Joseph Bryan
@koalatystats.bsky.social
Trying to predict the future | B.S. in Statistics from UGA | Bad at Social Media, but I try my best https://koalatystats.substack.com/
👹Week 10 Single Coverage Monsters 👹
These are players who benefit the most from single coverage playing against teams that allow a lot of single coverage
high 🎆BOOM🎆 potential
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
These are players who benefit the most from single coverage playing against teams that allow a lot of single coverage
high 🎆BOOM🎆 potential
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
November 9, 2025 at 4:10 AM
👹Week 10 Single Coverage Monsters 👹
These are players who benefit the most from single coverage playing against teams that allow a lot of single coverage
high 🎆BOOM🎆 potential
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
These are players who benefit the most from single coverage playing against teams that allow a lot of single coverage
high 🎆BOOM🎆 potential
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
NFL Week 10 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
- FREE Preview of the Germany game
- 2100 people just got this as an email
- Could be a BIG Tight End week
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
- FREE Preview of the Germany game
- 2100 people just got this as an email
- Could be a BIG Tight End week
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
NFL Week 10 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
#5 Rising in Sports! ATL with an upset in Germany???? Against OUR COLTS???
koalatystats.substack.com
November 7, 2025 at 9:10 PM
NFL Week 10 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
- FREE Preview of the Germany game
- 2100 people just got this as an email
- Could be a BIG Tight End week
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
- FREE Preview of the Germany game
- 2100 people just got this as an email
- Could be a BIG Tight End week
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-1...
🎯 Coach, I Was Open - Week 9 🎯
FREE
I go over the players who have been missing out on the most targets all season! DK Metcalf was WIDE OPEN for a TD last week.
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
FREE
I go over the players who have been missing out on the most targets all season! DK Metcalf was WIDE OPEN for a TD last week.
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
October 31, 2025 at 4:57 PM
🎯 Coach, I Was Open - Week 9 🎯
FREE
I go over the players who have been missing out on the most targets all season! DK Metcalf was WIDE OPEN for a TD last week.
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
FREE
I go over the players who have been missing out on the most targets all season! DK Metcalf was WIDE OPEN for a TD last week.
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
NFL Week 8 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value!
- FREE
- 2000+ people just got this as an email
- in depth write ups of most games
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-8...
- FREE
- 2000+ people just got this as an email
- in depth write ups of most games
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-8...
NFL Week 8 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
4 Weeks in a row above 100 likes!! Week 7 last year we had 30!
koalatystats.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 9:22 PM
NFL Week 8 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value!
- FREE
- 2000+ people just got this as an email
- in depth write ups of most games
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-8...
- FREE
- 2000+ people just got this as an email
- in depth write ups of most games
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-8...
I NEED A HERO - Week 8 Route Based Heroes
- FREE
- Week 7 Predicted TWO TOP FIVE WRS
- 4 Heroes to save your lineups
www.pff.com/news/identif...
- FREE
- Week 7 Predicted TWO TOP FIVE WRS
- 4 Heroes to save your lineups
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Identifying fantasy football, DFS breakout candidates ahead of Week 8
Using route-level PFF data and the Predicted Targets Model, these players could be in line for large fantasy performances in Week 8.
www.pff.com
October 24, 2025 at 4:08 PM
I NEED A HERO - Week 8 Route Based Heroes
- FREE
- Week 7 Predicted TWO TOP FIVE WRS
- 4 Heroes to save your lineups
www.pff.com/news/identif...
- FREE
- Week 7 Predicted TWO TOP FIVE WRS
- 4 Heroes to save your lineups
www.pff.com/news/identif...
COACH, I WAS OPEN - Week 8
- Identified OVERALL WR1s 50% of the year so far
- FREE
- what more do you want?
2025 Season-long Share of Predicted Target leaders pictured below
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- Identified OVERALL WR1s 50% of the year so far
- FREE
- what more do you want?
2025 Season-long Share of Predicted Target leaders pictured below
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
Fantasy Football: Identifying the players who could see more targets in Week 8
Joseph Bryan's "Coach, I Was Open" model deducts which players could receive more targets in Week 8, including D.K. Metcalf.
www.pff.com
October 24, 2025 at 1:43 PM
COACH, I WAS OPEN - Week 8
- Identified OVERALL WR1s 50% of the year so far
- FREE
- what more do you want?
2025 Season-long Share of Predicted Target leaders pictured below
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- Identified OVERALL WR1s 50% of the year so far
- FREE
- what more do you want?
2025 Season-long Share of Predicted Target leaders pictured below
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
NFL Week 7 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
- Hit a +2800 last week!
- its FREE
- I look into EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS WEEK
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-7...
- Hit a +2800 last week!
- its FREE
- I look into EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS WEEK
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-7...
NFL Week 7 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
THREE WEEKS IN A ROW ABOVE 100 LIKES. YALL ARE AWESOME
koalatystats.substack.com
October 17, 2025 at 9:38 PM
NFL Week 7 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
- Hit a +2800 last week!
- its FREE
- I look into EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS WEEK
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-7...
- Hit a +2800 last week!
- its FREE
- I look into EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS WEEK
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-7...
I NEED A HERO - Week 7 Route Based Heroes
Step 1: Create the most predictive receiving metric in all of football (PWOPR)
Step 2: Predict Fantasy Points Per Game with it
Step 3: Find the players who need to positively regress
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Step 1: Create the most predictive receiving metric in all of football (PWOPR)
Step 2: Predict Fantasy Points Per Game with it
Step 3: Find the players who need to positively regress
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Identifying fantasy football, DFS breakout candidates ahead of Week 7
Using route-level PFF data and the Predicted Targets Model, these players could be in line for large fantasy performances in Week 7.
www.pff.com
October 17, 2025 at 4:41 PM
I NEED A HERO - Week 7 Route Based Heroes
Step 1: Create the most predictive receiving metric in all of football (PWOPR)
Step 2: Predict Fantasy Points Per Game with it
Step 3: Find the players who need to positively regress
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Step 1: Create the most predictive receiving metric in all of football (PWOPR)
Step 2: Predict Fantasy Points Per Game with it
Step 3: Find the players who need to positively regress
www.pff.com/news/identif...
My FREE 'Coach, I Was Open' model predicted THE WR1 ON THE WEEK
no big deal, no big deal
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
no big deal, no big deal
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
Fantasy Football: Identifying the players who could see more targets in Week 6
Joseph Bryan's "Coach, I Was Open" model deducts which players could receive more targets in Week 6, including Travis Kelce.
www.pff.com
October 13, 2025 at 4:32 PM
My FREE 'Coach, I Was Open' model predicted THE WR1 ON THE WEEK
no big deal, no big deal
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
no big deal, no big deal
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
NFL Week 6 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
- 1900 people just got this as a FREE EMAIL
- Added a new spread model, and schematic advantage model to my analysis
- PWOPR EVERYWHERE
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-6...
- 1900 people just got this as a FREE EMAIL
- Added a new spread model, and schematic advantage model to my analysis
- PWOPR EVERYWHERE
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-6...
NFL Week 6 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
TWO WEEKS IN A ROW ABOVE 100 LIKES WHAT!?!?!?
koalatystats.substack.com
October 10, 2025 at 8:25 PM
NFL Week 6 Analytics Preview: Advanced Stats, Predictions, and Hidden Value
- 1900 people just got this as a FREE EMAIL
- Added a new spread model, and schematic advantage model to my analysis
- PWOPR EVERYWHERE
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-6...
- 1900 people just got this as a FREE EMAIL
- Added a new spread model, and schematic advantage model to my analysis
- PWOPR EVERYWHERE
koalatystats.substack.com/p/nfl-week-6...
NFL WEEK 6 I NEED A HERO
- PWOPR is incredibly predictive and stable
- Wan'Dale Robinson already broke out!
- Who else could be on this list?!?!?!?
PWOPR leaders pictured below
FREE WRITE UP ON PFF
www.pff.com/news/identif...
- PWOPR is incredibly predictive and stable
- Wan'Dale Robinson already broke out!
- Who else could be on this list?!?!?!?
PWOPR leaders pictured below
FREE WRITE UP ON PFF
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Identifying fantasy football, DFS breakout candidates ahead of Week 6
Using route-level PFF data and the Predicted Targets Model, these players could be in line for large fantasy performances in Week 6.
www.pff.com
October 10, 2025 at 3:26 PM
NFL WEEK 6 I NEED A HERO
- PWOPR is incredibly predictive and stable
- Wan'Dale Robinson already broke out!
- Who else could be on this list?!?!?!?
PWOPR leaders pictured below
FREE WRITE UP ON PFF
www.pff.com/news/identif...
- PWOPR is incredibly predictive and stable
- Wan'Dale Robinson already broke out!
- Who else could be on this list?!?!?!?
PWOPR leaders pictured below
FREE WRITE UP ON PFF
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Week 6 Coach, I Was Open!
- Who was open in Week 5 & didn't get the targets they deserved?
- Is throwing it to player's my model says you should throw it to a good thing?
- Who made THE most insane mathematical plays last week?
FREE PFF Article!
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- Who was open in Week 5 & didn't get the targets they deserved?
- Is throwing it to player's my model says you should throw it to a good thing?
- Who made THE most insane mathematical plays last week?
FREE PFF Article!
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
Fantasy Football: Identifying the players who could see more targets in Week 6
Joseph Bryan's "Coach, I Was Open" model deducts which players could receive more targets in Week 6, including Travis Kelce.
www.pff.com
October 10, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Week 6 Coach, I Was Open!
- Who was open in Week 5 & didn't get the targets they deserved?
- Is throwing it to player's my model says you should throw it to a good thing?
- Who made THE most insane mathematical plays last week?
FREE PFF Article!
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- Who was open in Week 5 & didn't get the targets they deserved?
- Is throwing it to player's my model says you should throw it to a good thing?
- Who made THE most insane mathematical plays last week?
FREE PFF Article!
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
I normally post this on Twitter but I deleted it off my phone sooooo here is my FREE article on PFF predicting breakout NFL players in week 5 based on advanced analytics
www.pff.com/news/identif...
www.pff.com/news/identif...
Identifying fantasy football, DFS breakout candidates ahead of Week 5
Using route-level PFF data and the Predicted Targets Model, these players could be in line for large fantasy performances in Week 5.
www.pff.com
October 4, 2025 at 2:48 AM
I normally post this on Twitter but I deleted it off my phone sooooo here is my FREE article on PFF predicting breakout NFL players in week 5 based on advanced analytics
www.pff.com/news/identif...
www.pff.com/news/identif...
How do you quantify NFL offensive coaching?
Step 1: Quantify “offense” - I used Principal Components Analysis on various important offensive metrics like EPA, Yards per Play, Series Conversion Rate, etc.....
🧵
Step 1: Quantify “offense” - I used Principal Components Analysis on various important offensive metrics like EPA, Yards per Play, Series Conversion Rate, etc.....
🧵
June 26, 2025 at 5:13 AM
How do you quantify NFL offensive coaching?
Step 1: Quantify “offense” - I used Principal Components Analysis on various important offensive metrics like EPA, Yards per Play, Series Conversion Rate, etc.....
🧵
Step 1: Quantify “offense” - I used Principal Components Analysis on various important offensive metrics like EPA, Yards per Play, Series Conversion Rate, etc.....
🧵
🧮NFL 2025 PROJECTED Play Calling Tendencies🧮
Play calling is VITAL to fantasy and real life outcomes
Using the last 15 years of NFL play-by-play data I created play calling projections for the 2025 season 🐨
Play calling is VITAL to fantasy and real life outcomes
Using the last 15 years of NFL play-by-play data I created play calling projections for the 2025 season 🐨
June 24, 2025 at 2:16 AM
🧮NFL 2025 PROJECTED Play Calling Tendencies🧮
Play calling is VITAL to fantasy and real life outcomes
Using the last 15 years of NFL play-by-play data I created play calling projections for the 2025 season 🐨
Play calling is VITAL to fantasy and real life outcomes
Using the last 15 years of NFL play-by-play data I created play calling projections for the 2025 season 🐨
🚨2025 Pre-Draft Wide Receiver Model🚨
🔥 .47 Cross Validated R^2 to 3 Year NFL FPpG
🕵️FREE In-Depth Stack writeup
🧑🔬FREE Access to most of the data I used to make the model
🧵🧵🧵
🔥 .47 Cross Validated R^2 to 3 Year NFL FPpG
🕵️FREE In-Depth Stack writeup
🧑🔬FREE Access to most of the data I used to make the model
🧵🧵🧵
April 14, 2025 at 8:17 PM
🚨2025 Pre-Draft Wide Receiver Model🚨
🔥 .47 Cross Validated R^2 to 3 Year NFL FPpG
🕵️FREE In-Depth Stack writeup
🧑🔬FREE Access to most of the data I used to make the model
🧵🧵🧵
🔥 .47 Cross Validated R^2 to 3 Year NFL FPpG
🕵️FREE In-Depth Stack writeup
🧑🔬FREE Access to most of the data I used to make the model
🧵🧵🧵
My first 5 digit win! Hopefully not my last.
Also IT WAS PUBLISHED FOR FREE IN THE SUBSTACK
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
Also IT WAS PUBLISHED FOR FREE IN THE SUBSTACK
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
December 16, 2024 at 12:38 AM
My first 5 digit win! Hopefully not my last.
Also IT WAS PUBLISHED FOR FREE IN THE SUBSTACK
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
Also IT WAS PUBLISHED FOR FREE IN THE SUBSTACK
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
ROUTE BASED HEROES WEEK 15!
- FREE
- COVER GUYS LOOKING TO TEAR UP THE STEELERS
- MODEL SLAYED IN WEEK 15
t.co/gTnr5GLfXa
- FREE
- COVER GUYS LOOKING TO TEAR UP THE STEELERS
- MODEL SLAYED IN WEEK 15
t.co/gTnr5GLfXa
https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-football-route-based-heroes-identifying-players-who-could-break-out-in-fantasy-and-dfs-in-week-15
t.co
December 12, 2024 at 6:33 PM
ROUTE BASED HEROES WEEK 15!
- FREE
- COVER GUYS LOOKING TO TEAR UP THE STEELERS
- MODEL SLAYED IN WEEK 15
t.co/gTnr5GLfXa
- FREE
- COVER GUYS LOOKING TO TEAR UP THE STEELERS
- MODEL SLAYED IN WEEK 15
t.co/gTnr5GLfXa
Route Based Heroes model this week:
- Rome Odunze: 20.2 PPR
- Darnell Mooney: 20.2
- Garrett Wilson: 18.4
- Quentin Johnston: 15.8
- Josh Palmer: 13.8
- Christian Watson: 13.4
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- Rome Odunze: 20.2 PPR
- Darnell Mooney: 20.2
- Garrett Wilson: 18.4
- Quentin Johnston: 15.8
- Josh Palmer: 13.8
- Christian Watson: 13.4
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
"Route-based heroes": Identifying players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 14
Utilizing the "Coach, I was open" model and WOPR framework to look into the players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 14.
www.pff.com
December 9, 2024 at 3:30 PM
Route Based Heroes model this week:
- Rome Odunze: 20.2 PPR
- Darnell Mooney: 20.2
- Garrett Wilson: 18.4
- Quentin Johnston: 15.8
- Josh Palmer: 13.8
- Christian Watson: 13.4
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- Rome Odunze: 20.2 PPR
- Darnell Mooney: 20.2
- Garrett Wilson: 18.4
- Quentin Johnston: 15.8
- Josh Palmer: 13.8
- Christian Watson: 13.4
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
WHATS THAT ….
ANOTHER PUBLISHED HIT
+4100
+3000 last week
+9000 a few weeks ago
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
ANOTHER PUBLISHED HIT
+4100
+3000 last week
+9000 a few weeks ago
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
December 9, 2024 at 12:14 AM
WHATS THAT ….
ANOTHER PUBLISHED HIT
+4100
+3000 last week
+9000 a few weeks ago
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
ANOTHER PUBLISHED HIT
+4100
+3000 last week
+9000 a few weeks ago
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
NFL Week 14 Thoughts, Notes, and Statistics
- ALMOST 600 PEOPLE JUST GOT THIS AS AN EMAIL
- FOR FREE
- We have hit a published +9000 and +3000 on the year 😎
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
- ALMOST 600 PEOPLE JUST GOT THIS AS AN EMAIL
- FOR FREE
- We have hit a published +9000 and +3000 on the year 😎
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
NFL Week 14 Thoughts, Notes, and Statistics
WE BROKE 50 LIKES LAST WEEK
open.substack.com
December 7, 2024 at 8:48 PM
NFL Week 14 Thoughts, Notes, and Statistics
- ALMOST 600 PEOPLE JUST GOT THIS AS AN EMAIL
- FOR FREE
- We have hit a published +9000 and +3000 on the year 😎
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
- ALMOST 600 PEOPLE JUST GOT THIS AS AN EMAIL
- FOR FREE
- We have hit a published +9000 and +3000 on the year 😎
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
COACH!! I was open… Week 14
- last time Chase was a headliner he scored 50 FP
- were Winston’s INTs that bad?
- who are our current season leaders in share of predicted targets?
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- last time Chase was a headliner he scored 50 FP
- were Winston’s INTs that bad?
- who are our current season leaders in share of predicted targets?
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
"Coach, I Was Open": Identifying the players who could see more targets in Week 14
Joseph Bryan's "Coach I Was Open" model identifies weekly breakout candidates by projecting target data, separation data, target depth and more.
www.pff.com
December 5, 2024 at 7:37 PM
COACH!! I was open… Week 14
- last time Chase was a headliner he scored 50 FP
- were Winston’s INTs that bad?
- who are our current season leaders in share of predicted targets?
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- last time Chase was a headliner he scored 50 FP
- were Winston’s INTs that bad?
- who are our current season leaders in share of predicted targets?
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
Great question:
Bears have run the 4th most MOFC rate in the NFL since wk 9
6th highest MOFC/MOFC
Kittle has the best PFF grade vs MOFC by a margin
Jennings has the most targets vs MOFC by a margin
But Deebo is in need of positive regression 🔥
Bears have run the 4th most MOFC rate in the NFL since wk 9
6th highest MOFC/MOFC
Kittle has the best PFF grade vs MOFC by a margin
Jennings has the most targets vs MOFC by a margin
But Deebo is in need of positive regression 🔥
Maybe Deebo week Koala??
What's the Bears MOFO/zone rates...
With injuries does Shanahan game plan around him + leverage off of Guerendo 🤔
What's the Bears MOFO/zone rates...
With injuries does Shanahan game plan around him + leverage off of Guerendo 🤔
December 5, 2024 at 7:00 PM
Great question:
Bears have run the 4th most MOFC rate in the NFL since wk 9
6th highest MOFC/MOFC
Kittle has the best PFF grade vs MOFC by a margin
Jennings has the most targets vs MOFC by a margin
But Deebo is in need of positive regression 🔥
Bears have run the 4th most MOFC rate in the NFL since wk 9
6th highest MOFC/MOFC
Kittle has the best PFF grade vs MOFC by a margin
Jennings has the most targets vs MOFC by a margin
But Deebo is in need of positive regression 🔥
Week 14 Route Based Heroes!
- FREE
- Cover guy plays tonight!
- Model has been on a roll this season
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- FREE
- Cover guy plays tonight!
- Model has been on a roll this season
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
"Route-based heroes": Identifying players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 14
Utilizing the "Coach, I was open" model and WOPR framework to look into the players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 14.
www.pff.com
December 5, 2024 at 4:14 PM
Week 14 Route Based Heroes!
- FREE
- Cover guy plays tonight!
- Model has been on a roll this season
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
- FREE
- Cover guy plays tonight!
- Model has been on a roll this season
www.pff.com/news/fantasy...
BROKE 50 likes for the first time ever on my Substack!!!
So hype!!!!!!!
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
So hype!!!!!!!
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
December 4, 2024 at 1:33 AM
BROKE 50 likes for the first time ever on my Substack!!!
So hype!!!!!!!
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...
So hype!!!!!!!
open.substack.com/pub/koalatys...