Obi Wan Knewbi
@lovango.bsky.social
Positive Vibrations
Animal lover (V)
Diehard Detroit Lions fan
Scientific method > Uninformed opinions
Pro-spirituality / Anti-religion
Pro Bitcoin / Anti-"crypto bro"
My posts are essentially my trading journal. I love to hear thoughts & feedback.
Animal lover (V)
Diehard Detroit Lions fan
Scientific method > Uninformed opinions
Pro-spirituality / Anti-religion
Pro Bitcoin / Anti-"crypto bro"
My posts are essentially my trading journal. I love to hear thoughts & feedback.
Update - Looks like the green scenario, almost to perfection!
It's time to take an updated look for new opportunities and to continue to shape my longer term plan over the next few months.
Will update in a separate post.
It's time to take an updated look for new opportunities and to continue to shape my longer term plan over the next few months.
Will update in a separate post.
January 22, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Update - Looks like the green scenario, almost to perfection!
It's time to take an updated look for new opportunities and to continue to shape my longer term plan over the next few months.
Will update in a separate post.
It's time to take an updated look for new opportunities and to continue to shape my longer term plan over the next few months.
Will update in a separate post.
"I'm kind of new to crypto and am not sure what to do"
Obviously, we're all in different scenarios, but I'd like to take a stab at probabilities and outcomes.
1st - As always, all things in crypto depend on #BTC. What BTC does impacts everything else.
Let's take a look at 3 likely scenarios:
Obviously, we're all in different scenarios, but I'd like to take a stab at probabilities and outcomes.
1st - As always, all things in crypto depend on #BTC. What BTC does impacts everything else.
Let's take a look at 3 likely scenarios:
January 13, 2025 at 2:53 PM
"I'm kind of new to crypto and am not sure what to do"
Obviously, we're all in different scenarios, but I'd like to take a stab at probabilities and outcomes.
1st - As always, all things in crypto depend on #BTC. What BTC does impacts everything else.
Let's take a look at 3 likely scenarios:
Obviously, we're all in different scenarios, but I'd like to take a stab at probabilities and outcomes.
1st - As always, all things in crypto depend on #BTC. What BTC does impacts everything else.
Let's take a look at 3 likely scenarios:
Blue = Support
Yellow = Midrange
Orange = Resistance
- Green bar shows lowering volume on price decrease (bullish)
- Blue support shows multiple tests (bearish)
- Orange bar shows only 1 attempt at resistance (tbd)
Conflicted here & will wait for the midrange behavior for entries.
Yellow = Midrange
Orange = Resistance
- Green bar shows lowering volume on price decrease (bullish)
- Blue support shows multiple tests (bearish)
- Orange bar shows only 1 attempt at resistance (tbd)
Conflicted here & will wait for the midrange behavior for entries.
December 31, 2024 at 3:55 PM
Blue = Support
Yellow = Midrange
Orange = Resistance
- Green bar shows lowering volume on price decrease (bullish)
- Blue support shows multiple tests (bearish)
- Orange bar shows only 1 attempt at resistance (tbd)
Conflicted here & will wait for the midrange behavior for entries.
Yellow = Midrange
Orange = Resistance
- Green bar shows lowering volume on price decrease (bullish)
- Blue support shows multiple tests (bearish)
- Orange bar shows only 1 attempt at resistance (tbd)
Conflicted here & will wait for the midrange behavior for entries.
#BTC Update
Looking healthy to me for the green scenario. Back above $98k after a (bit of a scary) retest.
Always leaning long in a bull market, but we must be ready to play defense at all times, of course.
Next - looking to see if we pop, or establish a range + consolidation.
Looking healthy to me for the green scenario. Back above $98k after a (bit of a scary) retest.
Always leaning long in a bull market, but we must be ready to play defense at all times, of course.
Next - looking to see if we pop, or establish a range + consolidation.
December 11, 2024 at 2:59 PM
#BTC Update
Looking healthy to me for the green scenario. Back above $98k after a (bit of a scary) retest.
Always leaning long in a bull market, but we must be ready to play defense at all times, of course.
Next - looking to see if we pop, or establish a range + consolidation.
Looking healthy to me for the green scenario. Back above $98k after a (bit of a scary) retest.
Always leaning long in a bull market, but we must be ready to play defense at all times, of course.
Next - looking to see if we pop, or establish a range + consolidation.
All eyes on #BTC here
If that 1st support (clear box) should fail, look out below
In simple terms, if we lose $90k I might look to exit a few positions and re-enter low
Unfortunately for some, likely much lower as you can see the space below / between the next supports imo
Could be an ugly week
If that 1st support (clear box) should fail, look out below
In simple terms, if we lose $90k I might look to exit a few positions and re-enter low
Unfortunately for some, likely much lower as you can see the space below / between the next supports imo
Could be an ugly week
December 10, 2024 at 4:50 PM
All eyes on #BTC here
If that 1st support (clear box) should fail, look out below
In simple terms, if we lose $90k I might look to exit a few positions and re-enter low
Unfortunately for some, likely much lower as you can see the space below / between the next supports imo
Could be an ugly week
If that 1st support (clear box) should fail, look out below
In simple terms, if we lose $90k I might look to exit a few positions and re-enter low
Unfortunately for some, likely much lower as you can see the space below / between the next supports imo
Could be an ugly week
#SOL alts like #FWOG have taken a beating lately as we can see here (D).
SOL doesn't look great, so the red outcome is on the table, as most tokens go the way of the parent. We are in a strong bull market though, so I expect green & am bidding on SOL alts, even if they may not be the next to run.
SOL doesn't look great, so the red outcome is on the table, as most tokens go the way of the parent. We are in a strong bull market though, so I expect green & am bidding on SOL alts, even if they may not be the next to run.
December 10, 2024 at 3:05 PM
The #TOTAL3 daily is a bit less clear to me, though I lean towards the green scenario - a violent flush + resume uptrend.
We could also see some chop in a range (yellow), or a continuation down (red) depending on other variables.
Cloudy, but I'm leaning bullish & will add a bit to alt positions.
We could also see some chop in a range (yellow), or a continuation down (red) depending on other variables.
Cloudy, but I'm leaning bullish & will add a bit to alt positions.
December 10, 2024 at 2:55 PM
The #TOTAL3 daily is a bit less clear to me, though I lean towards the green scenario - a violent flush + resume uptrend.
We could also see some chop in a range (yellow), or a continuation down (red) depending on other variables.
Cloudy, but I'm leaning bullish & will add a bit to alt positions.
We could also see some chop in a range (yellow), or a continuation down (red) depending on other variables.
Cloudy, but I'm leaning bullish & will add a bit to alt positions.
Also keeping a close eye on #TOTAL3, since I'm mainly in alts at this stage.
The weekly shows T3 rejected right at the previous cycle's high (I should have seen this previously!). Can't catch everything every time though!
I expect the green scenario on the weekly, but will be prepped for both.
The weekly shows T3 rejected right at the previous cycle's high (I should have seen this previously!). Can't catch everything every time though!
I expect the green scenario on the weekly, but will be prepped for both.
December 10, 2024 at 2:51 PM
Also keeping a close eye on #TOTAL3, since I'm mainly in alts at this stage.
The weekly shows T3 rejected right at the previous cycle's high (I should have seen this previously!). Can't catch everything every time though!
I expect the green scenario on the weekly, but will be prepped for both.
The weekly shows T3 rejected right at the previous cycle's high (I should have seen this previously!). Can't catch everything every time though!
I expect the green scenario on the weekly, but will be prepped for both.
#BTC / #BTC.D
Wow! I knew funding was high & was expecting a flush at some point. I certainly had no idea it'd be yesterday though.
So, what's next?
TL/DR:
Holders - HODL
Traders - 🤔
I'm watching BTC.D + the EMA.8/EMA.34 (in confluence) at the moment.
Rejection = Alt bid
Above = Wait for entry
Wow! I knew funding was high & was expecting a flush at some point. I certainly had no idea it'd be yesterday though.
So, what's next?
TL/DR:
Holders - HODL
Traders - 🤔
I'm watching BTC.D + the EMA.8/EMA.34 (in confluence) at the moment.
Rejection = Alt bid
Above = Wait for entry
December 10, 2024 at 2:39 PM
Update: Fun 24 hours to watch! Turned out to be a nice liquidation candle.
Onwards and upwards.
Onwards and upwards.
December 6, 2024 at 2:39 PM
Update: Fun 24 hours to watch! Turned out to be a nice liquidation candle.
Onwards and upwards.
Onwards and upwards.
#BTC $BTC
It's early, but I'm definitely watching this candle. Long wicks + heavy volume often indicate a trend reversal. In this case, we have a large wick + decent volume.
I suspect we may be forming a new channel (blue lines). Let's monitor and see!
Traders: Wait for entry
Holders: Hodl
It's early, but I'm definitely watching this candle. Long wicks + heavy volume often indicate a trend reversal. In this case, we have a large wick + decent volume.
I suspect we may be forming a new channel (blue lines). Let's monitor and see!
Traders: Wait for entry
Holders: Hodl
December 5, 2024 at 8:47 PM
#BTC $BTC
It's early, but I'm definitely watching this candle. Long wicks + heavy volume often indicate a trend reversal. In this case, we have a large wick + decent volume.
I suspect we may be forming a new channel (blue lines). Let's monitor and see!
Traders: Wait for entry
Holders: Hodl
It's early, but I'm definitely watching this candle. Long wicks + heavy volume often indicate a trend reversal. In this case, we have a large wick + decent volume.
I suspect we may be forming a new channel (blue lines). Let's monitor and see!
Traders: Wait for entry
Holders: Hodl
12/4/24 - A historic day in history
December 5, 2024 at 2:56 AM
12/4/24 - A historic day in history
Last follow up on this $SOL / #SOL Trade
We have our wick, we have our volume spike. To me, this is an indicator I'd use for a trend reversal. I suspect this head and shoulders has fully played out.
I'm long SOL here. SOL memes, too.
We have our wick, we have our volume spike. To me, this is an indicator I'd use for a trend reversal. I suspect this head and shoulders has fully played out.
I'm long SOL here. SOL memes, too.
December 3, 2024 at 4:32 PM
Last follow up on this $SOL / #SOL Trade
We have our wick, we have our volume spike. To me, this is an indicator I'd use for a trend reversal. I suspect this head and shoulders has fully played out.
I'm long SOL here. SOL memes, too.
We have our wick, we have our volume spike. To me, this is an indicator I'd use for a trend reversal. I suspect this head and shoulders has fully played out.
I'm long SOL here. SOL memes, too.
$SOL / #SOL 4h follow up
I often use long wicks as indicators of a trend reversal along with large volume clusters around that event.
In this case, we have the wick, but not a ton of volume.
Watching this closely to determine if we will see a reversal, or more temporary downward movement for SOL.
I often use long wicks as indicators of a trend reversal along with large volume clusters around that event.
In this case, we have the wick, but not a ton of volume.
Watching this closely to determine if we will see a reversal, or more temporary downward movement for SOL.
December 3, 2024 at 2:25 PM
$SOL / #SOL 4h follow up
I often use long wicks as indicators of a trend reversal along with large volume clusters around that event.
In this case, we have the wick, but not a ton of volume.
Watching this closely to determine if we will see a reversal, or more temporary downward movement for SOL.
I often use long wicks as indicators of a trend reversal along with large volume clusters around that event.
In this case, we have the wick, but not a ton of volume.
Watching this closely to determine if we will see a reversal, or more temporary downward movement for SOL.
$SOL / #SOL 4hr
I know an H&S when I see one. Likely downwards short term for SOL / SOL Memes.
If you're a hodler, hodl. If you're a trader, a nice short opportunity may be presenting itself here.
Remember, we are in a bull, so if you are shorting be sure to set stops & to not marry the position.
I know an H&S when I see one. Likely downwards short term for SOL / SOL Memes.
If you're a hodler, hodl. If you're a trader, a nice short opportunity may be presenting itself here.
Remember, we are in a bull, so if you are shorting be sure to set stops & to not marry the position.
December 2, 2024 at 9:57 PM
$SOL / #SOL 4hr
I know an H&S when I see one. Likely downwards short term for SOL / SOL Memes.
If you're a hodler, hodl. If you're a trader, a nice short opportunity may be presenting itself here.
Remember, we are in a bull, so if you are shorting be sure to set stops & to not marry the position.
I know an H&S when I see one. Likely downwards short term for SOL / SOL Memes.
If you're a hodler, hodl. If you're a trader, a nice short opportunity may be presenting itself here.
Remember, we are in a bull, so if you are shorting be sure to set stops & to not marry the position.
November 20, 2024 at 3:30 PM
#BTC.D
$BTC.D W Chart
Steady climb since mid/late 2022! Starting to approach some areas of interest. I suspect it will continue, but wouldn't be surprised to see a reversal in trend somewhere near the 68% area.
BTC.D has been difficult for me in the past - studying and learning here.
$BTC.D W Chart
Steady climb since mid/late 2022! Starting to approach some areas of interest. I suspect it will continue, but wouldn't be surprised to see a reversal in trend somewhere near the 68% area.
BTC.D has been difficult for me in the past - studying and learning here.
November 20, 2024 at 3:11 PM
#BTC.D
$BTC.D W Chart
Steady climb since mid/late 2022! Starting to approach some areas of interest. I suspect it will continue, but wouldn't be surprised to see a reversal in trend somewhere near the 68% area.
BTC.D has been difficult for me in the past - studying and learning here.
$BTC.D W Chart
Steady climb since mid/late 2022! Starting to approach some areas of interest. I suspect it will continue, but wouldn't be surprised to see a reversal in trend somewhere near the 68% area.
BTC.D has been difficult for me in the past - studying and learning here.
#BTC
$BTC 1H
Looking like a flag and a breakout. Expecting continuation upwards along with BTC.D.
Could this be the one that pushes to $100k? 🤔
$BTC 1H
Looking like a flag and a breakout. Expecting continuation upwards along with BTC.D.
Could this be the one that pushes to $100k? 🤔
November 20, 2024 at 2:58 PM
#BTC
$BTC 1H
Looking like a flag and a breakout. Expecting continuation upwards along with BTC.D.
Could this be the one that pushes to $100k? 🤔
$BTC 1H
Looking like a flag and a breakout. Expecting continuation upwards along with BTC.D.
Could this be the one that pushes to $100k? 🤔
