, 2025 at 5:55 AM
Update: the application deadline for this position has been extended until Feb. 12!
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
GEORGE LUCAS IN 1999: a trade embargo is going to spark the galactic reckoning and collapse
ME IN 2025: ah, okay
ME IN 2025: ah, okay
January 26, 2025 at 10:14 PM
GEORGE LUCAS IN 1999: a trade embargo is going to spark the galactic reckoning and collapse
ME IN 2025: ah, okay
ME IN 2025: ah, okay
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
We are delighted to announce a call for papers for a forthcoming special issue on ESR @europeansocreview.bsky.social
Education and Social Mobility: Celebrating Richard Breen’s Contribution to Sociology
Deadline for submission: 15 of June 2025
More details on the call 👇
Education and Social Mobility: Celebrating Richard Breen’s Contribution to Sociology
Deadline for submission: 15 of June 2025
More details on the call 👇
December 9, 2024 at 11:07 AM
We are delighted to announce a call for papers for a forthcoming special issue on ESR @europeansocreview.bsky.social
Education and Social Mobility: Celebrating Richard Breen’s Contribution to Sociology
Deadline for submission: 15 of June 2025
More details on the call 👇
Education and Social Mobility: Celebrating Richard Breen’s Contribution to Sociology
Deadline for submission: 15 of June 2025
More details on the call 👇
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
SFI is a research hub, home to between 20 and 50 resident and visiting researchers at any given time. SFI is currently seeking applications for full-time resident faculty. These 5+year appointments offer broad intellectual freedom and encouragement to take risks.
1/2
1/2
January 22, 2025 at 4:39 PM
SFI is a research hub, home to between 20 and 50 resident and visiting researchers at any given time. SFI is currently seeking applications for full-time resident faculty. These 5+year appointments offer broad intellectual freedom and encouragement to take risks.
1/2
1/2
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
We’re thrilled to announce that this year’s keynote speaker is Prof. Aaron Clauset, from CU Boulder. He is one of the world's foremost experts in Network Science and Complex Systems
Apply by 3 March
www.maths.ox.ac.uk/events/summe...
@aaronclauset.bsky.social
@colorado.edu
Apply by 3 March
www.maths.ox.ac.uk/events/summe...
@aaronclauset.bsky.social
@colorado.edu
January 14, 2025 at 8:08 PM
We’re thrilled to announce that this year’s keynote speaker is Prof. Aaron Clauset, from CU Boulder. He is one of the world's foremost experts in Network Science and Complex Systems
Apply by 3 March
www.maths.ox.ac.uk/events/summe...
@aaronclauset.bsky.social
@colorado.edu
Apply by 3 March
www.maths.ox.ac.uk/events/summe...
@aaronclauset.bsky.social
@colorado.edu
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
We are hiring!! (2 positions) TT Assistant Professor position in #Demography and Population Health. DEADLINE 02/02/25 Please share
www.upf.edu/web/politiqu... #sociology
www.upf.edu/web/politiqu... #sociology
NEXT CALL: Tenure Track Assistant Professor position in Demography and Population Health (REF. POL-TTPT-2025-01)
NEXT CALL: Tenure Track Assistant Professor position in Demography and
Population Health (REF. POL-TTPT-2025-01) 12.12.2024 RRSS WhatsApp RRSS
Facebook RRSS Twitter RRSS email Copiar URL The...
www.upf.edu
December 18, 2024 at 3:02 PM
We are hiring!! (2 positions) TT Assistant Professor position in #Demography and Population Health. DEADLINE 02/02/25 Please share
www.upf.edu/web/politiqu... #sociology
www.upf.edu/web/politiqu... #sociology
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
New working paper out today with @epiellie.bsky.social called "Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?"
Can LLMs (ie ChatGPT) build for us the causal models we need to identify an effect? There are reasons to expect they could. But can they? Well, not really, no.
arxiv.org/html/2412.10...
Can LLMs (ie ChatGPT) build for us the causal models we need to identify an effect? There are reasons to expect they could. But can they? Well, not really, no.
arxiv.org/html/2412.10...
Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?
arxiv.org
December 17, 2024 at 9:26 PM
New working paper out today with @epiellie.bsky.social called "Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?"
Can LLMs (ie ChatGPT) build for us the causal models we need to identify an effect? There are reasons to expect they could. But can they? Well, not really, no.
arxiv.org/html/2412.10...
Can LLMs (ie ChatGPT) build for us the causal models we need to identify an effect? There are reasons to expect they could. But can they? Well, not really, no.
arxiv.org/html/2412.10...
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Announcing the ISA RC28 2025 Summer Meeting at UCLA!
Conference theme: “Social Inequality and Labor Market Restructuring;” Keynotes by Michael Hout and Xi Song
Conference dates: August 4-7, 2025
Abstracts due: February 17, 2025
See you in L.A.!
Conference theme: “Social Inequality and Labor Market Restructuring;” Keynotes by Michael Hout and Xi Song
Conference dates: August 4-7, 2025
Abstracts due: February 17, 2025
See you in L.A.!
December 18, 2024 at 4:49 AM
Announcing the ISA RC28 2025 Summer Meeting at UCLA!
Conference theme: “Social Inequality and Labor Market Restructuring;” Keynotes by Michael Hout and Xi Song
Conference dates: August 4-7, 2025
Abstracts due: February 17, 2025
See you in L.A.!
Conference theme: “Social Inequality and Labor Market Restructuring;” Keynotes by Michael Hout and Xi Song
Conference dates: August 4-7, 2025
Abstracts due: February 17, 2025
See you in L.A.!
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
`etwfe` v0.5.0 is now available on CRAN (and R-universe). grantmcdermott.com/etwfe/
As a reminder, `etwfe` makes it easy to estimate Extended TwoWay Fixed Effects a la @jmwooldridge.bsky.social. Super flexible and good for nonlinear models, recovering heterogeneous TEs, etc.
#econsky #rstats
1/3
As a reminder, `etwfe` makes it easy to estimate Extended TwoWay Fixed Effects a la @jmwooldridge.bsky.social. Super flexible and good for nonlinear models, recovering heterogeneous TEs, etc.
#econsky #rstats
1/3
grantmcdermott.com
December 17, 2024 at 5:14 PM
`etwfe` v0.5.0 is now available on CRAN (and R-universe). grantmcdermott.com/etwfe/
As a reminder, `etwfe` makes it easy to estimate Extended TwoWay Fixed Effects a la @jmwooldridge.bsky.social. Super flexible and good for nonlinear models, recovering heterogeneous TEs, etc.
#econsky #rstats
1/3
As a reminder, `etwfe` makes it easy to estimate Extended TwoWay Fixed Effects a la @jmwooldridge.bsky.social. Super flexible and good for nonlinear models, recovering heterogeneous TEs, etc.
#econsky #rstats
1/3
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
Imagine finding out @vincentab.bsky.social @noahgreifer.bsky.social and @andrew.heiss.phd wrote a thing and it's open access 👀
Awesome paper about {marginaleffects} R/python packages in JOSS (which needs to join Bsky)
www.jstatsoft.org/article/view...
Awesome paper about {marginaleffects} R/python packages in JOSS (which needs to join Bsky)
www.jstatsoft.org/article/view...
How to Interpret Statistical Models Using marginaleffects for R and Python by Vincent Arel-Bundock, Noah Greifer, Andrew Heiss
<p>The parameters of a statistical model can sometimes be difficult to interpret substantively, especially when that model includes nonlinear components, interactions, or transformations. Analysts who...
www.jstatsoft.org
December 1, 2024 at 10:03 PM
Imagine finding out @vincentab.bsky.social @noahgreifer.bsky.social and @andrew.heiss.phd wrote a thing and it's open access 👀
Awesome paper about {marginaleffects} R/python packages in JOSS (which needs to join Bsky)
www.jstatsoft.org/article/view...
Awesome paper about {marginaleffects} R/python packages in JOSS (which needs to join Bsky)
www.jstatsoft.org/article/view...
Reposted by Pablo Geraldo Bastías
🚨 We're hiring! 🚨
Join us as an Associate Professor in Social Demography, in association with @stjohnsox.bsky.social.
We're open to a range of specialisations: family, fertility, gender, migration, population health, inequalities & more 🌍
Apply now ➡️ www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/asso...
Join us as an Associate Professor in Social Demography, in association with @stjohnsox.bsky.social.
We're open to a range of specialisations: family, fertility, gender, migration, population health, inequalities & more 🌍
Apply now ➡️ www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/asso...
November 27, 2024 at 1:47 PM
🚨 We're hiring! 🚨
Join us as an Associate Professor in Social Demography, in association with @stjohnsox.bsky.social.
We're open to a range of specialisations: family, fertility, gender, migration, population health, inequalities & more 🌍
Apply now ➡️ www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/asso...
Join us as an Associate Professor in Social Demography, in association with @stjohnsox.bsky.social.
We're open to a range of specialisations: family, fertility, gender, migration, population health, inequalities & more 🌍
Apply now ➡️ www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/asso...