Latin American Elections
@latamerelection.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science
Elections in Latin America: Campaigns, Voters, and Institutions: https://www.bloomsbury.com/us/elections-in-latin-america-9781538189030/
Elections in Latin America: Campaigns, Voters, and Institutions: https://www.bloomsbury.com/us/elections-in-latin-america-9781538189030/
Reposted by Latin American Elections
NEW First online article 🔔
#openaccess
How does the populist radical right use local office to pursue national political ambitions? #Peru #Populism #politicalambition
@eljorobado.bsky.social @zsofiabocskay.bsky.social
@sagepub.com
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#openaccess
How does the populist radical right use local office to pursue national political ambitions? #Peru #Populism #politicalambition
@eljorobado.bsky.social @zsofiabocskay.bsky.social
@sagepub.com
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Urbi et Orbi: Local Power and National Aspiration in Peru's Populist Radical Right - Zsofia Bocskay, Carlos Meléndez, 2025
How does the populist radical right (PRR) use local office to pursue national political ambitions? This article analyzes the case of Rafael López Aliaga, mayor ...
journals.sagepub.com
November 23, 2025 at 6:13 AM
NEW First online article 🔔
#openaccess
How does the populist radical right use local office to pursue national political ambitions? #Peru #Populism #politicalambition
@eljorobado.bsky.social @zsofiabocskay.bsky.social
@sagepub.com
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#openaccess
How does the populist radical right use local office to pursue national political ambitions? #Peru #Populism #politicalambition
@eljorobado.bsky.social @zsofiabocskay.bsky.social
@sagepub.com
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Latin American Elections
“Moraes said Bolsonaro’s electronic ankle monitor had been tampered with at 12.08am on Saturday. That suggested “the convict had planned to break the ankle monitor in order to ensure the success of his escape, aided by the confusion caused by the protest”
Brazilian police arrest Bolsonaro amid suspicions he was about to flee
Politician reportedly taken from his villa into custody at a federal police base about 7 miles from presidential palace
www.theguardian.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:43 PM
“Moraes said Bolsonaro’s electronic ankle monitor had been tampered with at 12.08am on Saturday. That suggested “the convict had planned to break the ankle monitor in order to ensure the success of his escape, aided by the confusion caused by the protest”
Good article on Trump's Latin America policies. But I do hope historians don't adopt the "Donroe Doctrine" name. (And to be pedantic, it's more akin to the Roosevelt Corollary than the original Monroe doctrine.)
The Western Hemisphere has become the United States’ central theater abroad.
My analysis on the "Donroe Doctrine" and how it has upended politics up and down the Americas.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/w...
My analysis on the "Donroe Doctrine" and how it has upended politics up and down the Americas.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/w...
The ‘Donroe Doctrine’: Trump’s Bid to Control the Western Hemisphere
www.nytimes.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Good article on Trump's Latin America policies. But I do hope historians don't adopt the "Donroe Doctrine" name. (And to be pedantic, it's more akin to the Roosevelt Corollary than the original Monroe doctrine.)
Not sure what stage of nativism we've reached when they're trying to make us scared of gauchos and llaneros crossing the border with their 🐄.
In which Bessent blames $10/lb beef on immigrants who “brought their cattle with them” and rants about how their dirty cows got all our noble American cows sick with screwworm.
🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
BARTIROMO: He's expecting $10 a pound ground beef. What's your reaction?
BESSENT: Maria, the beef market is a very specialized market. It goes in long cycles. This is the perfect storm. Again, something we inherited.
BESSENT: Maria, the beef market is a very specialized market. It goes in long cycles. This is the perfect storm. Again, something we inherited.
November 16, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Not sure what stage of nativism we've reached when they're trying to make us scared of gauchos and llaneros crossing the border with their 🐄.
My only Chile prediction: don’t be surprised to be surprised. By law, there have been no polls for 15 days. Voting is compulsory, drawing in more swing voters. And the right is divided across 3 major candidates - easy to imagine voters switching their choice between these three in the past 2 weeks.
What to Know About Chile’s Election on Sunday
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:05 PM
My only Chile prediction: don’t be surprised to be surprised. By law, there have been no polls for 15 days. Voting is compulsory, drawing in more swing voters. And the right is divided across 3 major candidates - easy to imagine voters switching their choice between these three in the past 2 weeks.
Chile’s election is this Sunday. Most voters see crime and migration as the two top problems. Crime (some of it linked to Tren de Aragua) has risen – though homicides have been trending down. And immigrants now make up 10% of Chile’s population. 🧵
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
www.reuters.com
November 14, 2025 at 12:03 AM
Chile’s election is this Sunday. Most voters see crime and migration as the two top problems. Crime (some of it linked to Tren de Aragua) has risen – though homicides have been trending down. And immigrants now make up 10% of Chile’s population. 🧵
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
As difficult as it would be, I can see a chance of successfully doing a regime change in 🇻🇪. But not by Trump’s administration of incompetents - there’s just zero chance they wouldn’t fuck it up so bad it would make de-Baathification look like masterstroke.
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
What Democracy in Venezuela Would Require
Toppling a dictatorship is easier than building a functional state to take its place.
www.theatlantic.com
November 12, 2025 at 8:43 PM
As difficult as it would be, I can see a chance of successfully doing a regime change in 🇻🇪. But not by Trump’s administration of incompetents - there’s just zero chance they wouldn’t fuck it up so bad it would make de-Baathification look like masterstroke.
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
Today I learned the exact playlist the U.S. military blasted at the Vatican embassy in Panama to get Noriega to surrender. 🎸
November 12, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Today I learned the exact playlist the U.S. military blasted at the Vatican embassy in Panama to get Noriega to surrender. 🎸
Reposted by Latin American Elections
“An iron fist! That’s what we need! Like a Bukele!”: the ultra-conservative politician José Antonio Kast closes in on the presidency in Chile with a Trumpian pitch on crime & immigration www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
‘We need an iron fist’: the Trump-inspired favourite to win Chile’s election
José Antonio Kast, 59, is appealing to voters with a hard-right pitch on crime and immigration
www.theguardian.com
November 12, 2025 at 11:19 AM
“An iron fist! That’s what we need! Like a Bukele!”: the ultra-conservative politician José Antonio Kast closes in on the presidency in Chile with a Trumpian pitch on crime & immigration www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
Reposted by Latin American Elections
Great to see our paper in Scientific Data. Thanks to cooperation with @michael-weiss.bsky.social, we have assembled a dataset (over 30k obs.) covering all Latin American legislators since the 1980s. This will help comparative analyses of gender, turnover, careers...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
November 12, 2025 at 9:50 AM
Great to see our paper in Scientific Data. Thanks to cooperation with @michael-weiss.bsky.social, we have assembled a dataset (over 30k obs.) covering all Latin American legislators since the 1980s. This will help comparative analyses of gender, turnover, careers...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Latin American Elections
Honduras Election Scenarios:
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Honduras election scenarios - November 2025
Scenario A: Contested election. Scenario B: Contested election.
boz.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Honduras Election Scenarios:
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Reposted by Latin American Elections
I'm thrilled that my book, Unity through Particularism: How Electoral Reforms Influence Parties and Legislative Behavior, is now available for pre-order through CUP and Amazon!
Let me know if you'd like an electronic copy for your class, and I'll send it to you!
www.cambridge.org/us/universit...
Let me know if you'd like an electronic copy for your class, and I'll send it to you!
www.cambridge.org/us/universit...
August 22, 2025 at 3:48 PM
I'm thrilled that my book, Unity through Particularism: How Electoral Reforms Influence Parties and Legislative Behavior, is now available for pre-order through CUP and Amazon!
Let me know if you'd like an electronic copy for your class, and I'll send it to you!
www.cambridge.org/us/universit...
Let me know if you'd like an electronic copy for your class, and I'll send it to you!
www.cambridge.org/us/universit...
Virginia: It looks to me like Democrats are going to flip about 13 Republican seats in the 100-seat House of Delegates. (Districts #22, 30, 41, 57, 64, 66, 69, 71, 73, 75, 82, 86, 89).
This would expand their seat share from 51 to 64.
It's a blue wave. 🌊
This would expand their seat share from 51 to 64.
It's a blue wave. 🌊
November 5, 2025 at 3:25 AM
Virginia: It looks to me like Democrats are going to flip about 13 Republican seats in the 100-seat House of Delegates. (Districts #22, 30, 41, 57, 64, 66, 69, 71, 73, 75, 82, 86, 89).
This would expand their seat share from 51 to 64.
It's a blue wave. 🌊
This would expand their seat share from 51 to 64.
It's a blue wave. 🌊
Sic Semper Tyrannis
November 5, 2025 at 1:59 AM
Sic Semper Tyrannis
In Virginia (my home state), the resistance vote is strong. See the margin shifts from the 2021 to 2025 gubernatorial race (with 40% of votes in), from AP. Congrats to @abigailspanberger.com on the landslide!
November 5, 2025 at 1:07 AM
In Virginia (my home state), the resistance vote is strong. See the margin shifts from the 2021 to 2025 gubernatorial race (with 40% of votes in), from AP. Congrats to @abigailspanberger.com on the landslide!
Reposted by Latin American Elections
NEW #onlinefirst article in JPLA! ‼️
The study by Falçao, Vieira Rodrigues & Abrucio explores electoral #accountability in #federative systems during crises, with a focus on the #COVID-19 pandemic in #Brazil.
It’s #openaccess. Check it out ‼️
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The study by Falçao, Vieira Rodrigues & Abrucio explores electoral #accountability in #federative systems during crises, with a focus on the #COVID-19 pandemic in #Brazil.
It’s #openaccess. Check it out ‼️
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Who Do Voters Blame in Times of Crisis? Electoral Accountability in Brazil's Federalism During COVID-19 - Lucas Falcão, Rayane Vieira Rodrigues, Fernando Luiz Abrucio, 2025
This study explores electoral accountability in federative systems during crises, with a focus on the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. It analyses how voters assign...
journals.sagepub.com
November 3, 2025 at 1:20 PM
NEW #onlinefirst article in JPLA! ‼️
The study by Falçao, Vieira Rodrigues & Abrucio explores electoral #accountability in #federative systems during crises, with a focus on the #COVID-19 pandemic in #Brazil.
It’s #openaccess. Check it out ‼️
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
The study by Falçao, Vieira Rodrigues & Abrucio explores electoral #accountability in #federative systems during crises, with a focus on the #COVID-19 pandemic in #Brazil.
It’s #openaccess. Check it out ‼️
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
You know you're about to read a good article when the title comes from a line in The Wire.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
November 3, 2025 at 12:16 PM
You know you're about to read a good article when the title comes from a line in The Wire.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The @nytimes.com editorial board makes a clear and compelling case that U.S. democracy is being dismantled. We need much more of this kind of reporting from major media outlets.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Opinion | In Trump’s America, Are We Losing Our Democracy?
Donald Trump has wielded power as no previous president has.
www.nytimes.com
October 31, 2025 at 6:42 PM
The @nytimes.com editorial board makes a clear and compelling case that U.S. democracy is being dismantled. We need much more of this kind of reporting from major media outlets.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
An admonishment ought to do it
October 29, 2025 at 1:07 AM
An admonishment ought to do it
Here's what Argentina's Chamber of Deputies will look like after yesterday's election. LLA+PRO will have almost 42% of seats (36% for LLA alone). Still a minority, but a much stronger position for Milei. Now he needs to deliver economic growth, or the🦁quickly becomes a lame🦆.
October 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Here's what Argentina's Chamber of Deputies will look like after yesterday's election. LLA+PRO will have almost 42% of seats (36% for LLA alone). Still a minority, but a much stronger position for Milei. Now he needs to deliver economic growth, or the🦁quickly becomes a lame🦆.
"Kamala Harris Suggests She Is Considering Another Presidential Run."
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/u...
No God Please No No GIF
ALT: No God Please No No GIF
media.tenor.com
October 25, 2025 at 8:05 PM
"Kamala Harris Suggests She Is Considering Another Presidential Run."
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/u...
Reposted by Latin American Elections
This is who is paying for the destruction of the White House East Wing, per @wsj.com
Altria Group Inc.
Amazon
Apple Inc.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp.
Caterpillar Inc.
Coinbase Global
Comcast Corp.
Hard Rock International
Google
HP Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
1/3
Altria Group Inc.
Amazon
Apple Inc.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp.
Caterpillar Inc.
Coinbase Global
Comcast Corp.
Hard Rock International
HP Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
1/3
October 21, 2025 at 12:28 AM
This is who is paying for the destruction of the White House East Wing, per @wsj.com
Altria Group Inc.
Amazon
Apple Inc.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp.
Caterpillar Inc.
Coinbase Global
Comcast Corp.
Hard Rock International
Google
HP Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
1/3
Altria Group Inc.
Amazon
Apple Inc.
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp.
Caterpillar Inc.
Coinbase Global
Comcast Corp.
Hard Rock International
HP Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
1/3
Cover photo for the 2nd edition of How Democracies Die just dropped.
October 21, 2025 at 1:31 AM
Cover photo for the 2nd edition of How Democracies Die just dropped.
Rodrigo Paz has won the presidential runoff in Bolivia.
October 20, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Rodrigo Paz has won the presidential runoff in Bolivia.
🇧🇴 It's runoff day in Bolivia. AP has a preview. 👇
(I predict a win for the conservative candidate who went to college in the U.S.)
apnews.com/article/boli...
(I predict a win for the conservative candidate who went to college in the U.S.)
apnews.com/article/boli...
After years of socialist rule, Bolivia’s presidential runoff tests how far and fast it veers right
After nearly two decades of one-party rule and a worsening currency and fuel crisis, Bolivia is shifting to the right.
apnews.com
October 19, 2025 at 1:23 PM
🇧🇴 It's runoff day in Bolivia. AP has a preview. 👇
(I predict a win for the conservative candidate who went to college in the U.S.)
apnews.com/article/boli...
(I predict a win for the conservative candidate who went to college in the U.S.)
apnews.com/article/boli...