I'm a proponent of preparing for all negatives,
but this *early data* continues to explain reality with Trump gains in with Minorities.
This was *barely* any flipping to Trump and mostly not showing up for dems, this gave his national margin and more importantly perception of Minority realignment.

This is from previous @statenavigate.org poll,

State of Low engagement, Low income voters..

Thoughts, Folks?

👀

We also examined Gallup’s quarterly national party ID tracker, which saw Democrats hold a 7-point advantage nationally in party ID in Q3. Typically, party ID changes from Q3 to Q4 worsen for the party in power in the White House by a few points.

Gallup has good historical data for Party ID.

Some thoughts about low engagement(political, ~ general low info voter, maybe?)

Look at Spanberger leads for voters who have voted from 0-2 times out of last 5 general elections?

What are people's thoughts here?

👀

Also the general perception of mass deportation varies when providing explicit choices. This was just before the election.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/10...

To this point:
It is very complex an understanding that people have that their personal lives are good, secure, stable, but everything else is burning this has been persistent at least since early 2024 as per data.

Another example.
bsky.app/profile/whst...

This was from a poll conducted by Trump's pollster, FYI. These numbers persisted close to the election as well.

Some more data about how less clarity on issues with MSM created precision arguments to be lost.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/10...