Michael Frost
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Michael Frost
@michaelfrost.bsky.social
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Mentat. #LC & #POTS from SARS-CoV-2, 2023. Remission, 2024. I wish there were an iPad app for this.
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Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025

SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, ON, PEI, QC
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 161 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 9.4 Alberta: SEVERE - 15.1 British Columbia: HIGH - 7.2 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 13.9 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 14.0 Newfoundland & Labrador: HIGH - 7.9 North: VERY HIGH - 11.1 Nova Scotia: VERY HIGH - 14.3 Ontario: HIGH - 8.2 Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 8.8 Quebec: HIGH - 8.7 Saskatchewan: VERY HIGH - 14.5 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
November 25, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025

CANADA

VERY HIGH [no change]

About 1 of every 118 people is infected.

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 10.1 About 1 of every 118 people is infected. Estimated infections this week: 583,200-806,200 What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada? Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.6X higher Long COVID: HIGH; 6.0X higher Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 10.4X higher Deaths: VERY HIGH; 12.2X higher HOW TO HELP: EVERYONE: UPDATE vaccines every 6 months WEAR N95-type masks AVOID indoor social gatherings AVOID crowded non-essential places Who is HIGH RISK? People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca
November 10, 2025 at 10:58 PM
Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Prévisions de COVID pour le Canada : NOV 8 - NOV 21, 2025

CANADA

TRÈS ÉLEVÉ [stable]

Environ 1 personne sur 118 est infectée

Par rapport au point le plus bas de la pandémie au Canada :

-Infections : 7.6 x🔺
-COVID longue : 6.0 x🔺
-Hospitalisations : 10.4 x🔺
-Décès : 12.2 x🔺
November 10, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 8.9 Alberta: HIGH - 7.0 British Columbia: HIGH - 8.4 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 14.9 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 11.3 Newfoundland & Labrador: SEVERE - 17.0 North: VERY HIGH - 12.3 Nova Scotia: SEVERE - 16.3 Ontario: HIGH - 7.5 Prince Edward Island: VERY HIGH - 11.8 Quebec: HIGH - 10.0 Saskatchewan: SEVERE - 17.0 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
October 15, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: ON
MODERATE: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, PEI, QC, SK

About 1 in 120 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: 4.8 - MODERATE Alberta: 5.0 - MODERATE British Columbia: 4.4 - MODERATE Manitoba: 4.2 - MODERATE New Brunswick: 4.2 - MODERATE Newfoundland and Labrador: 4.3 - MODERATE North: 4.5 - MODERATE Nova Scotia: 4.5 - MODERATE Ontario: 5.2 - HIGH Prince Edward Island: 4.4 - MODERATE Quebec: 4.8 - MODERATE Saskatchewan: 4.3 - MODERATE A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
July 3, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Apr 12-25, 2025

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, BC, CAN, MB, North, ON, QC
HIGH: NB, NL, NS, PEI, SK
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 151 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the Apr 12-25, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: 11.0 - VERY HIGH Alberta: 11.3 - VERY HIGH British Columbia: 10.2 - VERY HIGH Manitoba: 10.4 - VERY HIGH New Brunswick: 8.7 - HIGH Newfoundland and Labrador: 8.5 - HIGH North: 10.7 - VERY HIGH Nova Scotia: 8.9 - HIGH Ontario: 12.8 - VERY HIGH Prince Edward Island: 9.1 - HIGH Quebec: 10.9 - VERY HIGH Saskatchewan: 9.9 - HIGH A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
April 14, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Reposted by Michael Frost
moriartylab.bsky.social
Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 1-14, 2025

SEVERE: ON
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, MB, North, QC
HIGH: BC, NB, NL, NS, PEI, SK
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 42 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
This image shows gauges with the Feb 1-14, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right:VQ5RF Canada: 12.7 - VERY HIGH Alberta: 10.3 - VERY HIGH British Columbia: 8.5 - HIGH Manitoba: 10.0 - VERY HIGH New Brunswick: 8.4 - HIGH Newfoundland and Labrador: 8.3 - HIGH North: 10.9 - VERY HIGH Nova Scotia: 9.1 - HIGH Ontario: 16.4 - SEVERE Prince Edward Island: 9.3 - HIGH Quebec: 12.7 - VERY HIGH Saskatchewan: 9.9 - HIGH A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
February 3, 2025 at 8:18 PM
Reposted by Michael Frost
amandalhu.bsky.social
Rocking boats and learning about boats needing to be rocked with @jvipondmd.bsky.social at Wordfest. Was grateful to experience the conversation between Catherine Hernandez, Danny Ramadan and Michael Lista (Joe clearly feeling energized 😅) wordfest.com/2024/imaginair…
Picture of man with grey hair, blue shirt and white respirator mask with a woman with black curly hair, a black respirator mask, an olive trench coat, making a peace sign
October 19, 2024 at 8:48 PM
Reposted by Michael Frost
rocket57.bsky.social
Weird.
cnn.com CNN @cnn.com · Oct 19
Whooping cough cases are continuing to rise in the United States, with new data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention showing that there are five times as many cases this year than at this point last year.
Whooping cough cases have exploded since 2023, new CDC data shows | CNN
Whooping cough cases are continuing to rise in the United States, with new data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention showing that there are five times as many cases this year than at...
cnn.it
October 19, 2024 at 5:39 AM