Max Mendez-Parra
@max-mp.bsky.social
Trade and investment analysis aficionado, generally applied to Africa, UK and Argentina. Keen cyclist. Frustrated rock star, footballer and many other things. Views are only mine.
Digital trade is boosting trade in services and reshaping economic blocs. Globalisation is increasingly dominated by trade in services.
An evolving global trade landscape: from goods to services
In the latest "This Week in Macroeconomics", Principal Research Fellow, Max Mendez-Parra, uncovers a transformation in globalisation itself: a shift away from goods trade and towards a surging, digita...
odi.org
July 4, 2025 at 6:00 AM
Digital trade is boosting trade in services and reshaping economic blocs. Globalisation is increasingly dominated by trade in services.
ODI: Think change:The impact of Chinese preferences on Africa odi.org/en/insights/...
The impact of Chinese preferences on Africa
China has announced an expansion of its preferential access for African nations, extending its current duty-free policy to encompass all African countries (with the exception of Eswatini). This blog a...
odi.org
July 4, 2025 at 5:58 AM
ODI: Think change:The impact of Chinese preferences on Africa odi.org/en/insights/...
From the #WIR The #US, for the first time since 1990, in 2024 was a net investment receiver (on greenfield investment). @unctad.bsky.social Chips and Science Act? IRA?
June 19, 2025 at 12:53 PM
From the #WIR The #US, for the first time since 1990, in 2024 was a net investment receiver (on greenfield investment). @unctad.bsky.social Chips and Science Act? IRA?
The average value of low-value consignment in the EU is Euros 10.50 (Copehagen Economics, 2023); so this fee is equivalent to a duty of around 20% (average); well above the average tariff not applied under de minimis provisions.
www.ft.com/content/102e...
www.ft.com/content/102e...
EU to impose €2 tax on low-cost items in blow to Temu and Shein
Brussels plans handling fee on billions of small packages imported mainly from China
www.ft.com
May 20, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The average value of low-value consignment in the EU is Euros 10.50 (Copehagen Economics, 2023); so this fee is equivalent to a duty of around 20% (average); well above the average tariff not applied under de minimis provisions.
www.ft.com/content/102e...
www.ft.com/content/102e...
ODI: Think change:US implements sweeping reciprocal tariffs, igniting global economic challenges @odi.global @odi-trade.bsky.social odi.org/en/insights/...
US implements sweeping reciprocal tariffs, igniting global economic challenges
Beyond the immediate concerns about the economic effects of these tariffs, the reciprocal measures are indicative of a broader trend towards a more isolationist US policy and a gradual detachment from...
odi.org
April 4, 2025 at 2:55 PM
ODI: Think change:US implements sweeping reciprocal tariffs, igniting global economic challenges @odi.global @odi-trade.bsky.social odi.org/en/insights/...
Is this Trump's Liz Truss moment?
Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling Toward Worst Day Since 2022 www.nytimes.com/live/2025/04...
Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling Toward Worst Day Since 2022 www.nytimes.com/live/2025/04...
Trump Tariffs Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling Toward Worst Day Since 2022
Stocks fell sharply in the U.S., Asia and Europe. Allies and adversaries alike criticized President Trump’s action and weighed their responses.
www.nytimes.com
April 3, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Is this Trump's Liz Truss moment?
Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling Toward Worst Day Since 2022 www.nytimes.com/live/2025/04...
Live Updates: Tariffs Send Wall Street Tumbling Toward Worst Day Since 2022 www.nytimes.com/live/2025/04...
It is part of the package. Less exports, more available at home to drink and forget. Cunning plan.
UK food and drink exports to the EU down 34% since Brexit
Food and Drink Federation say businesses are struggling to deal with added ‘complexity and bureaucracy’
www.theguardian.com
March 14, 2025 at 8:55 AM
It is part of the package. Less exports, more available at home to drink and forget. Cunning plan.
Assuming countries want to continue playing by the rules, rising their MFN tariffs to restrict imports from China may put them at risk of being hit by the US reciprocal tariffs (although, we need to see what they mean)
Why China Is Worried About Trump’s Tariffs on Mexico
China’s exports to developing markets have soared, opening indirect routes to the U.S. market that officials in Beijing worry may be closed under pressure from President Trump.
www.nytimes.com
March 14, 2025 at 7:11 AM
Assuming countries want to continue playing by the rules, rising their MFN tariffs to restrict imports from China may put them at risk of being hit by the US reciprocal tariffs (although, we need to see what they mean)
Tariffs as leverage, to raise revenue and to re-industrialise are mutually inconsistent policy objectives.
Trump’s Big Bet: Americans Will Tolerate Economic Downturn to Restore Manufacturing
The president offers many reasons for imposing tariffs, including revenue, leverage over competitors and job creation. But history suggests a more complex history.
www.nytimes.com
March 13, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Tariffs as leverage, to raise revenue and to re-industrialise are mutually inconsistent policy objectives.
There are so many... but I guess how easy is to find the UK at the bottom of any table of European countries in any economic/trade/investment dimension
Which is YOUR favourite "hard-won Brexit freedom"???
Presumably the delivery of celebrity status to trade wonks must be among the top three...
Presumably the delivery of celebrity status to trade wonks must be among the top three...
The laughter across the Labour benches at Badenoch’s “hard-won Brexit freedoms” was indicative of a country in which most voters think the project has been a failure.
December 19, 2024 at 9:23 AM
There are so many... but I guess how easy is to find the UK at the bottom of any table of European countries in any economic/trade/investment dimension
This is wrong. They don't even believe in what they sell. The rule says 'never consume your own product'.
December 19, 2024 at 9:13 AM
This is wrong. They don't even believe in what they sell. The rule says 'never consume your own product'.
As China-US tensions escalate, their impact is felt globally.
@max-mp.bsky.social explores the origins and implications of this growing rivalry, the crucial role of #semiconductors and the risks of a broader economic downturn.
With both nations vying for dominance, the stakes are high.
Read more⤵️
@max-mp.bsky.social explores the origins and implications of this growing rivalry, the crucial role of #semiconductors and the risks of a broader economic downturn.
With both nations vying for dominance, the stakes are high.
Read more⤵️
Rising China-US tensions fuel global economic slowdown
US-China tensions are disrupting global trade and economic growth. Competition over critical technologies like semiconductors is fueling export restrictions and a shift towards protectionism. This "T...
odi.org
December 18, 2024 at 2:37 PM
Reposted by Max Mendez-Parra
Should be in every newsagents window.
December 17, 2024 at 10:38 PM
Should be in every newsagents window.
Reposted by Max Mendez-Parra
A typically sagacious thread from the good doctor, and I would add to this point that one of the reasons I so strongly advocate UK alignment with the EU on goods regulation except if there is a good reason why not is to reduce the burden on the state from an otherwise enormous job.
December 13, 2024 at 9:52 AM
A typically sagacious thread from the good doctor, and I would add to this point that one of the reasons I so strongly advocate UK alignment with the EU on goods regulation except if there is a good reason why not is to reduce the burden on the state from an otherwise enormous job.
Reposted by Max Mendez-Parra
Join us at #2024AEC in Gaborone for a critical discussion on navigating uncertainty and building resilience in Africa.
24 Nov. | 13:00 GMT+2
We'll explore:
– Impact of global shocks
– Finance & investment for resilience
– Regional cooperation & integration
– Policy recommendations
Register now⤵️
24 Nov. | 13:00 GMT+2
We'll explore:
– Impact of global shocks
– Finance & investment for resilience
– Regional cooperation & integration
– Policy recommendations
Register now⤵️
Africa Economic Conference 2024 | Navigating uncertainty: strategies for building resilience in Africa
Join us for a special session at the Africa Economic Conference 2024 for a critical discussion on how Africa can navigate a complex and uncertain global landscape to secure a resilient and prosperous ...
odi.org
November 22, 2024 at 3:56 PM
Join us at #2024AEC in Gaborone for a critical discussion on navigating uncertainty and building resilience in Africa.
24 Nov. | 13:00 GMT+2
We'll explore:
– Impact of global shocks
– Finance & investment for resilience
– Regional cooperation & integration
– Policy recommendations
Register now⤵️
24 Nov. | 13:00 GMT+2
We'll explore:
– Impact of global shocks
– Finance & investment for resilience
– Regional cooperation & integration
– Policy recommendations
Register now⤵️
Reposted by Max Mendez-Parra
Putin can be pushed to doing something rash, but only by a direct, existential threat to his regime.
Nothing that occurs in Ukraine or near it rises to that level.
War induced economic and social discontent in Russia's provinces is likely a bigger threat to Putin than the Ukrainian military.
Nothing that occurs in Ukraine or near it rises to that level.
War induced economic and social discontent in Russia's provinces is likely a bigger threat to Putin than the Ukrainian military.
November 21, 2024 at 12:16 PM
Putin can be pushed to doing something rash, but only by a direct, existential threat to his regime.
Nothing that occurs in Ukraine or near it rises to that level.
War induced economic and social discontent in Russia's provinces is likely a bigger threat to Putin than the Ukrainian military.
Nothing that occurs in Ukraine or near it rises to that level.
War induced economic and social discontent in Russia's provinces is likely a bigger threat to Putin than the Ukrainian military.