Nate Silver Tweets
@natesilver538x.bsky.social
Automatically reposting Nate Silver Tweets, DM if you are Nate and you want this account
@NateSilver538
New Book, On The Edge, #5 NYT Bestseller!
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/529280/on-the-edge-by-nate-silver/
@NateSilver538
New Book, On The Edge, #5 NYT Bestseller!
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/529280/on-the-edge-by-nate-silver/
It's a very very high threshold to get me to retweet Lorenz
but it's kinda weird that Tanden is just flagrantly lying here when she's got a lot of receipts?
https://t.co/EnuUsp2V7G
but it's kinda weird that Tanden is just flagrantly lying here when she's got a lot of receipts?
https://t.co/EnuUsp2V7G
December 18, 2025 at 11:20 PM
It's a very very high threshold to get me to retweet Lorenz
but it's kinda weird that Tanden is just flagrantly lying here when she's got a lot of receipts?
https://t.co/EnuUsp2V7G
but it's kinda weird that Tanden is just flagrantly lying here when she's got a lot of receipts?
https://t.co/EnuUsp2V7G
Little ELWAY Thursday update here:
1) Fixing a couple of kinks in the model's playoff tiebreaker logic;
2) Benching Tua in MIA;
3) Updating weather forecasts, which can be a big deal this time of year.
https://t.co/bqbFjm2Y9c
1) Fixing a couple of kinks in the model's playoff tiebreaker logic;
2) Benching Tua in MIA;
3) Updating weather forecasts, which can be a big deal this time of year.
https://t.co/bqbFjm2Y9c
December 18, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Little ELWAY Thursday update here:
1) Fixing a couple of kinks in the model's playoff tiebreaker logic;
2) Benching Tua in MIA;
3) Updating weather forecasts, which can be a big deal this time of year.
https://t.co/bqbFjm2Y9c
1) Fixing a couple of kinks in the model's playoff tiebreaker logic;
2) Benching Tua in MIA;
3) Updating weather forecasts, which can be a big deal this time of year.
https://t.co/bqbFjm2Y9c
Yeah seriously MSG has a bunch of "Atlantic Division Champion" banners up,
that's like being the Best Sales Manager in Regina-Saskatoon-Winnipeg,
literally maybe 20% (?) of NBA fans could even accurately tell you which divisions the teams are in.
that's like being the Best Sales Manager in Regina-Saskatoon-Winnipeg,
literally maybe 20% (?) of NBA fans could even accurately tell you which divisions the teams are in.
December 17, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Yeah seriously MSG has a bunch of "Atlantic Division Champion" banners up,
that's like being the Best Sales Manager in Regina-Saskatoon-Winnipeg,
literally maybe 20% (?) of NBA fans could even accurately tell you which divisions the teams are in.
that's like being the Best Sales Manager in Regina-Saskatoon-Winnipeg,
literally maybe 20% (?) of NBA fans could even accurately tell you which divisions the teams are in.
Repost by @NateSilver538 from @lxeagle17: RT by @NateSilver538: This piece hits at something important.
The first and the last group (abundance libs/populist left) believe something substantive about the party needs to change.
The "#Resistance Libs" are mostly of the opinion that it's messaging —...
The first and the last group (abundance libs/populist left) believe something substantive about the party needs to change.
The "#Resistance Libs" are mostly of the opinion that it's messaging —...
December 16, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Repost by @NateSilver538 from @lxeagle17: RT by @NateSilver538: This piece hits at something important.
The first and the last group (abundance libs/populist left) believe something substantive about the party needs to change.
The "#Resistance Libs" are mostly of the opinion that it's messaging —...
The first and the last group (abundance libs/populist left) believe something substantive about the party needs to change.
The "#Resistance Libs" are mostly of the opinion that it's messaging —...
Repost by @natesilver538 from @ettingermentum:
There is a huge distinction between Richardson types and the actual Bernie/Zohran left and you can learn practically everything you need to know about centrists commentators depending on if they acknowledge this or not.
https://t.co/CvrBPDC5if
There is a huge distinction between Richardson types and the actual Bernie/Zohran left and you can learn practically everything you need to know about centrists commentators depending on if they acknowledge this or not.
https://t.co/CvrBPDC5if
December 16, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Repost by @natesilver538 from @ettingermentum:
There is a huge distinction between Richardson types and the actual Bernie/Zohran left and you can learn practically everything you need to know about centrists commentators depending on if they acknowledge this or not.
https://t.co/CvrBPDC5if
There is a huge distinction between Richardson types and the actual Bernie/Zohran left and you can learn practically everything you need to know about centrists commentators depending on if they acknowledge this or not.
https://t.co/CvrBPDC5if
Basically, there are 3 main factions in the Democratic Party now:
* Abundance Libs
* #Resistance Libs (a.k.a. Richardsonism)
* And the populist Left
* Abundance Libs
* #Resistance Libs (a.k.a. Richardsonism)
* And the populist Left
December 16, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Basically, there are 3 main factions in the Democratic Party now:
* Abundance Libs
* #Resistance Libs (a.k.a. Richardsonism)
* And the populist Left
* Abundance Libs
* #Resistance Libs (a.k.a. Richardsonism)
* And the populist Left
It's ironic there's a certain type of Democrat
who overrates the electoral penalty faced by women and minority candidates
and responds to that by stanning for a mediocre white guy with good hair.
who overrates the electoral penalty faced by women and minority candidates
and responds to that by stanning for a mediocre white guy with good hair.
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
It's ironic there's a certain type of Democrat
who overrates the electoral penalty faced by women and minority candidates
and responds to that by stanning for a mediocre white guy with good hair.
who overrates the electoral penalty faced by women and minority candidates
and responds to that by stanning for a mediocre white guy with good hair.
Also when people like you & Rupar attribute coverage of Biden's age to media bias rather than the fact that he was obviously too fucking old as nearly every sentient voter recognized,
it weakens the case for appropriately critical coverage of Trump.
Just admit you fucked up!
it weakens the case for appropriately critical coverage of Trump.
Just admit you fucked up!
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Also when people like you & Rupar attribute coverage of Biden's age to media bias rather than the fact that he was obviously too fucking old as nearly every sentient voter recognized,
it weakens the case for appropriately critical coverage of Trump.
Just admit you fucked up!
it weakens the case for appropriately critical coverage of Trump.
Just admit you fucked up!
Also like maybe mix in some actual journalism here
amidst your 137-part series on your ex, you'd get more conversation
to paid that way.
amidst your 137-part series on your ex, you'd get more conversation
to paid that way.
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Also like maybe mix in some actual journalism here
amidst your 137-part series on your ex, you'd get more conversation
to paid that way.
amidst your 137-part series on your ex, you'd get more conversation
to paid that way.
Every previous World Cup
lol the last two World Cups were held in [checks notes]
Qatar and Russia.
https://t.co/voMbxRhwLg
lol the last two World Cups were held in [checks notes]
Qatar and Russia.
https://t.co/voMbxRhwLg
https://twitter.com/ishaantharoor/status/1996964718527816027
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Every previous World Cup
lol the last two World Cups were held in [checks notes]
Qatar and Russia.
https://t.co/voMbxRhwLg
lol the last two World Cups were held in [checks notes]
Qatar and Russia.
https://t.co/voMbxRhwLg
Trump's disapproval rating (55.9%) now exceeds the figure from a comparable point
in his first term (54.9%).
in his first term (54.9%).
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Trump's disapproval rating (55.9%) now exceeds the figure from a comparable point
in his first term (54.9%).
in his first term (54.9%).
Guys it's only Decemeber 8,
a little early to be posting your Year In Review content tbh
a little early to be posting your Year In Review content tbh
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Guys it's only Decemeber 8,
a little early to be posting your Year In Review content tbh
a little early to be posting your Year In Review content tbh
Neera, stop this constant bullshit,
you literally testified under oath
that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities!
https://t.co/gTVewyN5GK
you literally testified under oath
that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities!
https://t.co/gTVewyN5GK
https://twitter.com/neeratanden/status/1994059291876032974
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Neera, stop this constant bullshit,
you literally testified under oath
that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities!
https://t.co/gTVewyN5GK
you literally testified under oath
that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities!
https://t.co/gTVewyN5GK
Repost by @natesilver538 from @ettingermentum:
“She wants to be heard but it is not clear what she wants to say” really is the story of her career lol
https://t.co/5Ftc0wbiSE
“She wants to be heard but it is not clear what she wants to say” really is the story of her career lol
https://t.co/5Ftc0wbiSE
https://twitter.com/shanegoldmacher/status/1998416406162153598
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Repost by @natesilver538 from @ettingermentum:
“She wants to be heard but it is not clear what she wants to say” really is the story of her career lol
https://t.co/5Ftc0wbiSE
“She wants to be heard but it is not clear what she wants to say” really is the story of her career lol
https://t.co/5Ftc0wbiSE
Well you testified under oath that you never watched the debate,
only saw clips.
Just seems like a weird move for a close advisor to the president,
unless you were worried that it was going to be a disaster.
https://t.co/NG1rv9j0Tq
only saw clips.
Just seems like a weird move for a close advisor to the president,
unless you were worried that it was going to be a disaster.
https://t.co/NG1rv9j0Tq
https://twitter.com/neeratanden/status/1994101527628107879
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Well you testified under oath that you never watched the debate,
only saw clips.
Just seems like a weird move for a close advisor to the president,
unless you were worried that it was going to be a disaster.
https://t.co/NG1rv9j0Tq
only saw clips.
Just seems like a weird move for a close advisor to the president,
unless you were worried that it was going to be a disaster.
https://t.co/NG1rv9j0Tq
From this month's SBSQ,
where I have an update for you on redistricting —
plus an NFL question, since we are publishing this on a Sunday.
https://t.co/POoMT0hs6G
where I have an update for you on redistricting —
plus an NFL question, since we are publishing this on a Sunday.
https://t.co/POoMT0hs6G
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-27-is-redistricting-backfiring
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
From this month's SBSQ,
where I have an update for you on redistricting —
plus an NFL question, since we are publishing this on a Sunday.
https://t.co/POoMT0hs6G
where I have an update for you on redistricting —
plus an NFL question, since we are publishing this on a Sunday.
https://t.co/POoMT0hs6G
You know there's this guy...
I don't know if you've heard of him.
His name is Trump and he happens to be President now.
He's pretty old and he got elected partly because people like you gaslighted the Democratic Party into declaring Biden fit to run for another term.
https://t.co/8B4Akowegl
I don't know if you've heard of him.
His name is Trump and he happens to be President now.
He's pretty old and he got elected partly because people like you gaslighted the Democratic Party into declaring Biden fit to run for another term.
https://t.co/8B4Akowegl
https://twitter.com/neeratanden/status/1993891310470873536
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
You know there's this guy...
I don't know if you've heard of him.
His name is Trump and he happens to be President now.
He's pretty old and he got elected partly because people like you gaslighted the Democratic Party into declaring Biden fit to run for another term.
https://t.co/8B4Akowegl
I don't know if you've heard of him.
His name is Trump and he happens to be President now.
He's pretty old and he got elected partly because people like you gaslighted the Democratic Party into declaring Biden fit to run for another term.
https://t.co/8B4Akowegl
This is good — even if it slanders the em-dash.
AI's tendency to statistically smooth out the rough edges produces extremely mid prose.
https://t.co/aSx6pRefI6
AI's tendency to statistically smooth out the rough edges produces extremely mid prose.
https://t.co/aSx6pRefI6
December 14, 2025 at 3:36 AM
This is good — even if it slanders the em-dash.
AI's tendency to statistically smooth out the rough edges produces extremely mid prose.
https://t.co/aSx6pRefI6
AI's tendency to statistically smooth out the rough edges produces extremely mid prose.
https://t.co/aSx6pRefI6
Repost by @natesilver538 from @mkonnikova:
Did our producers call our most recent Risky Business episode with @NateSilver538 Frisky Business, because of a certain salacious media scandal?
Yes. Yes they did.
And I'm here for it.
https://t.co/2hQAAgSFpx
Did our producers call our most recent Risky Business episode with @NateSilver538 Frisky Business, because of a certain salacious media scandal?
Yes. Yes they did.
And I'm here for it.
https://t.co/2hQAAgSFpx
https://lnk.to/6aaH9g
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Repost by @natesilver538 from @mkonnikova:
Did our producers call our most recent Risky Business episode with @NateSilver538 Frisky Business, because of a certain salacious media scandal?
Yes. Yes they did.
And I'm here for it.
https://t.co/2hQAAgSFpx
Did our producers call our most recent Risky Business episode with @NateSilver538 Frisky Business, because of a certain salacious media scandal?
Yes. Yes they did.
And I'm here for it.
https://t.co/2hQAAgSFpx
People who didn't cover up for Biden are in a much better position to tell the media to vigorously cover Trump's age, too.
Which they absolutely should.
https://t.co/7gGOVoNJWR
Which they absolutely should.
https://t.co/7gGOVoNJWR
https://www.natesilver.net/p/yep-the-media-should-cover-trumps
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:35 AM
People who didn't cover up for Biden are in a much better position to tell the media to vigorously cover Trump's age, too.
Which they absolutely should.
https://t.co/7gGOVoNJWR
Which they absolutely should.
https://t.co/7gGOVoNJWR
And again, in that testimony, you didn't just use the euphamsitic language that you've used here.
Under questioning, you also directly stated that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities.
Would you like to correct the record?
https://t.co/HMoyFiynGh
Under questioning, you also directly stated that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities.
Would you like to correct the record?
https://t.co/HMoyFiynGh
https://oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Tanden-Transcript.pdf
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:35 AM
And again, in that testimony, you didn't just use the euphamsitic language that you've used here.
Under questioning, you also directly stated that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities.
Would you like to correct the record?
https://t.co/HMoyFiynGh
Under questioning, you also directly stated that you had no concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities.
Would you like to correct the record?
https://t.co/HMoyFiynGh
Dunno who is right about this narrow issue but Harris registers as an unreliable narrator in her memoir.
There's zero admission of any mistakes.
Parts feel written by an overpaid comms/PR team.
I guess I don't read a lot of books by politicians and maybe they're all this way.
https://t.co/KerjZqt4oU
There's zero admission of any mistakes.
Parts feel written by an overpaid comms/PR team.
I guess I don't read a lot of books by politicians and maybe they're all this way.
https://t.co/KerjZqt4oU
https://twitter.com/PollTracker2024/status/1996257728763764821
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Dunno who is right about this narrow issue but Harris registers as an unreliable narrator in her memoir.
There's zero admission of any mistakes.
Parts feel written by an overpaid comms/PR team.
I guess I don't read a lot of books by politicians and maybe they're all this way.
https://t.co/KerjZqt4oU
There's zero admission of any mistakes.
Parts feel written by an overpaid comms/PR team.
I guess I don't read a lot of books by politicians and maybe they're all this way.
https://t.co/KerjZqt4oU
Kind of a weird year for quarterbacks with Allen, Jackson, and Mahomes all in a bit of a rough patch.
That leaves Stafford and Maye ahead in WAR, and not coincidentally, they're considered the ~only viable MVP candidates by Vegas.
https://t.co/jPzxIA51zG
That leaves Stafford and Maye ahead in WAR, and not coincidentally, they're considered the ~only viable MVP candidates by Vegas.
https://t.co/jPzxIA51zG
https://www.natesilver.net/p/qbert-nfl-quarterback-ratings
t.co
December 14, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Kind of a weird year for quarterbacks with Allen, Jackson, and Mahomes all in a bit of a rough patch.
That leaves Stafford and Maye ahead in WAR, and not coincidentally, they're considered the ~only viable MVP candidates by Vegas.
https://t.co/jPzxIA51zG
That leaves Stafford and Maye ahead in WAR, and not coincidentally, they're considered the ~only viable MVP candidates by Vegas.
https://t.co/jPzxIA51zG