Breathin' Orange Fire
@orangefire.bsky.social
Astros Fan. Analytics Guy.
Read my Substack: OrangeFire.Substack.com
"Your calm, rational, logical takes have no place in this world, Brian."
Read my Substack: OrangeFire.Substack.com
"Your calm, rational, logical takes have no place in this world, Brian."
November 12, 2025 at 7:47 PM
FWIW, my analysis of NJ found a greater increase in turnout in counties where Murphy 2021 vote share (and presumably Harris 2024 vote share) was highest. I argued it was anger at the President, similar to 2009, 2017, and 2025.
November 12, 2025 at 2:28 PM
FWIW, my analysis of NJ found a greater increase in turnout in counties where Murphy 2021 vote share (and presumably Harris 2024 vote share) was highest. I argued it was anger at the President, similar to 2009, 2017, and 2025.
$58.5 Million.
November 11, 2025 at 12:17 AM
$58.5 Million.
Never in doubt
November 9, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Never in doubt
No really, Democratic turnout was up. Sherill won 460,000 more votes than winning Dems had this century.
@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
November 9, 2025 at 3:18 PM
No really, Democratic turnout was up. Sherill won 460,000 more votes than winning Dems had this century.
@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
November 5, 2025 at 8:24 PM
According to the Gatlin Brothers, "when you put it on, something happens to you." Which certainly seems accurate
October 31, 2025 at 8:09 PM
According to the Gatlin Brothers, "when you put it on, something happens to you." Which certainly seems accurate
Data on Trump Approval come from @fiftyplusone.news s, calculated by @gelliottmorris.com
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
October 23, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Data on Trump Approval come from @fiftyplusone.news s, calculated by @gelliottmorris.com
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
What drove the Blue Jays win last night? The combined power of friendship and intelligence driven by the Golden Age Astros.
October 21, 2025 at 10:56 AM
What drove the Blue Jays win last night? The combined power of friendship and intelligence driven by the Golden Age Astros.
FWIW, I'm skeptical Pearson will work out as a starter and I think he'll be a bullpen option. We'll see what actually happens.
October 17, 2025 at 7:41 PM
FWIW, I'm skeptical Pearson will work out as a starter and I think he'll be a bullpen option. We'll see what actually happens.
I assume this Jalen Green endorsed underwear can be returned and packaged with Dillon Brooks and a draft pick for Kevin Durant endorsed underwear.
October 16, 2025 at 3:27 PM
I assume this Jalen Green endorsed underwear can be returned and packaged with Dillon Brooks and a draft pick for Kevin Durant endorsed underwear.
Yes. Here are Altuve's "Clutch Stats" via the Baseball Reference.
October 10, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Yes. Here are Altuve's "Clutch Stats" via the Baseball Reference.
This is sorted by the difference between projections and actual production. Yordan's numbers are easy to explain--he was felled early in the season by his hand injury.
But Yainer and Walker's numbers--Yikes!
But Yainer and Walker's numbers--Yikes!
October 9, 2025 at 3:06 PM
This is sorted by the difference between projections and actual production. Yordan's numbers are easy to explain--he was felled early in the season by his hand injury.
But Yainer and Walker's numbers--Yikes!
But Yainer and Walker's numbers--Yikes!
Why are Democrats doing so well in these elections? Turnout is a key reason.
For example, there was a huge turnout advantage for Democrats in the New Jersey governor's primary, which I argue in the linked piece is due to their anger over Trump
medium.com/3streams/dem...
For example, there was a huge turnout advantage for Democrats in the New Jersey governor's primary, which I argue in the linked piece is due to their anger over Trump
medium.com/3streams/dem...
October 3, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Why are Democrats doing so well in these elections? Turnout is a key reason.
For example, there was a huge turnout advantage for Democrats in the New Jersey governor's primary, which I argue in the linked piece is due to their anger over Trump
medium.com/3streams/dem...
For example, there was a huge turnout advantage for Democrats in the New Jersey governor's primary, which I argue in the linked piece is due to their anger over Trump
medium.com/3streams/dem...
My AL Wild Card Series analysis
October 1, 2025 at 7:37 PM
My AL Wild Card Series analysis
@juleshghn.bsky.social looked at Victor Caratini, reviewing his excellent season in 2025, the Astros general defensive deficiencies at catcher, and his upcoming free agency. Her recommendation
October 1, 2025 at 2:09 PM
@juleshghn.bsky.social looked at Victor Caratini, reviewing his excellent season in 2025, the Astros general defensive deficiencies at catcher, and his upcoming free agency. Her recommendation
September 30, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Playoff machete.
September 30, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Playoff machete.
