Kevin Bowley
@meteokb.bsky.social
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
Storms like this highlight the influence terrain has on (winter) weather in NY. With low pressure across the Southern Tier, the ADK acts to channel flow down the Mohawk and induce cold air damning in northern NY. Meanwhile, higher elevations stay warmer. Classic icing set-up for northern NY. #nywx
November 9, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Storms like this highlight the influence terrain has on (winter) weather in NY. With low pressure across the Southern Tier, the ADK acts to channel flow down the Mohawk and induce cold air damning in northern NY. Meanwhile, higher elevations stay warmer. Classic icing set-up for northern NY. #nywx
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
Quick comparison of Melissa's structure from TDR now vs. 12 hours ago - while the inner core has barely changed with a similar peak wind speed & RMW, its hurricane-force wind field has slightly expanded. This is not a good development as it approaches Jamaica.
October 28, 2025 at 1:26 AM
Quick comparison of Melissa's structure from TDR now vs. 12 hours ago - while the inner core has barely changed with a similar peak wind speed & RMW, its hurricane-force wind field has slightly expanded. This is not a good development as it approaches Jamaica.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
Hurricane Melissa has a strong poleward outflow channel ahead of an approaching trough. Possible there’s some added dynamical forcing from the trough helping to evacuate air in the outflow layer, but the trough is distant enough to not impart enough vertical wind shear to disrupt the system yet.
Just in case anyone was starting to think that this latest stall in #Melissa might mean it's not going to come north, this water vapor loop shows why we remain confident that it will start coming north/northeast soon. Intense upper level trough digging across FL should "pick it up" soon.
October 28, 2025 at 2:18 AM
Hurricane Melissa has a strong poleward outflow channel ahead of an approaching trough. Possible there’s some added dynamical forcing from the trough helping to evacuate air in the outflow layer, but the trough is distant enough to not impart enough vertical wind shear to disrupt the system yet.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
Tail Doppler Radar (TDR) data from the current recon mission into Melissa shows that the vortex is vertically stacked up to 15 km w/ the upshear/NW quad being the strongest.
This is about as favorable of a vortex structure as you’ll see for rapid intensification
Plots from @cyclonicwx.bsky.social
This is about as favorable of a vortex structure as you’ll see for rapid intensification
Plots from @cyclonicwx.bsky.social
October 26, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Tail Doppler Radar (TDR) data from the current recon mission into Melissa shows that the vortex is vertically stacked up to 15 km w/ the upshear/NW quad being the strongest.
This is about as favorable of a vortex structure as you’ll see for rapid intensification
Plots from @cyclonicwx.bsky.social
This is about as favorable of a vortex structure as you’ll see for rapid intensification
Plots from @cyclonicwx.bsky.social
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
First NWS key messages graphic about the coming eastern US heatwave I discussed in today's newsletter
balancedweather.substack.com/p/more-damag...
balancedweather.substack.com/p/more-damag...
June 16, 2025 at 8:28 PM
First NWS key messages graphic about the coming eastern US heatwave I discussed in today's newsletter
balancedweather.substack.com/p/more-damag...
balancedweather.substack.com/p/more-damag...
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
New study finds that using ChatGPT to write essays led to reduced brain activity & memory compared to writing without tools or using a search engine. While ChatGPT made writing easier, it also caused cognitive offloading, weakening learning and engagement over time.
arxiv.org/pdf/2506.08872
arxiv.org/pdf/2506.08872
arxiv.org
June 15, 2025 at 1:19 PM
New study finds that using ChatGPT to write essays led to reduced brain activity & memory compared to writing without tools or using a search engine. While ChatGPT made writing easier, it also caused cognitive offloading, weakening learning and engagement over time.
arxiv.org/pdf/2506.08872
arxiv.org/pdf/2506.08872
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
OK, this is wild.
In September 2023, geophysicists across the world started monitoring a very odd signal coming from the ground under them.
It was picked up in the Arctic. And Antarctica. It was detected everywhere, every 90 seconds, as regular as a metronome, for *nine days*.
What the HELL?
1/
In September 2023, geophysicists across the world started monitoring a very odd signal coming from the ground under them.
It was picked up in the Arctic. And Antarctica. It was detected everywhere, every 90 seconds, as regular as a metronome, for *nine days*.
What the HELL?
1/
May 12, 2025 at 3:20 PM
OK, this is wild.
In September 2023, geophysicists across the world started monitoring a very odd signal coming from the ground under them.
It was picked up in the Arctic. And Antarctica. It was detected everywhere, every 90 seconds, as regular as a metronome, for *nine days*.
What the HELL?
1/
In September 2023, geophysicists across the world started monitoring a very odd signal coming from the ground under them.
It was picked up in the Arctic. And Antarctica. It was detected everywhere, every 90 seconds, as regular as a metronome, for *nine days*.
What the HELL?
1/
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
There's been lots of talk lately about the "lost decade" in Canada under the Liberal government. It revolves around this chart:
Let's dig into it with a quick thread. 🧵
Let's dig into it with a quick thread. 🧵
April 9, 2025 at 6:39 PM
There's been lots of talk lately about the "lost decade" in Canada under the Liberal government. It revolves around this chart:
Let's dig into it with a quick thread. 🧵
Let's dig into it with a quick thread. 🧵
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
schematic depiction of Maddox et al. (1979)'s "synoptic" pattern for flash floods, redrawn by John Peters for a review article several years ago. (a) is at onset, (b) at a later time. This pattern is going to be in place for like the next four days in the mid-south, with major flooding expected.
April 2, 2025 at 3:11 PM
schematic depiction of Maddox et al. (1979)'s "synoptic" pattern for flash floods, redrawn by John Peters for a review article several years ago. (a) is at onset, (b) at a later time. This pattern is going to be in place for like the next four days in the mid-south, with major flooding expected.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
NSF Unidata is looking for creative people to help set the priorities and direction for our program. We need insights, ideas, and a better understanding of the science data challenges you're facing. Nominate someone (yourself?) to help us serve our community! www.unidata.ucar.edu/blogs/news/e...
March 25, 2025 at 3:52 PM
NSF Unidata is looking for creative people to help set the priorities and direction for our program. We need insights, ideas, and a better understanding of the science data challenges you're facing. Nominate someone (yourself?) to help us serve our community! www.unidata.ucar.edu/blogs/news/e...
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
This is really sad news. NOAA GFDL is one of the world's leading climate modeling centers, home to exceptional scientists. If anyone directly affected needs support, I’m happy to help. www.science.org/content/arti...
NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting
Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions
www.science.org
March 4, 2025 at 8:37 PM
This is really sad news. NOAA GFDL is one of the world's leading climate modeling centers, home to exceptional scientists. If anyone directly affected needs support, I’m happy to help. www.science.org/content/arti...
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
Inspired by talk of how we can better educate our students & those around us on what NOAA is and does, I've begun crafting an online resource here:
kouya.has.arizona.edu/NOAA-overvie...
Partial screenshot below. I'm likely missing content, so ping me if you notice something that should be included!
kouya.has.arizona.edu/NOAA-overvie...
Partial screenshot below. I'm likely missing content, so ping me if you notice something that should be included!
February 28, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Inspired by talk of how we can better educate our students & those around us on what NOAA is and does, I've begun crafting an online resource here:
kouya.has.arizona.edu/NOAA-overvie...
Partial screenshot below. I'm likely missing content, so ping me if you notice something that should be included!
kouya.has.arizona.edu/NOAA-overvie...
Partial screenshot below. I'm likely missing content, so ping me if you notice something that should be included!
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
The AMS stands in support of federal employees impacted by layoffs across agencies including NOAA. Many are vital members of our community who do invaluable work.
As we work to respond, here are a few AMS resources available to everyone who needs them: bit.ly/4kgQvK5
As we work to respond, here are a few AMS resources available to everyone who needs them: bit.ly/4kgQvK5
February 28, 2025 at 8:31 PM
The AMS stands in support of federal employees impacted by layoffs across agencies including NOAA. Many are vital members of our community who do invaluable work.
As we work to respond, here are a few AMS resources available to everyone who needs them: bit.ly/4kgQvK5
As we work to respond, here are a few AMS resources available to everyone who needs them: bit.ly/4kgQvK5
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
To everyone at NOAA fired today:
You are an incredible human being. You signed up to serve the public. I deeply appreciate what you've given to your team, to NOAA, to our country as a whole.
Your firing is unconscionable. It runs counter to the values we stand for. And we will stand up for you.
You are an incredible human being. You signed up to serve the public. I deeply appreciate what you've given to your team, to NOAA, to our country as a whole.
Your firing is unconscionable. It runs counter to the values we stand for. And we will stand up for you.
February 27, 2025 at 11:05 PM
To everyone at NOAA fired today:
You are an incredible human being. You signed up to serve the public. I deeply appreciate what you've given to your team, to NOAA, to our country as a whole.
Your firing is unconscionable. It runs counter to the values we stand for. And we will stand up for you.
You are an incredible human being. You signed up to serve the public. I deeply appreciate what you've given to your team, to NOAA, to our country as a whole.
Your firing is unconscionable. It runs counter to the values we stand for. And we will stand up for you.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
The AMS is temporarily opening its career services to all who need them, regardless of membership status, and offering dues waivers and meeting registration fee reductions for those impacted by job loss due to changes in the government.
Read more: bit.ly/4gRiHAk
Read more: bit.ly/4gRiHAk
February 21, 2025 at 4:09 PM
The AMS is temporarily opening its career services to all who need them, regardless of membership status, and offering dues waivers and meeting registration fee reductions for those impacted by job loss due to changes in the government.
Read more: bit.ly/4gRiHAk
Read more: bit.ly/4gRiHAk
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
🧵The combination of icing and strong winds tonight/tomorrow will likely produce outages - and *possibly* a significant outage event if ice remains on the trees when the winds pick up tonight.
First, here's the amount of <32F precip observed by the
NYS Mesonet over the last 24h. #nywx
First, here's the amount of <32F precip observed by the
NYS Mesonet over the last 24h. #nywx
February 16, 2025 at 2:47 PM
🧵The combination of icing and strong winds tonight/tomorrow will likely produce outages - and *possibly* a significant outage event if ice remains on the trees when the winds pick up tonight.
First, here's the amount of <32F precip observed by the
NYS Mesonet over the last 24h. #nywx
First, here's the amount of <32F precip observed by the
NYS Mesonet over the last 24h. #nywx
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
Those that were laid off, here is a resource for you.
And reach out to us for a free, confidential legal 1:1 if you feel like they're being violated:
Online form: www.csldf.org/contact
Email: lawyer@csldf.org
Phone or Signal: (646) 801-0853
Online form: www.csldf.org/contact
Email: lawyer@csldf.org
Phone or Signal: (646) 801-0853
February 14, 2025 at 1:48 AM
Those that were laid off, here is a resource for you.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
If you’re an NWS met who will find themselves unfairly and unjustly looking for work, first let me say it’s terrible and wrong. And I hope you end up back helping keep us all safer and informed again sooner than later. This too shall pass (I hope).
February 14, 2025 at 12:48 AM
If you’re an NWS met who will find themselves unfairly and unjustly looking for work, first let me say it’s terrible and wrong. And I hope you end up back helping keep us all safer and informed again sooner than later. This too shall pass (I hope).
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
AMS joins numerous professional societies in a commitment to champion scientific integrity--including academic freedom, inclusion of diverse perspectives, and policies grounded in scientific evidence--and support scientists, scientific data, and science funding.
Read more: unitedsciencealliance.org
Read more: unitedsciencealliance.org
February 13, 2025 at 6:21 PM
AMS joins numerous professional societies in a commitment to champion scientific integrity--including academic freedom, inclusion of diverse perspectives, and policies grounded in scientific evidence--and support scientists, scientific data, and science funding.
Read more: unitedsciencealliance.org
Read more: unitedsciencealliance.org
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
The AMS joins over 230 organizations and 2,600 individuals in submitting the following letter to Congress, expressing concern and strong opposition to the selective removal of public data from federal websites: bit.ly/42RqXwR
February 11, 2025 at 9:27 PM
The AMS joins over 230 organizations and 2,600 individuals in submitting the following letter to Congress, expressing concern and strong opposition to the selective removal of public data from federal websites: bit.ly/42RqXwR
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
8. It is difficult to overstate what a catastrophe this will be for the US research and education systems, particular in biomedical fields.
It is deliberate and wanton devastation entirely out of scale with any concern about DEI activities on campuses.
The goal is destroy US universities.
It is deliberate and wanton devastation entirely out of scale with any concern about DEI activities on campuses.
The goal is destroy US universities.
February 8, 2025 at 12:46 AM
8. It is difficult to overstate what a catastrophe this will be for the US research and education systems, particular in biomedical fields.
It is deliberate and wanton devastation entirely out of scale with any concern about DEI activities on campuses.
The goal is destroy US universities.
It is deliberate and wanton devastation entirely out of scale with any concern about DEI activities on campuses.
The goal is destroy US universities.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
7. This order did not come out of nowhere. It was a core component of Lindsey Burke's Dept. of Education chapter in the Project 2025 report.
(Private foundations typically pay 10-15% overhead rates, and the logic of this comparison is made explicit in today's Supplemental Guidance from NIH.)
(Private foundations typically pay 10-15% overhead rates, and the logic of this comparison is made explicit in today's Supplemental Guidance from NIH.)
February 8, 2025 at 12:41 AM
7. This order did not come out of nowhere. It was a core component of Lindsey Burke's Dept. of Education chapter in the Project 2025 report.
(Private foundations typically pay 10-15% overhead rates, and the logic of this comparison is made explicit in today's Supplemental Guidance from NIH.)
(Private foundations typically pay 10-15% overhead rates, and the logic of this comparison is made explicit in today's Supplemental Guidance from NIH.)
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
6. The policy does not just affect funding going forward. All existing NIH grants will have their indirect rates cut to 15% as of today, the date of issuance.
For a large university, this creates a sudden and catastrophic shortfall of hundreds of millions of dollars against already budgeted funds.
For a large university, this creates a sudden and catastrophic shortfall of hundreds of millions of dollars against already budgeted funds.
February 8, 2025 at 12:33 AM
6. The policy does not just affect funding going forward. All existing NIH grants will have their indirect rates cut to 15% as of today, the date of issuance.
For a large university, this creates a sudden and catastrophic shortfall of hundreds of millions of dollars against already budgeted funds.
For a large university, this creates a sudden and catastrophic shortfall of hundreds of millions of dollars against already budgeted funds.
Reposted by Kevin Bowley
5. Other schools may have even higher overhead rates. Harvard's is around 69%.
This new order slashes that percentage to a maximum of 15%. This means cutting one of the most important sources of university funding nationwide by 75% or more.
Universities cannot function with this scale of cut.
This new order slashes that percentage to a maximum of 15%. This means cutting one of the most important sources of university funding nationwide by 75% or more.
Universities cannot function with this scale of cut.
February 8, 2025 at 12:28 AM
5. Other schools may have even higher overhead rates. Harvard's is around 69%.
This new order slashes that percentage to a maximum of 15%. This means cutting one of the most important sources of university funding nationwide by 75% or more.
Universities cannot function with this scale of cut.
This new order slashes that percentage to a maximum of 15%. This means cutting one of the most important sources of university funding nationwide by 75% or more.
Universities cannot function with this scale of cut.