In case people are salivating over the idiotic tariff formula for research papers, @jakejares.bsky.social and I took advantage of another simplistic formula for the 2018 farm bailout: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Only about 35% of UAW members work in the auto industry. Only about 25% work for the two US auto manufacturers (GM and Ford).

We are hiring a pre-doc at Stanford to work on (among other things) a project called Public Pulse, which will provide reports on public opinion in the US, and potentially fill the void of things like 538. Please share with your undergrads. iriss.stanford.edu/predoc/2025-...

My favorite discontinued products are: (1) Jello 1-2-3; (2) Nestle Alpine White chocolate bar. I would pay a lot of money for those.

If this is actually true, it is insane. It means that the value of X/Twitter has not dropped one penny since Musk bought it in 2022. It means that market is signaling the monetary value of Musk's relationship to the most powerful person on Earth. techcrunch.com/2025/02/19/x...

It's pretty amazing that this is a fairly extreme Cabinet and there will be only one failure (Gaetz). In comparison, Obama (2008) had three failures of moderate normies: Tom Daschle, Bill Richardson, Judd Gregg

This is one of the most electorally skilled politicians in the D Party. Interesting messaging that I think would resonate well outside of Bluesky. People don't care about USAID, impoundment, etc. But Americans wanted a strong leader, who now seems weak because he doesn't have his team under control.

GOP presidents take different (legal) actions to control the executive branch, not because they have stronger will, but because they face a more acute problem of control. The agency loss for a GOP president is larger than for Dem presidents, and the difference is growing.

I wrote this paper a few years ago on how direct flight availability affects Congressional careers. Potentially relevant today in that Congress has a authority over DCA airport, and it's fairly well known they push for lots of flights in and out of it. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Nobody reports property crime, both because the police don't do anything about it, and that if you show up on a CLUE report, you're screwed for getting insurance.

In case people are interested, we wrote the first study of preferences for H1-B visas in 2012. Tech workers are uniquely against H1-B visas over economic threat, but not broadly racist. Broad cultural concerns are actually there among non-tech workers: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

For people who haven't been following the happenings on X, tech bros are genuinely and sincerely shocked that MAGA contains a large number of virulent racists.

Just out! The Diffusion and Reach of (Mis)Information on Facebook During the U.S. 2020 Election, sociologicalscience.com/articles-v11...

If you don't know what Yglesias is getting at by "government-by-professor" era, I don't know what to tell you. It's going to be a long time in the political wilderness for you. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Profess...

I don't think people like these billionaires but they hate the professional-managerial class even more, and are willing to have them on the team if they will destroy the PMC.

The major divide I observe between center-left business elites and center-left journos/academics is on Elon Musk. VCs, founders, and finance professionals: "Elon is a little weird, but brilliant and great for humanity." Sociology professors, Vox journalists: "Elon is an idiot and evil."

The cheapest bored apes are currently selling for $40,000.