Matt Glassman
@mattglassman312.bsky.social
Congressional Procedure Nerd. Dad to three girls. Amazing Oh Hell player.
I wrote something about sports betting, and about the varieties of gambling and their various social optimalities.
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
Ten thoughts on sports betting
It's a bad sign when something starts to resemble a slot machine
open.substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 9:44 PM
I wrote something about sports betting, and about the varieties of gambling and their various social optimalities.
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
Reposted by Matt Glassman
Luckily people in Toronto care more about hockey, and they just won that title in 1967.
November 2, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Luckily people in Toronto care more about hockey, and they just won that title in 1967.
Luckily people in Toronto care more about hockey, and they just won that title in 1967.
November 2, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Luckily people in Toronto care more about hockey, and they just won that title in 1967.
Baseball is the least exciting sport, except when it's the most exciting.
November 2, 2025 at 3:57 AM
Baseball is the least exciting sport, except when it's the most exciting.
Don't forget to turn your clocks back in the middle of the 16th.
November 2, 2025 at 3:56 AM
Don't forget to turn your clocks back in the middle of the 16th.
There's nothing more fun that a statistical analysis of a trick or treating session. From the deep (2011!) archives!
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
Nerd(s)
There's always a reason to apply statistical analysis
open.substack.com
November 1, 2025 at 1:11 PM
There's nothing more fun that a statistical analysis of a trick or treating session. From the deep (2011!) archives!
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
Reposted by Matt Glassman
Here's me today on shutdown politics goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/shutdown-p...
And here's @mattglassman312.bsky.social mattglassman.substack.com/p/a-strategi...
We agree on almost everything, including that a shutdown is mostly a "do something" idea, except our final position...
And here's @mattglassman312.bsky.social mattglassman.substack.com/p/a-strategi...
We agree on almost everything, including that a shutdown is mostly a "do something" idea, except our final position...
September 9, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Here's me today on shutdown politics goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/shutdown-p...
And here's @mattglassman312.bsky.social mattglassman.substack.com/p/a-strategi...
We agree on almost everything, including that a shutdown is mostly a "do something" idea, except our final position...
And here's @mattglassman312.bsky.social mattglassman.substack.com/p/a-strategi...
We agree on almost everything, including that a shutdown is mostly a "do something" idea, except our final position...
Well, this restaurant just opened in DC. OMFG.
September 4, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Well, this restaurant just opened in DC. OMFG.
Well, this restaurant just opened in DC. OMFG.
September 4, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Well, this restaurant just opened in DC. OMFG.
I wrote about pocket rescissions, PTA meetings, and the problem of treating plainly absurd actions as technical legalistic questions.
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
Is that a rescission in your pocket?
I-C-A looming problem for congressional spending supremacy.
open.substack.com
September 2, 2025 at 7:56 PM
I wrote about pocket rescissions, PTA meetings, and the problem of treating plainly absurd actions as technical legalistic questions.
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
open.substack.com/pub/mattglas...
Today has always been one of my sneaky favorite sports days: Little League World Series American Championship game, followed directly by the Travers from Saratoga. Great side-sports double.
August 23, 2025 at 7:30 PM
Today has always been one of my sneaky favorite sports days: Little League World Series American Championship game, followed directly by the Travers from Saratoga. Great side-sports double.
P(A|B) = (P(B|A)*P(A))/P(B)
July 13, 2025 at 6:06 PM
P(A|B) = (P(B|A)*P(A))/P(B)
Obviously, we can't *know* how this will go but it's worth remembering that, for the HFC (and often others), this pseudo-drama *itself* is a necessary component of the side-payment in exchange for their vote, not something you could have avoided had you taken a different path.
July 2, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Obviously, we can't *know* how this will go but it's worth remembering that, for the HFC (and often others), this pseudo-drama *itself* is a necessary component of the side-payment in exchange for their vote, not something you could have avoided had you taken a different path.
I have such a soft spot for the poker pros---so many wonderful people I've crossed paths with over the years---and watching them get crushed financially a second time by a legislative provision in omnibus legislation (first time was UIGEA in '06) is really painful.
July 2, 2025 at 12:56 AM
I have such a soft spot for the poker pros---so many wonderful people I've crossed paths with over the years---and watching them get crushed financially a second time by a legislative provision in omnibus legislation (first time was UIGEA in '06) is really painful.
I would personally be very surprised if the House GOP didn't eat the Senate bill. You will get some kicking and screaming, and maybe some fighting over who gets to vote no, but I'd feel good laying 4-1 this passes by the weekend.
July 1, 2025 at 4:35 PM
I would personally be very surprised if the House GOP didn't eat the Senate bill. You will get some kicking and screaming, and maybe some fighting over who gets to vote no, but I'd feel good laying 4-1 this passes by the weekend.
I love the minute by minute vote-a-rama floor drama over this or that, but if there’s just going to be a wrap amendment anyway, the only thing that matters is the off-floor negotiations over the substance of the wraparound.
June 30, 2025 at 2:56 PM
I love the minute by minute vote-a-rama floor drama over this or that, but if there’s just going to be a wrap amendment anyway, the only thing that matters is the off-floor negotiations over the substance of the wraparound.
I'm not a fan of just tossing Senate precedent/practice, but it's getting a little breathless on this topic. A friendly ruling from the chair that is backed by a majority on appeal *has* to be legitimate, because it's the basis of how American legislative assemblies work.
June 30, 2025 at 11:51 AM
I'm not a fan of just tossing Senate precedent/practice, but it's getting a little breathless on this topic. A friendly ruling from the chair that is backed by a majority on appeal *has* to be legitimate, because it's the basis of how American legislative assemblies work.
Spotted in Rayburn. Trying to picture the vibe at a casework celebration happy hour.
June 25, 2025 at 2:28 PM
Spotted in Rayburn. Trying to picture the vibe at a casework celebration happy hour.
Hot take: POTUS swearing in public has little or no substantive importance for policy or the institution or anything else, and is strategically important only in that it will focus the press coverage and public awareness onto that statement, which is the point of swearing.
June 24, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Hot take: POTUS swearing in public has little or no substantive importance for policy or the institution or anything else, and is strategically important only in that it will focus the press coverage and public awareness onto that statement, which is the point of swearing.
Holy crap. 96,347 words later, I have a complete first draft of my Oh Hell strategy guide/memoir.
June 4, 2025 at 11:52 PM
Holy crap. 96,347 words later, I have a complete first draft of my Oh Hell strategy guide/memoir.
Reposted by Matt Glassman
The similarities between my takes in the article and @mattglassman312.bsky.social's suggest that @gracesegers.bsky.social has enormous patience because she basically heard the same thing twice and I took *many* minutes to make my points.
I am once again asking you to read an article I wrote about the filibuster
newrepublic.com/article/1956...
newrepublic.com/article/1956...
Senate Republicans Flirt With Nuking the Filibuster
GOP Senators are chipping away at the 60-vote threshold, marking one more step toward majority rule in the upper chamber.
newrepublic.com
May 23, 2025 at 6:40 PM
The similarities between my takes in the article and @mattglassman312.bsky.social's suggest that @gracesegers.bsky.social has enormous patience because she basically heard the same thing twice and I took *many* minutes to make my points.
My daughter's frisbee team won the VA high school state title yesterday, and it is really wild watching your kid do something you know they will remember the rest of their life.
May 19, 2025 at 2:15 PM
My daughter's frisbee team won the VA high school state title yesterday, and it is really wild watching your kid do something you know they will remember the rest of their life.
I cannot begin to explain how unusual it is for an agency head to reject the administration's budget request wholesale in public. This usually gets you fired. Honestly makes me wonder if the skinny budget is just straight bullshit.
May 8, 2025 at 11:26 AM
I cannot begin to explain how unusual it is for an agency head to reject the administration's budget request wholesale in public. This usually gets you fired. Honestly makes me wonder if the skinny budget is just straight bullshit.