https://www.hamburg-armscontrol.de/en/staff/timur-kadyshev-2/
IFSH https://bsky.app/profile/ifshhamburg.bsky.social
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Thus the "damned uncertainty". To resolve it, a proof must be presented of either a test or a use of this missile to >500 km range, while calculations of maximum theoretical range are irrelevant.
Thus the "damned uncertainty". To resolve it, a proof must be presented of either a test or a use of this missile to >500 km range, while calculations of maximum theoretical range are irrelevant.
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bsky.app/profile/frho...
It would have been just as preposterous then as this is now.
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Once more, calculation of theoretical maximum range is not a definitive way to determine GLCM’s actual maximum range, see Article VII.4 of the Treaty.
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bsky.app/profile/frho...
While calculating the exact range is difficult, it is clear that Russia had explaining to do, and it simply could not or would not provide it.
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bsky.app/profile/kady...
Ultimately, whether 9M729 violated the INF Treaty cannot be determined by calculating its theoretical maximum range. At present it's a political judgment, not a technical one, though additional evidence could change that.
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Once more, calculation of theoretical maximum range is not a definitive way to determine GLCM’s actual maximum range, see Article VII.4 of the Treaty.
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No intrusive testing is needed to establish this, as I, and others before me, have demonstrated.
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While Russia’s credibility is doubtful, the US version is not necessarily definitive.
While Russia’s credibility is doubtful, the US version is not necessarily definitive.
A followup to my reply bsky.app/profile/kady... to the discussion on 9M729 (re)initiated by @frhoffmann.bsky.social
Under the INF Treaty, “range capability” is defined for ballistic missiles as “the maximum range to which it has been tested,”
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My own ball-park calculations on the subject: let's take Tomahawk 1,600 km range-optimized version and try to estimate its range at very low altitude for the duration of the flight. 1/3 bsky.app/profile/frho...
Ultimately, whether 9M729 violated the INF Treaty cannot be determined by calculating its theoretical maximum range. At present it's a political judgment, not a technical one, though additional evidence could change that.
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Ultimately, whether 9M729 violated the INF Treaty cannot be determined by calculating its theoretical maximum range. At present it's a political judgment, not a technical one, though additional evidence could change that.
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In the case of the 9M728, which could theoretically be flown much further than 500 km, no range-related issue arose because it was never tested beyond that threshold.
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In the case of the 9M728, which could theoretically be flown much further than 500 km, no range-related issue arose because it was never tested beyond that threshold.
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