Michael Caley
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michaelcaley.bsky.social
Michael Caley
@michaelcaley.bsky.social
I write the Expecting Goals newsletter (expectinggoals.com) and I'm gonna try to bring soccer analytics to bluesky. Let's see if it works. He/him.
material conditions
November 10, 2025 at 2:43 PM
this is not going to cost them votes like that, that's just not how anything works
November 10, 2025 at 2:18 PM
another, more positive way of putting this

economic majoritarianism is and has always been how the left wins. it's how Zohran won. we lead with economic majoritarianism because that's where the majorities are, and it's why the left can win despite everything stacked against us.
November 10, 2025 at 1:58 PM
it is their best issue

Americans have terrible opinions about immigration, it's confirmed in poll after poll and election after election. I don't like it any more than you do.
November 10, 2025 at 1:56 PM
I mean they're just saying it bsky.app/profile/atru...
Sen. Angus King: "Standing up to Donald Trump didn't work"
November 10, 2025 at 1:48 PM
broadly, what I think this shows is a party insufficiently committed to *politics* such that it can't act in the party's interests to hold a winning line if the line isn't also their deeply-held opinion
November 10, 2025 at 1:37 PM
what I would say is that I think the group that broke is probably >8 but that's not the same as it being a strategy
November 10, 2025 at 12:42 PM
yeah I think there's literally no evidence for any other reading
November 10, 2025 at 12:38 PM