Growing archive of reports on dozens of companies
"Institutional-grade research at retail prices"
Includes 15-stock model portfolio updated monthly
Follow the link below, or see address on screenshot
librariancapital.substack.com
"Total Distilled Spirits trends have decelerated, but continue to decline at a low single-digit rate, as consumers are pressured to make their dollars stretch further"
(FY26Q2 call)
"Total Distilled Spirits trends have decelerated, but continue to decline at a low single-digit rate, as consumers are pressured to make their dollars stretch further"
(FY26Q2 call)
"Proprietary private equity nowcasting model ... incorporates GPreported NAVs, historical relationships between public and PE returns, and the evolving availability of fund valuations"
"Proprietary private equity nowcasting model ... incorporates GPreported NAVs, historical relationships between public and PE returns, and the evolving availability of fund valuations"
"I absolutely love the company’s obsession with quality ... importing three types of ginger from day one ... importing quinine ... from the same place in the Congo for over 20 years"
(They are long)
vitaliy.substack.com/p/surroundin...
"I absolutely love the company’s obsession with quality ... importing three types of ginger from day one ... importing quinine ... from the same place in the Congo for over 20 years"
(They are long)
vitaliy.substack.com/p/surroundin...
"Examples of gene editing range from pigs resistant to a reproductive and respiratory syndrome to bananas that don’t brown and rice that requires fewer pesticides"
$GNS
"Examples of gene editing range from pigs resistant to a reproductive and respiratory syndrome to bananas that don’t brown and rice that requires fewer pesticides"
$GNS
"What drove the innovation ramp up was an insight about 2 years ago that the industry at large had driven growth via a lot of price/mix, and exclusively via price/mix, for a period of time ... that growth trajectory was not going to hold"
(MS conf.)
"What drove the innovation ramp up was an insight about 2 years ago that the industry at large had driven growth via a lot of price/mix, and exclusively via price/mix, for a period of time ... that growth trajectory was not going to hold"
(MS conf.)
Revenues +5.9%*
EBIT +7.5%
EPS +13.1%
(organic, adjusted)
* Reduced by a model change in Indonesia that is profit-neutral
Revenues +5.9%*
EBIT +7.5%
EPS +13.1%
(organic, adjusted)
* Reduced by a model change in Indonesia that is profit-neutral
(The entire stake is worth £550m at latest prices)
Proceeds will be used to cut debt (H1 net debt: £29.7bn)
This is long expected, as BAT was clear it had no interest owning hotels
(The entire stake is worth £550m at latest prices)
Proceeds will be used to cut debt (H1 net debt: £29.7bn)
This is long expected, as BAT was clear it had no interest owning hotels
Q2 sales -2% organic (Q1: +1%, PY: +3%)
H2 sales flat organic (PY: flat)
US flat, Dev. Int'l -6%, EM +12%, Travel Retail +6%
Whiskey flat, RTD +5%, Tequila -3%
EBIT -4% organic
Reiterates FY26 outlook
Sales -LSD organic
EBIT -LSD organic
Q2 sales -2% organic (Q1: +1%, PY: +3%)
H2 sales flat organic (PY: flat)
US flat, Dev. Int'l -6%, EM +12%, Travel Retail +6%
Whiskey flat, RTD +5%, Tequila -3%
EBIT -4% organic
Reiterates FY26 outlook
Sales -LSD organic
EBIT -LSD organic
Both Altria $MO and British American Tobacco $BTI are still ~20% lower than their 2017 peak
Including dividends, holders would have made ~15% in the past ~10 years
Both Altria $MO and British American Tobacco $BTI are still ~20% lower than their 2017 peak
Including dividends, holders would have made ~15% in the past ~10 years
On a chart comparing Proya sales with L'Oréal and Estée Lauder, they plot only $OR's Dermatology Beauty sales (16% of group sales)
Had they included all OR sales, it would be 3x the size of $EL, and Proya would be barely visible
On a chart comparing Proya sales with L'Oréal and Estée Lauder, they plot only $OR's Dermatology Beauty sales (16% of group sales)
Had they included all OR sales, it would be 3x the size of $EL, and Proya would be barely visible
"Ahead of global patent expiries in 2026"
Dr. Reddy made "commitment that it will not sell the products in the local market until Novo’s patent lapses"
$NOVO $LLY
"Ahead of global patent expiries in 2026"
Dr. Reddy made "commitment that it will not sell the products in the local market until Novo’s patent lapses"
$NOVO $LLY
Growth also uneven, with US (48% of group) +20% but UK and Europe each +2%
US growth in part due to tariffs: "Several brands raised prices ... in response to ongoing cost pressures" (though Adj. EBIT +21%)
Growth also uneven, with US (48% of group) +20% but UK and Europe each +2%
US growth in part due to tariffs: "Several brands raised prices ... in response to ongoing cost pressures" (though Adj. EBIT +21%)
This was also true of Ben Graham (with GEICO), and of recent performance in the S&P 500, the FTSE, etc.
Concentration of outcome is a natural phenomenon
This: "His last delivery was Korean fried chicken: A whole chicken, kimchi fried rice and waffle fries"
Food of the gods
This was also true of Ben Graham (with GEICO), and of recent performance in the S&P 500, the FTSE, etc.
Concentration of outcome is a natural phenomenon
"Significant step up in the FDA ... The rhetoric was always there, but we also see now action coming, much more enforcement at the ports, etc. We've seen some impact"
Analyst stated combustible market vol. fell 7.5% L3M
(MS conf.)
"Significant step up in the FDA ... The rhetoric was always there, but we also see now action coming, much more enforcement at the ports, etc. We've seen some impact"
Analyst stated combustible market vol. fell 7.5% L3M
(MS conf.)
"We believe there are two ways to beat the market as long-only equity investors: 1. Pick stocks better than the index"
Their no. 2 is leverage
It's a S&P 500 ETF with up to 2x leverage
"We believe there are two ways to beat the market as long-only equity investors: 1. Pick stocks better than the index"
Their no. 2 is leverage
It's a S&P 500 ETF with up to 2x leverage
It's strange Wall Street is not inspired by the man who predicted COVID-19 would be over by May 2020 based on his Excel model and is sycophantic even by Trump/MAGA standards
It's strange Wall Street is not inspired by the man who predicted COVID-19 would be over by May 2020 based on his Excel model and is sycophantic even by Trump/MAGA standards
Visa $V President: "If you're Indonesia and you neighbor Australia ... you don't have that much to talk about. Trust me, I've been in the room while they're at a client conference, they literally ... end up talking about cricket"
(UBS conf.)
Visa $V President: "If you're Indonesia and you neighbor Australia ... you don't have that much to talk about. Trust me, I've been in the room while they're at a client conference, they literally ... end up talking about cricket"
(UBS conf.)
"Stable and strong ... From October 1 until November 30, it's very similar trends to what we reported for those first 3 weeks of October"
(President Oliver Jenkyn at UBS conf.)
"Stable and strong ... From October 1 until November 30, it's very similar trends to what we reported for those first 3 weeks of October"
(President Oliver Jenkyn at UBS conf.)
The methodology here is flawed because it is comparing the average Rightmove $RMV fee PER MONTH with the average agent earning PER PROPERTY, and the RMV fee figure is also inflated by people upgrading
The methodology here is flawed because it is comparing the average Rightmove $RMV fee PER MONTH with the average agent earning PER PROPERTY, and the RMV fee figure is also inflated by people upgrading
She was eventually let go, per David Goodhue of the Miami Herald, who also took this footage:
She was eventually let go, per David Goodhue of the Miami Herald, who also took this footage:
"AI is changing the game completely because you can also start now to actually personalize the content ... to very specific individuals and serving it on the platforms where they are"
* ex-Nestlé and Google
(MS conf.)
"AI is changing the game completely because you can also start now to actually personalize the content ... to very specific individuals and serving it on the platforms where they are"
* ex-Nestlé and Google
(MS conf.)
Cutting-edge technology adoption in the year 2025 ...
"Applicants can continue to download the PDF version of the forms"
$MO $PM $BTI
Cutting-edge technology adoption in the year 2025 ...
"Applicants can continue to download the PDF version of the forms"
$MO $PM $BTI
"An organization in the future, it's going to have more agents than people. Many of these agents are going to be embodied ... They're going to need a computer ... Embodied agents are seat opportunities"
(EVP of Experiences & Devices, UBS conf.)
"An organization in the future, it's going to have more agents than people. Many of these agents are going to be embodied ... They're going to need a computer ... Embodied agents are seat opportunities"
(EVP of Experiences & Devices, UBS conf.)
"Vulcan Elements will receive a $620mn loan" from DoD
It raised money from 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. "joined in 2024 and is a partner in the eight-person firm"
"Vulcan Elements will receive a $620mn loan" from DoD
It raised money from 1789 Capital, where Donald Trump Jr. "joined in 2024 and is a partner in the eight-person firm"
Top 5 detractors were Doximity, Paycom, Ambu, Sabre and HMS Networks
Now +7.3% p.a. since inception vs. benchmark +8.8%
"Began buying a new position"
Top 5 detractors were Doximity, Paycom, Ambu, Sabre and HMS Networks
Now +7.3% p.a. since inception vs. benchmark +8.8%
"Began buying a new position"