Oliver Bush
ophbush.bsky.social
Oliver Bush
@ophbush.bsky.social
Macro history, BoE, LSE. Correlation between my views and my employer's may be less than one
cc @officialedballs.bsky.social @nickmacpherson.bsky.social @jonmdavis.bsky.social . The research is ongoing so feedback is welcome!
September 24, 2025 at 12:03 PM
...the post and the research in it tell the story of how 1970s inflation in Britain was a fiscal phenomenon. The Treasury View was abandoned and fiscal imbalances were resolved through unexpected inflation ...
September 24, 2025 at 12:03 PM
@strandgroup.bsky.social : you and your students may be interested in this post by Canadian economic historian Mike Bordo bsky.app/profile/voxe... ...
UK CPI inflation in 1975 reached 25%, a period known as the 'Great Inflation'. Michael Bordo shows it was fiscal reforms that played a key role in ending the Great Inflation, highlighting the importance of the fiscal regime for inflation & effective monetary policy.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
September 24, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Strictly speaking the anniversary of the inflation print was 11 days ago. Oddly, the focus in the press at the time was not on the annual rate hitting 26.9% but the monthly rate easing....
September 23, 2025 at 8:56 AM
This was a major contributor to the catastrophe of 1975, when inflation reached 27% on the measure used at the time
July 18, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Healey inherited a difficult situation but failed to solve the underlying fiscal issues
July 18, 2025 at 3:06 PM
the story came to a head after Barber's wildly stimulatory Budget in 1972 and the accompanying total absence of concern about the public finances
July 18, 2025 at 3:03 PM
we tell the fiscal side of the story which has largely been neglected...but was seen as central at the time
July 18, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Maybe if such a student exists he should write a post (??) about his work... I suspect he isn't very social media savvy (he probably needed to watch a video to work out how to reply to a blue sky message), but he might work it out in the end
March 5, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Reposted by Oliver Bush
This makes Schacht's infamous Mefo scheme look almost conservative - who would have thought?

That said, the new scheme might be the best available solution. But financial risks are 'yuge'.

Germany unification emitting strong vibes, too. That one didn't end v well.
March 5, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Do you have any students who have written about the inflation risks associated with fiscal policy? 😉
March 5, 2025 at 6:27 PM