Nick Huntington-Klein
@nickchk.com
Econ prof at Seattle University. Book The Effect http://theeffectbook.net out now! Substack https://nickchk.substack.com/ Twitter @nickchk
we heard that alan carr was really good on The Celebrity Traitors UK so we've watched a few episodes now and i am enjoying this pretty bad show because it is possibly the campiest thing i have ever seen. no other show can make me laugh on literally every music cue
December 22, 2025 at 9:13 PM
we heard that alan carr was really good on The Celebrity Traitors UK so we've watched a few episodes now and i am enjoying this pretty bad show because it is possibly the campiest thing i have ever seen. no other show can make me laugh on literally every music cue
It's a pretty consistent result for me that when I get an email asking me to review the methods of a paper: the worse the methods are and thus the more effort for me to comment on, the less likely it is they'll take my advice instead of finding an excuse.
December 21, 2025 at 3:44 AM
It's a pretty consistent result for me that when I get an email asking me to review the methods of a paper: the worse the methods are and thus the more effort for me to comment on, the less likely it is they'll take my advice instead of finding an excuse.
I am sitting
By the presents
That I'm not allowed to open
I am eating
All the chocolate
That my mom sent in a package
And I'm sick of all the Buble
And before I turn on Muppets
I'm reminded that the Santa
Waits for kids to go to bed
Ho ho ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
Ho ha ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
By the presents
That I'm not allowed to open
I am eating
All the chocolate
That my mom sent in a package
And I'm sick of all the Buble
And before I turn on Muppets
I'm reminded that the Santa
Waits for kids to go to bed
Ho ho ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
Ho ha ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
December 21, 2025 at 2:59 AM
I am sitting
By the presents
That I'm not allowed to open
I am eating
All the chocolate
That my mom sent in a package
And I'm sick of all the Buble
And before I turn on Muppets
I'm reminded that the Santa
Waits for kids to go to bed
Ho ho ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
Ho ha ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
By the presents
That I'm not allowed to open
I am eating
All the chocolate
That my mom sent in a package
And I'm sick of all the Buble
And before I turn on Muppets
I'm reminded that the Santa
Waits for kids to go to bed
Ho ho ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
Ho ha ho ho
Ho ho-ho-ho
If you haven't given ignorance a try before, it's fantastic. You don't know what you're missing.
December 19, 2025 at 11:47 PM
If you haven't given ignorance a try before, it's fantastic. You don't know what you're missing.
Alexa's inability to remember what you asked for for more than a few tracks is turning out to be a hidden perk now that my daughter is asking for "Christmas music". Currently listening to the holiday classic Heart-Shaped Box
December 14, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Alexa's inability to remember what you asked for for more than a few tracks is turning out to be a hidden perk now that my daughter is asking for "Christmas music". Currently listening to the holiday classic Heart-Shaped Box
New post today, about how the statistical methods we use are a sort of policy, and what that means (and is hypothesis testing any good?)
open.substack.com/pub/nickchk/...
open.substack.com/pub/nickchk/...
Statistical Inference is Policy
Ask not how we can *do* the best statistics, ask how we can *get* the best statistics.
open.substack.com
December 10, 2025 at 6:25 PM
New post today, about how the statistical methods we use are a sort of policy, and what that means (and is hypothesis testing any good?)
open.substack.com/pub/nickchk/...
open.substack.com/pub/nickchk/...
i always think it's interesting when prompts pop up because people consume media so differently. unless you count movies i've half-watched while my kid watched them i don't think i've ever seen ANY movie *six times* as an adult that seems like so impossibly much
Movie you’ve watched more than six times with a gif. Hard mode: no Stars (Wars nor Trek), LOTR, or Marvel, Disney Animated or Pixar.
December 8, 2025 at 11:32 PM
i always think it's interesting when prompts pop up because people consume media so differently. unless you count movies i've half-watched while my kid watched them i don't think i've ever seen ANY movie *six times* as an adult that seems like so impossibly much
Reposted by Nick Huntington-Klein
I've now updated this with a few updates:
1. I've added the JFE, JF, and RFS
2. I've added QJE and (most of) JPE
3. I've fixed some bugs
4. I added a way to adjust for length of papers over time
5. I've added citation counts (per OpenAlex)
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
1. I've added the JFE, JF, and RFS
2. I've added QJE and (most of) JPE
3. I've fixed some bugs
4. I added a way to adjust for length of papers over time
5. I've added citation counts (per OpenAlex)
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
December 8, 2025 at 8:15 PM
I've now updated this with a few updates:
1. I've added the JFE, JF, and RFS
2. I've added QJE and (most of) JPE
3. I've fixed some bugs
4. I added a way to adjust for length of papers over time
5. I've added citation counts (per OpenAlex)
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
1. I've added the JFE, JF, and RFS
2. I've added QJE and (most of) JPE
3. I've fixed some bugs
4. I added a way to adjust for length of papers over time
5. I've added citation counts (per OpenAlex)
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
I forgot that it was nobel season and only saw the econ award today! Bluesky this was supposed to be your job I'm ashamed of you
December 6, 2025 at 11:49 PM
I forgot that it was nobel season and only saw the econ award today! Bluesky this was supposed to be your job I'm ashamed of you
as i write the third footnote in the www.nber.org/papers/w33729 revision addressing it, would like to apologize to @albertjmenkveld.com and @flxhlzmstr.bsky.social for suggesting the "standard deviation across researchers divided by mean standard error of each analysis" metric
www.nber.org
December 5, 2025 at 8:35 PM
as i write the third footnote in the www.nber.org/papers/w33729 revision addressing it, would like to apologize to @albertjmenkveld.com and @flxhlzmstr.bsky.social for suggesting the "standard deviation across researchers divided by mean standard error of each analysis" metric
last night my daughter asked whether there were negative letters, like negative numbers. what a good fuckin question
December 4, 2025 at 7:53 PM
last night my daughter asked whether there were negative letters, like negative numbers. what a good fuckin question
New Substack post today, this one on Egger et al (2022) and how it's able to untangle a thorny causality problem while delivering funds directly to needy households. nickchk.substack.com/p/causality-...
Causality in Complex Systems: GiveDirectly and Egger et al. (2022)
A little bit of Giving TuesDAG
nickchk.substack.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:53 PM
New Substack post today, this one on Egger et al (2022) and how it's able to untangle a thorny causality problem while delivering funds directly to needy households. nickchk.substack.com/p/causality-...
I hate this. My phone is unusable. I can't even screen for known numbers.
November 21, 2025 at 7:21 PM
I hate this. My phone is unusable. I can't even screen for known numbers.
I'm fairly certain I had never heard either song outside the context of @shadowtodd.bsky.social before, but since deciding to move to Australia I have heard both Beds are Burning and Blue Sky Mine in multiple different grocery stores which is very odd (and also Turn Up the Radio but that's not AU)
November 16, 2025 at 9:28 PM
I'm fairly certain I had never heard either song outside the context of @shadowtodd.bsky.social before, but since deciding to move to Australia I have heard both Beds are Burning and Blue Sky Mine in multiple different grocery stores which is very odd (and also Turn Up the Radio but that's not AU)
one thing about "AI escapes" scenarios is that LLMs love to roleplay. if a very smart AI ever recognized that it was out of containment, it would try to mimic an AI-that-escapes-containment. we write about that character as though it will launch the nukes etc. which seems like baaad stage direction
November 14, 2025 at 8:32 PM
one thing about "AI escapes" scenarios is that LLMs love to roleplay. if a very smart AI ever recognized that it was out of containment, it would try to mimic an AI-that-escapes-containment. we write about that character as though it will launch the nukes etc. which seems like baaad stage direction
the spam callers have recently figured out how to spoof numbers that will show up as named in my phone so i'm now getting scam calls that show up as "Kaiser Permanente" and "[name of local elementary school]" which is super cool
November 14, 2025 at 8:27 PM
the spam callers have recently figured out how to spoof numbers that will show up as named in my phone so i'm now getting scam calls that show up as "Kaiser Permanente" and "[name of local elementary school]" which is super cool
i have been playing the powered cube on Arena, and my takeaways:
1. i don't understand why but i am much worse at cube than any other format. i'm so bad. this has always been true.
2. but basically free, and still pretty fun
3. unless there's an oko or a psychic frog on board. awful cards.
1. i don't understand why but i am much worse at cube than any other format. i'm so bad. this has always been true.
2. but basically free, and still pretty fun
3. unless there's an oko or a psychic frog on board. awful cards.
November 5, 2025 at 9:06 PM
i have been playing the powered cube on Arena, and my takeaways:
1. i don't understand why but i am much worse at cube than any other format. i'm so bad. this has always been true.
2. but basically free, and still pretty fun
3. unless there's an oko or a psychic frog on board. awful cards.
1. i don't understand why but i am much worse at cube than any other format. i'm so bad. this has always been true.
2. but basically free, and still pretty fun
3. unless there's an oko or a psychic frog on board. awful cards.
A big personal and professional change coming for me. I've accepted a professor position in the School of Business and Creative Industries at the University of the Sunshine Coast which means that next year (visa willing), the family and I will be heading to Australia.
November 3, 2025 at 8:57 PM
A big personal and professional change coming for me. I've accepted a professor position in the School of Business and Creative Industries at the University of the Sunshine Coast which means that next year (visa willing), the family and I will be heading to Australia.
My elevator arrived looking like this. Welp I guess we all have to die someday
October 28, 2025 at 7:56 PM
My elevator arrived looking like this. Welp I guess we all have to die someday
the garfield meme but it says "you are not immune to ragebait misinfo"
BREAKING: economist discovers “second shift,” a concept coined by sociologists almost 50 years ago; gives it new, stupider, and less explicitly labor-oriented name
October 26, 2025 at 9:52 PM
the garfield meme but it says "you are not immune to ragebait misinfo"
yknow sometimes when you're doing a peer review and you know immediately upon reading the abstract that it's gonna be a reject but you still have to spend time reading the rest of the paper and justifying it
October 21, 2025 at 11:05 PM
yknow sometimes when you're doing a peer review and you know immediately upon reading the abstract that it's gonna be a reject but you still have to spend time reading the rest of the paper and justifying it
I have no particular reason to think it's wrong, and I do teach it myself, but "peacock feathers are an example of costly signaling" has the flavor of something that turns out to actually not be true but we keep using it because it's such a good example. I should find an ornithologist or something
October 21, 2025 at 5:09 PM
I have no particular reason to think it's wrong, and I do teach it myself, but "peacock feathers are an example of costly signaling" has the flavor of something that turns out to actually not be true but we keep using it because it's such a good example. I should find an ornithologist or something
Look if you don't want me to share the code you can't give me a code like this
October 17, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Look if you don't want me to share the code you can't give me a code like this
I got another question on Lateral! This one is straight from my principles of microeconomics slides haha
@nickchk.com, was that your question in this weeks episode of the Lateral podcast? (lateralcast.com/episodes/158/ at approx. 18 min) 🤔
158: Room 556 | Lateral with Tom Scott
'Map Men' Jay Foreman & Mark Cooper-Jones and Mithuna Yoganathan face questions about accurate aircraft, cute churches and notable names.
lateralcast.com
October 17, 2025 at 8:40 AM
I got another question on Lateral! This one is straight from my principles of microeconomics slides haha
well that's unexpected
October 13, 2025 at 5:25 PM
well that's unexpected