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moriartylab.bsky.social
Tara Moriarty
Canadian COVID Forecast: Dials graphic
This image shows gauges with the Aug 30 - Sep 12 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: High - 9.5 Alberta: Very high - 11.8 Britsh Columbia: Very high - 11.8 Manitoba: High - 8.3 Newfoundland & Labrador: Very high - 11.1 North: High - 9.9 Nova Scotia: High - 9.2 Ontario: High - 8.6 Prince Edward Island: High - 8.9 Quebec: High - 8.8 Saskatchewan: High - 8.7 New Brunswick: High - 8.7 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."
September 1, 2025 at 11:25 PM