Mark Graph
@mark-graph.bsky.social
Data. Python. Economics. Social policy. Politics. Analysis. Australia. Not financial advice. Links tweets follows ≠ endorsement. https://marktheballot.blogspot.com/
I felt very nervous before the 2019 election because the low variance in the set of opinion polls was mathematically implausible. It turned out those polls were just wrong. I am alert to a possible repeat in 2025, albeit the low variance in 2025 is nowhere near as bad as 2019.
April 30, 2025 at 1:14 AM
I felt very nervous before the 2019 election because the low variance in the set of opinion polls was mathematically implausible. It turned out those polls were just wrong. I am alert to a possible repeat in 2025, albeit the low variance in 2025 is nowhere near as bad as 2019.