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Causal Inference.
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The WTO has named Robert Staiger as its new Chief Economist.

Here is my @trade--talks.bsky.social podcast conversation in 2023 with Bob where he shared his thoughts about the WTO.
180. The WTO is in trouble. Econ 101 to the rescue?
How understanding the WTO’s past can help foster its revival – including for policy challenges like climate and China’s non-market economy.
tradetalkspodcast.com
September 18, 2025 at 6:48 PM
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https://on.ft.com/461Und0 French companies’ borrowing costs fall below government’s as debt fears intensify
September 14, 2025 at 7:33 AM
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New The Effect materials today: introductions to basic coding and data manipulation in R, Stata, and Python. Get the wheels turning on using these languages with data with these intro pages and exercises:
nickchk.com/Coding%20and...
nickchk.com/Coding%20and...
nickchk.com/Coding%20and...
Introduction to Working with Data: R Version
nickchk.com
September 5, 2025 at 8:29 PM
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Comment concilier cela ? Simple, l'estimation du gouvernement ne porte que sur les biens, avec une évaluation différente pour les imports et les exports. L'excédent français ds les services (60 mds d'euros) est oublié! Pour en savoir +, voir ce post de blog www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/blog2024/fr/...
2024: La France en excédent extérieur courant
www.ofce.sciences-po.fr
July 22, 2025 at 7:58 PM
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Is the EU heading towards a financial resource curse? Cheap imports (and capital flows) from China could crowd out economic activity in tradable industries in the EU, causing a productivity growth slowdown. crei.cat/wp-content/u...
July 31, 2025 at 4:35 AM
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Koijen & Yogo's (2019) demand system approach transformed asset pricing by linking portfolio data to demand elasticities. But why are estimated elasticities so low (around 1) when classical models say they should be much higher?

Enter Fuchs, Fukuda & Neuhann (2025)
June 9, 2025 at 9:37 PM
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the network theorists are getting excited!

that's never a good sign for you, if you are any kind of normal person
April 27, 2025 at 6:47 PM
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The second edition of The Effect is now available for preorder! This version has a whole new chapter on Partial Identification, a considerable update on staggered treatment and control variables in DID, and zillions of other little updates throughout. www.routledge.com/The-Effect-A...
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality, Second edition is about research design, specifically concerning research that uses observational data to make a causal inference. It is s...
www.routledge.com
April 1, 2025 at 6:17 PM
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March 5, 2025 at 3:15 PM
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Sketching out the next DiD estimator.
In six words or fewer, write a story about this photo.
#sixwordstory #WritingCommmunity #writing #prompt
February 26, 2025 at 11:54 AM
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Inheritance flows are rising as a share of national output in many rich countries (The Economist)
February 27, 2025 at 1:05 PM
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Excited to announce we’re launching a new short course at @lshtm.bsky.social, focused on infectious disease outbreak analytics & applied transmission modelling in R!

Based on your feedback, we’ve designed this online, flexible course to cover 5 days of content over 4 weeks in July 2025...
February 26, 2025 at 4:40 PM
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Le juge saisi des viols à Betharram : « En 1998, j’ai confirmé à François Bayrou que les faits étaient patents et établis »

www.mediapart.fr/journal/fran...
Le juge saisi des viols à Betharram : « En 1998, j’ai confirmé à François Bayrou que les faits étaient patents et établis »
Si François Bayrou persiste à dire qu’il ignorait les accusations de violences physiques et sexuelles qui pesaient à la fin des années 1990 sur Notre-Dame de Bétharram, un témoin central plombe encor…
www.mediapart.fr
February 12, 2025 at 9:33 PM
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Harvard has started a public mirror of data.gov to prevent datasets from disappearing under the new administration: lil.law.harvard.edu/blog/2025/02...

h/t @danyx.bsky.social
Data.gov Home - Data.gov
data.gov
February 7, 2025 at 7:50 PM
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“If the freeze is not stopped, I might lose my house."

Some NSF-funded postdocs are having trouble paying rent and credit card bills because their salaries were paused this week, even though the federal funding freeze memo was rescinded.

www.statnews.com/2025/01/30/t...
National Science Foundation suspends salary payments, leaving researchers unable to pay their bills
An NSF online payment system remained down after the federal funding freeze was lifted, leaving early-career scientists scrambling to pay bills
www.statnews.com
January 30, 2025 at 11:07 PM
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Apropos of nothing, here's a discussion I did on AI in Finance three and a half years ago:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=VyoP...

Thread continues:
2021, Economics of Artificial Intelligence, Paul Goldsmith Pinkham, "Workplace Automation and..."
YouTube video by NBER
www.youtube.com
January 27, 2025 at 8:12 PM
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For those who didn't make it to #ASSA2025: strongly recommend @sendhil.bsky.social's AEA distinguished lecture, available at www.aeaweb.org/webcasts/202... (starting at minute 16)!
American Economic Association: AEA Excellence Awards and Distinguished Lecture
www.aeaweb.org
January 8, 2025 at 4:16 PM
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I've gotten a flurry of requests to access my slides on "Models, Measurement, and Language in Economics" (presumably thanks to the great new year's reading list from @rohitlamba.bsky.social). The file is publicly available via my web page, but here is the link: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ntgkb...
www.dropbox.com
January 3, 2025 at 3:33 PM
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Here are the first five sets of slides:

01 Introduction: psantanna.com/DiD/01_Intro...

02 Classical 2x2 setup: psantanna.com/DiD/02_two_b...

03 Clustering issues: psantanna.com/DiD/03_Clust...

04 Functional form: psantanna.com/DiD/04_Funct...

05 Covariates: psantanna.com/DiD/05_Covar...
December 30, 2024 at 5:19 AM
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Academics finishing the semester: FINALLY I can start working on my work!
December 17, 2024 at 2:07 AM
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C’est pas loin d’être le mec le plus occupé de France en ce moment, mais @simnasr.bsky.social a pris le temps d’enregistrer hier un long podcast pour expliquer la surprise stratégique de l’année, et se demander ce qui a permis cette fois, et pour de bon, la chute de 50 ans de tyrannie Assad.
December 10, 2024 at 10:31 AM
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December 9, 2024 at 5:23 AM