The residual is our “offensive coaching” variable

***Note: This is obviously not a perfect representation of coaching, but I do believe it is the best I have personally seen.

Step 3: Take the residual - if you are familiar with statistics, you know the residual of a prediction is everything we could not explain with our model....

Step 2: Predict our new “offense” variable using player skill - I used PFF grades for every position to predict our new PCA’d offense variable.....

Sure does! Elite explosiveness and fantastic production!

I worked very hard on this. I hope you enjoy the Stack post. It is very in depth and hopefully helpful. Please read it and check out the data i shared for FREE.

Please RT this thread, Share it, and like it. Everything here is FREE ❤️ I do it for the love of the game.

2022 (Testing Set):
- Sad Skyy never became a thing
- Wandale truther til the day i die
- Shakir always shows up in every model

2023:
- Puka being dragged down by PFF rank, but still looks like a sleeper here!
- I want Mims to be a thing so bad
- JSN's beast yards are much better than i would guess. good for him

2024:
- Nabers was a slam dunk
- MHJ probably worth a trade if someone is willing to give him up
- Been trying to trade for Troy Franklin since i ran this.

2025:
- Burden's elite sophomore season is a big reason to be optimistic. Great Career
- Tet is basically the same level of prospect as Burden in my model but doesnt have that Sophomore season boosting him
- Egbuka is not loved by my model but PFF rankings are pulling him up