Latin American Elections
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latamerelection.bsky.social
Latin American Elections
@latamerelection.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science
Elections in Latin America: Campaigns, Voters, and Institutions: https://www.bloomsbury.com/us/elections-in-latin-america-9781538189030/
Reposted by Latin American Elections
Check out my annual end of year special edition of the #AmericasMigrationBrief reviewing migration trends across the Americas in 2025 and what to watch in 2026!
www.migrationbrief.com/p/5-migratio...
5 migration trends in the Americas to watch in 2026
Reviewing how migration trends have changed in 2025 and highlighting what to watch in the new year
www.migrationbrief.com
December 18, 2025 at 8:26 PM
My take on 🇻🇪: Competing actors want to either overthrow Maduro, and drugs are a pretext (Rubio); or want to use a military intervention as pretext for the Alien Enemies Act & mass deportation of Venezuelans (Stephen Miller).

There’s no grand strategy from Trump – the guy's brain is cooked.
December 17, 2025 at 3:24 PM
This is what happens when the students who say "I didn't know we had reading assigned today" end up running the country.
COLLINS: Do you disagree with Trump's pardon of the former Honduran leader who was also indicted and convicted?

RICK SCOTT: I don't -- I never -- I never met the guy and I don't know anything about it

COLLINS: But do you approve of that pardon?

SCOTT: I don't know much about it

COLLINS: Ok
December 17, 2025 at 3:07 PM
The U.S. reaches the Boligarchs stage of its Latin Americanization
December 16, 2025 at 12:51 PM
📚 Do you teach human rights? Here are assigned readings for my spring undergrad class, which a lot of students take for general education credit (so it’s designed to be accessible - no heavy journal articles). Happy to talk about how readings fit together, lesson plans, etc.
December 16, 2025 at 12:53 AM
Right wing candidate José Antonio Kast has won Chile's presidential runoff, 58% to 42%.
apnews.com/article/chil...
Ultra-conservative’s election win gives Chile its most right-wing president since dictatorship
Chile’s ultra-conservative opposition candidate, José Antonio Kast, has secured a thumping victory in the presidential runoff election.
apnews.com
December 15, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Today:
🇺🇸The U.S. seized an oil tanker off the Venezuelan coast
🇻🇪María Corina Machado received the Nobel Peace Prize
🇨🇴Petro called for a transitional government in Venezuela
🇨🇴Trump threatened Petro
🇧🇴Ex-president Arce was arrested
🇭🇳Honduran election debacle continued
a woman with blonde hair says it 's only wednesday !
ALT: a woman with blonde hair says it 's only wednesday !
media.tenor.com
December 10, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Professional political scientist here, still wondering how the hell this guy ever got more than like seven votes
December 10, 2025 at 12:42 PM
I'm honored to receive the first annual FIFA book prize. I won. And frankly, I won big. I want to thank the people who bought this book. Smart people. They know that this book is, perhaps, the greatest book ever written. A lot of people are saying it.
December 6, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
I’m pleased to share my new publication with Javier Rodríguez-Sandoval in the Revista Uruguaya de Ciencia Política: “Las elecciones presidenciales de Ecuador 2025: ¿Realineamiento y bipartidismo sin partidos?”

Full-text available here: revistasfcs.edu.uy/index.php/ru...
Las elecciones presidenciales de Ecuador 2025: ¿realineamiento y bipartidismo sin partidos? | Revista Uruguaya de Ciencia Política
revistasfcs.edu.uy
December 4, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
Three days after the Honduran election, the preliminary results do not give a presidential result, but do project defeat for Libre. Political and diplomatic sources point to negotiations to avoid violence and secure the key to the coming legislature. beta.elfaro.net/en/central-a...
Honduran Parties Negotiate Non-Violent Exit to Elections Won by the Right
Three days after the election, the first results in Honduras do not give a presidential result, but do project defeat for Rixi Moncada of Libre. With the final tally far from sight, political and dipl...
beta.elfaro.net
December 4, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Well Honduras is at the top of the New York Times homepage. That's probably not a good sign.
December 1, 2025 at 10:52 PM
The state of play in Honduras: with 55.9% of the vote in, Tito Asfura has a *very* slim lead over Salvador Nasralla. Moncada of the incumbent Libre party is getting crushed. No congressional results yet. High possibility of contested result b/w Asfura and Nasralla. No concession from Moncada yet.
December 1, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Not a lot to be excited about for tomorrow's election in Honduras.
November 29, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
So the US is fighting against drug trafficking by freeing a guy convicted of using the presidency to facilitate large-scale drug trafficking. Makes total sense. What JOH ally got in Trump's ear to set this up? www.pbs.org/newshour/wor...
Trump says he plans to pardon former Honduran president serving drug trafficking sentence
President Donald Trump said Friday that he will be pardoning former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez, who in 2024 was convicted for drug trafficking and weapons charges and sentenced to 45 ye...
www.pbs.org
November 28, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
NEW first online and open access article‼️
It analyses the impact of meaningful ideological choices (or the lack thereof) on demographic-based electoral divisions in Latin America.
Check it out!
By Matthew Singer

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Elite Ideological Differentiation and Demographic-Based Voting in Latin America - Matthew Singer, 2025
Electoral divisions along class, religious, and ethnic lines differ in strength across countries and within them over time. I argue that the lack of meaningful ...
journals.sagepub.com
November 27, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
Peru became the world leader in recall referendums. What drove it—and what did it do to democracy? Beyond innovation: power games!
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Recall referendums in Peruvian municipalities: a political weapon for bad losers or an instrument of accountability?
Between 1997 and 2013, more than 5000 recall referendums were activated against democratically elected authorities from 747 Peruvian municipalities (45.5% of all municipalities). This makes Peru th...
www.tandfonline.com
November 26, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Bolsonaro & Trump have been political doppelgängers, including parallel attempts to overturn an election through a coup. So it’s remarkable to see contrasting headlines today: in one case, the continuation of autocratic populism; in the other, the start of a long prison sentence.
November 26, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Two weeks from now:
November 25, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
My colleague, Dr. Vahid Abedini, was illegally detained by ICE on Saturday. He is currently being held without a court date in sight, despite being in the country legally. Please spread the word! We must ensure his due process rights are upheld. www.oudaily.com/news/ou-prof...
OU College of International Studies professor reportedly arrested by ICE
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement reportedly arrested an OU professor at Will Rogers International Airport Saturday.
www.oudaily.com
November 24, 2025 at 11:05 PM
Reposted by Latin American Elections
“Moraes said Bolsonaro’s electronic ankle monitor had been tampered with at 12.08am on Saturday. That suggested “the convict had planned to break the ankle monitor in order to ensure the success of his escape, aided by the confusion caused by the protest”
Brazilian police arrest Bolsonaro amid suspicions he was about to flee
Politician reportedly taken from his villa into custody at a federal police base about 7 miles from presidential palace
www.theguardian.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:43 PM
Good article on Trump's Latin America policies. But I do hope historians don't adopt the "Donroe Doctrine" name. (And to be pedantic, it's more akin to the Roosevelt Corollary than the original Monroe doctrine.)
The Western Hemisphere has become the United States’ central theater abroad.

My analysis on the "Donroe Doctrine" and how it has upended politics up and down the Americas.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/w...
The ‘Donroe Doctrine’: Trump’s Bid to Control the Western Hemisphere
www.nytimes.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Not sure what stage of nativism we've reached when they're trying to make us scared of gauchos and llaneros crossing the border with their 🐄.
In which Bessent blames $10/lb beef on immigrants who “brought their cattle with them” and rants about how their dirty cows got all our noble American cows sick with screwworm.

🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
BARTIROMO: He's expecting $10 a pound ground beef. What's your reaction?

BESSENT: Maria, the beef market is a very specialized market. It goes in long cycles. This is the perfect storm. Again, something we inherited.
November 16, 2025 at 7:57 PM