Spencer Schwellenbach is one of the most popular breakout picks for 2025. The #Braves SP posted a 3.35 ERA in 124 IP last year, and most projections systems like him in 2025.

He is the only pitcher (min 100 IP) to have 6 pitches with a 98 Stuff+ or more; there's no weak link.

my favorite super niche piece of media on my phone, relevant today

I think there's a real chance we see a .285 AVG and 25 HR season this year or in the near future. Burleson is a pure hitter at heart with enough power to be an impact bat given his track record in 2024.

If the #STLCards are serious about giving young players chances, he should get 600 AB.

8/8

Burleson has an 89th percentile line drive rate and 30th percentile fly ball rate, so his hard hit balls aren't frequently hit in a place where they can get out of the park.

Additionally, he gets to hard contact frequently, but not to his top end power where could generate 30 HR power

5/8

Found a nugget of info on Willson Contreras: he's seen his average launch angle go from 9 to 14, EV FB decrease by 2 mph, and pull rate go 41%->36% from '22 in CHC to '24 with #STLCards.

Move to 1B will help longevity, but even with strong contact, I'm worried the cliff is near

And here's the no-doubter from '23, one of his best pieces of hitting that year.

I'm curious where Brant Brown will go with Gorman, but I would love to see a callback to his '23 approach. It's not star-level, but a 115ish wRC+ is a big league regular that thrives in everyday playing time

10/10

As a result, here's the popup in 2024 on a pitch that should absolutely be crushed.

9/10

His 35% whiff rate vs. 4-seamers was near the top of the leaderboard, but not entirely unreasonable. The quality of contact dropped significantly, as the xSLG went from .490 to .376.

He's seen 35%+ fastballs in '23 and '24, and needs to crush them in order to succeed in the bigs.

4/10