The adjective is well deserved, it's really a great piece of work.

Belém News #7 — From Gaps to Roadmaps
www.linkedin.com/posts/stefan...

To actually have material for such an annual consideration of progress it would obviously be great if all Parties’ NDCs included how they will contribute to tripling renewables, doubling efficiency, cutting methane, and removing fossil subsidies

What would also help would be to remove the qualifier “inefficient” from the call for removing #fossilsubsidies“, and include this as another item in the annual consideration of progress

Ideally, the annual consideration of progress would be coupled with constructive consideration of which barriers are impeding progress and how to overcome them, including but not limited to provision of sufficient means of implementation

In terms of what #Bélem can actually do on tripling #renewables, doubling #efficiency and cutting #methane, the current text option of annual consideration of progress could indeed help. Creating annual political moments of transparency and accountability is one of the key things the UNFCCC can do

So whether #Bélem manages to promote achievement of these objectives is really key. And I can’t help feeling vindicated, @wuppertalinstitut.bsky.social suggested to accompany GHG targets with targets for #renewables and #energyefficiency already for #Copenhagen wupperinst.org/en/a/wi/a/s/...

And here @climateactiontracker.org @billhare.bsky.social @niklashoehne.bsky.social remind us that tripling #renewables, doubling #energyefficiency and cutting #methane by 2030 would go a very long way towards staying within the Paris temperature limits climateactiontracker.org/press/releas...

According to argus media now 80 nations are calling for a roadmap to transition away from #fossilfuels at #COP30 www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-...

Fossil-producing states and others are now doing all they can to block any follow-up. The question is whether more progressive countries manage to join forces to isolate the blockers. Sufficient provision of means of implementation by wealthy countries is a crucial factor in this regard.

Per the IPCC, “[r]apid and far-reaching transitions across all sectors and systems are necessary”. The UNFCCC started addressing transitions in Glasgow, culminating in the #COP28 Dubai #GST outcomes on #fossilfuels, #renewables, #efficiency, #deforestation and #forestdegradation

“After the ICJ advisory opinion and the well-document six-decade playbook of climate obstruction, states at Cop should recognize the irreconcilable conflict of interest of the fossil fuel industry – which is similar to the tobacco industry,” -- Elisa Morgera

Many of them have posed as conditional co-operators but are actually unconditional non-cooperators, as is on full display now in the US. Plus there’s the general path dependencies of complex systems, plus Covid, the Ukraine war and other crises sucking up all political oxygen

I’m not convinced free riding is the main problem given decreasing costs and multiple non-climate benefits of many mitigation options. I’m more convinced by the argument made e.g. here that resistance by emission-intensive interests is the main problem direct.mit.edu/glep/article...