John Nemeth
@john-nemeth.bsky.social
Public Agency Director, Husband and Father, Oaklander, Hella Enjoyer of Politics, Policy, Economics, Transportation, and Urban Planning. Pro-Democracy.
Trump just hit 39.9% approval in the G. Elliot Morris poll aggregator. First time under 40% in his second term.
November 12, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Trump just hit 39.9% approval in the G. Elliot Morris poll aggregator. First time under 40% in his second term.
If you’re in the leverage business (like Senate Dems), you’re in the pain business.
Imagine being, say, a labor leader and calling off a strike because you think it might be causing pain somewhere in the world. Pain is the point!
Pain was the only way a gov’t shutdown could ever pay off.
Imagine being, say, a labor leader and calling off a strike because you think it might be causing pain somewhere in the world. Pain is the point!
Pain was the only way a gov’t shutdown could ever pay off.
Sen. Kaine on his vote for funding deal
“I got the first good night's sleep last night that I've gotten since Oct. 1, because I wasn't worried about being able to look Capitol Police in the eye when I walked in, or what a furloughed federal worker would say to me at church”
“I got the first good night's sleep last night that I've gotten since Oct. 1, because I wasn't worried about being able to look Capitol Police in the eye when I walked in, or what a furloughed federal worker would say to me at church”
November 10, 2025 at 11:15 PM
If you’re in the leverage business (like Senate Dems), you’re in the pain business.
Imagine being, say, a labor leader and calling off a strike because you think it might be causing pain somewhere in the world. Pain is the point!
Pain was the only way a gov’t shutdown could ever pay off.
Imagine being, say, a labor leader and calling off a strike because you think it might be causing pain somewhere in the world. Pain is the point!
Pain was the only way a gov’t shutdown could ever pay off.
Trump’s idea to kill the filibuster to reopen the government and gut the ACA seems like strategic insanity. Yes, the GOP would get the marginal benefit of ending the shutdown but then they own the bigger political problem of health care premium spikes heading into midterms.
November 5, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Trump’s idea to kill the filibuster to reopen the government and gut the ACA seems like strategic insanity. Yes, the GOP would get the marginal benefit of ending the shutdown but then they own the bigger political problem of health care premium spikes heading into midterms.
If a democratic official had accepted a bribe I guarantee you that most voters would have heard about it.
The fact that only 36% heard about Tom Homan shows you how tilted the info environment is today. This asymmetry is the main thing shaping political outcomes. Issue tweaks can’t fix this.
The fact that only 36% heard about Tom Homan shows you how tilted the info environment is today. This asymmetry is the main thing shaping political outcomes. Issue tweaks can’t fix this.
"How much have you heard about a White House official (Tom Homan) accepting a bag with $50,000 in cash in an undercover FBI investigation?"
A Little: 22%
A Lot: 14%
Nothing at all: 63%
YouGov / Oct 13, 2025
A Little: 22%
A Lot: 14%
Nothing at all: 63%
YouGov / Oct 13, 2025
October 14, 2025 at 6:30 PM
If a democratic official had accepted a bribe I guarantee you that most voters would have heard about it.
The fact that only 36% heard about Tom Homan shows you how tilted the info environment is today. This asymmetry is the main thing shaping political outcomes. Issue tweaks can’t fix this.
The fact that only 36% heard about Tom Homan shows you how tilted the info environment is today. This asymmetry is the main thing shaping political outcomes. Issue tweaks can’t fix this.
Will the dominant military power of the future be the one can master autonomous warfare?
Or the one with the generals who can bench press the most and run the fastest 100 meter dash?
Which is more relevant to the battlefield of tomorrow?
Or the one with the generals who can bench press the most and run the fastest 100 meter dash?
Which is more relevant to the battlefield of tomorrow?
“I don’t want my son serving alongside troops who are out of shape or in combat units with females who can’t meet the same combat arms physical standards as men."
More than 800 members of the US military’s top brass were greeted by Hegseth’s order to return to “the highest male standard."
More than 800 members of the US military’s top brass were greeted by Hegseth’s order to return to “the highest male standard."
Hegseth uses extraordinary meeting to fat-shame generals
The US military's top brass were silent as the secretary ordered a return to the "highest male standard."
www.motherjones.com
September 30, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Will the dominant military power of the future be the one can master autonomous warfare?
Or the one with the generals who can bench press the most and run the fastest 100 meter dash?
Which is more relevant to the battlefield of tomorrow?
Or the one with the generals who can bench press the most and run the fastest 100 meter dash?
Which is more relevant to the battlefield of tomorrow?
So Trump is protecting us from:
1. Tylenol
2. Vaccines
3. Bike Paths
4. Late Night Comedy
5. Employed Immigrants
6. International trade
7. Windmills
Do I have that about right?
1. Tylenol
2. Vaccines
3. Bike Paths
4. Late Night Comedy
5. Employed Immigrants
6. International trade
7. Windmills
Do I have that about right?
September 23, 2025 at 1:02 PM
So Trump is protecting us from:
1. Tylenol
2. Vaccines
3. Bike Paths
4. Late Night Comedy
5. Employed Immigrants
6. International trade
7. Windmills
Do I have that about right?
1. Tylenol
2. Vaccines
3. Bike Paths
4. Late Night Comedy
5. Employed Immigrants
6. International trade
7. Windmills
Do I have that about right?
If I was trying to do fascism, I’d keep my mouth shut about the media firings. Your enemies get fired, investigated, fall out of windows, and the message is sent. You shrug. If you take credit and say it’s because your feelings were hurt, it undermines the strongman persona. You can’t be that needy.
We’re not dealing with the threat of authoritarianism anymore. We’re already there.
🚨 Trump floats stripping networks critical of him of their broadcast licenses — “They’re giving me all this bad press, and they’re getting a license”
1/4
🚨 Trump floats stripping networks critical of him of their broadcast licenses — “They’re giving me all this bad press, and they’re getting a license”
1/4
September 18, 2025 at 9:34 PM
If I was trying to do fascism, I’d keep my mouth shut about the media firings. Your enemies get fired, investigated, fall out of windows, and the message is sent. You shrug. If you take credit and say it’s because your feelings were hurt, it undermines the strongman persona. You can’t be that needy.
The paradox of the current cultural environment is that you might lose your job for criticizing Charlie Kirk but just as easily lose your job for repeating the things he actually said.
People are losing their jobs for criticizing Charlie Kirk on social media
September 11, 2025 - A radio station in Las Vegas has fired an employee over comments made after the fatal shooting of activist Charlie Kirk on Wednesday. The employee, Bobby Machado, worked as a beh...
thedesk.net
September 12, 2025 at 10:20 PM
The paradox of the current cultural environment is that you might lose your job for criticizing Charlie Kirk but just as easily lose your job for repeating the things he actually said.
Reposted by John Nemeth
andrew is right, but mainstream U.S. media is fundamentally incapable of any introspection that isn't 'we didn't pay enough attention to the right-wing's needs'
the permission structure created for a bloodthirsty maga rampage the last two days by mainstream media, all before any facts were known at all, deserves some real introspection by the entire industry
September 12, 2025 at 4:58 PM
andrew is right, but mainstream U.S. media is fundamentally incapable of any introspection that isn't 'we didn't pay enough attention to the right-wing's needs'
Wow. The Baltimore Ravens tried to salt that game way too early. There’s a lesson there about risk-aversion. If you’re on the cusp of winning something, don’t coast too soon. Run through the tape!
September 8, 2025 at 3:42 AM
Wow. The Baltimore Ravens tried to salt that game way too early. There’s a lesson there about risk-aversion. If you’re on the cusp of winning something, don’t coast too soon. Run through the tape!
In 1500, the “white population” (Europe) was about 12% of the global population.
That share rose with European settlement of the Western Hemisphere and technological advances over the next few centuries.
As advances spread globally in the last century, the original pop. share was re-established.
That share rose with European settlement of the Western Hemisphere and technological advances over the next few centuries.
As advances spread globally in the last century, the original pop. share was re-established.
September 7, 2025 at 11:59 PM
In 1500, the “white population” (Europe) was about 12% of the global population.
That share rose with European settlement of the Western Hemisphere and technological advances over the next few centuries.
As advances spread globally in the last century, the original pop. share was re-established.
That share rose with European settlement of the Western Hemisphere and technological advances over the next few centuries.
As advances spread globally in the last century, the original pop. share was re-established.
Terrible jobs report this morning. Absent health care, jobs were negative in August. Manufacturing was -12,000. June numbers revised to -13,000.
Payrolls rose 22,000 in August, less than expected in further sign of hiring slowdown
Nonfarm payrolls were expected to increase by 75,000 in August while the unemployment rate edged up tp 4.3%.
www.cnbc.com
September 5, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Terrible jobs report this morning. Absent health care, jobs were negative in August. Manufacturing was -12,000. June numbers revised to -13,000.
The huge downward revisions (-258,000 jobs) are the big surprise. Trump’s tariff insanity is discouraging hiring. And yet, just three days ago our nation’s newspaper of record said that Trump was “winning” his trade war. Is this what “winning” look like to the Times?
August 1, 2025 at 1:07 PM
The huge downward revisions (-258,000 jobs) are the big surprise. Trump’s tariff insanity is discouraging hiring. And yet, just three days ago our nation’s newspaper of record said that Trump was “winning” his trade war. Is this what “winning” look like to the Times?
🧵 FWIW, I don’t think Trump was running his own “Lolita Island” out of Mar-a-Lago. For starters, Virginia Giuffre said that her spa job was legitimate. Secondly, I don’t think Trump is competent enough to run a trafficking enterprise. And lastly, I think we would have heard more stories by now.
July 30, 2025 at 1:32 PM
🧵 FWIW, I don’t think Trump was running his own “Lolita Island” out of Mar-a-Lago. For starters, Virginia Giuffre said that her spa job was legitimate. Secondly, I don’t think Trump is competent enough to run a trafficking enterprise. And lastly, I think we would have heard more stories by now.
I’ve seen some really bad NYT headlines but this one might take the cake.
Trade is not a zero sum game. You don’t “win” a trade war. The overall, effective tariff on foreign goods keeps going up in America with prices rising along with it. How is that “winning?”
Trade is not a zero sum game. You don’t “win” a trade war. The overall, effective tariff on foreign goods keeps going up in America with prices rising along with it. How is that “winning?”
Trump Is Winning His Trade War. What Will That Mean for the Economy?
www.nytimes.com
July 29, 2025 at 10:39 PM
I’ve seen some really bad NYT headlines but this one might take the cake.
Trade is not a zero sum game. You don’t “win” a trade war. The overall, effective tariff on foreign goods keeps going up in America with prices rising along with it. How is that “winning?”
Trade is not a zero sum game. You don’t “win” a trade war. The overall, effective tariff on foreign goods keeps going up in America with prices rising along with it. How is that “winning?”
My speculative, grand conspiracy theory of everything is that:
- Epstein procured underage girls for Trump and recorded him.
- Epstein sold this info to Russian intelligence when he and Trump had a falling out in 2003.
- Russian officials made Trump aware that they had this info, as leverage.
- Epstein procured underage girls for Trump and recorded him.
- Epstein sold this info to Russian intelligence when he and Trump had a falling out in 2003.
- Russian officials made Trump aware that they had this info, as leverage.
July 29, 2025 at 2:22 AM
My speculative, grand conspiracy theory of everything is that:
- Epstein procured underage girls for Trump and recorded him.
- Epstein sold this info to Russian intelligence when he and Trump had a falling out in 2003.
- Russian officials made Trump aware that they had this info, as leverage.
- Epstein procured underage girls for Trump and recorded him.
- Epstein sold this info to Russian intelligence when he and Trump had a falling out in 2003.
- Russian officials made Trump aware that they had this info, as leverage.
Not sure why Maxwell needs to “address questions” in private. My guess is that Maxwell has dirt on Trump and is using it as leverage to get a pardon. Trump’s DOJ is willing to bargain. Maybe Trump will ask that Maxwell go beyond staying quiet and make accusations against Trump’s political opponents.
Top Justice Department officials have contacted lawyers representing Ghislaine Maxwell, a longtime associate of Jeffrey Epstein who is serving a prison term for sex trafficking, to address questions about the case that have fueled a furious right-wing backlash.
Justice Dept. Reaches Out to Ghislaine Maxwell, a Longtime Epstein Associate
The latest effort by Trump subordinates is intended to quell a political crisis precipitated by the department’s announcement that it would not release more files related to the Epstein investigation.
trib.al
July 22, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Not sure why Maxwell needs to “address questions” in private. My guess is that Maxwell has dirt on Trump and is using it as leverage to get a pardon. Trump’s DOJ is willing to bargain. Maybe Trump will ask that Maxwell go beyond staying quiet and make accusations against Trump’s political opponents.
Cult vs. conspiracy theory. Which is stronger ?
We're about to find out if "Get over it" from a trusted leader can pull people away from a conspiracy theory. I'm skeptical but you never know!
July 13, 2025 at 2:59 AM
Cult vs. conspiracy theory. Which is stronger ?
What’s staggering to me is that a party can run on something like ethnic cleansing and - at the same time - get a very respectable share of the vote from the people being targeted.
I’ve warned about the nativist mind virus for many years. They’d destroy the economy, bankrupt the government, shred the Constitution, trample our freedoms, and imprison their own people to get what they want: not just mass deportation, but something more like ethnic cleansing
July 1, 2025 at 1:33 PM
What’s staggering to me is that a party can run on something like ethnic cleansing and - at the same time - get a very respectable share of the vote from the people being targeted.
The picture of the economy keeps getting clearer. It’s contracting and we may only be a few weeks ago from economists declaring that we’re in a recession.
The US economy contracted in the beginning of the year at a much faster pace than previously reported, after new data factored in much weaker consumer spending — due in large part to Trump’s tariffs.
#TrumpTariffs
#TrumpTariffs
The US economy shrank much faster in the first quarter than previously reported | CNN Business
The US economy contracted in the beginning of the year at a much faster pace than previously reported, after new data factored in much weaker consumer spending.
www.cnn.com
June 26, 2025 at 2:13 PM
The picture of the economy keeps getting clearer. It’s contracting and we may only be a few weeks ago from economists declaring that we’re in a recession.
So, to sum up…
We had a deal with Iran. We wouldn’t sanction if Iran halted its nuclear program. Trump tore that up. So Iran began to enrich again. A worried Israel attacked Iran. Trump joined. But, the nuclear program has only been delayed by a few months. Now Trump says a deal doesn’t matter. wtf
We had a deal with Iran. We wouldn’t sanction if Iran halted its nuclear program. Trump tore that up. So Iran began to enrich again. A worried Israel attacked Iran. Trump joined. But, the nuclear program has only been delayed by a few months. Now Trump says a deal doesn’t matter. wtf
June 25, 2025 at 3:22 PM
So, to sum up…
We had a deal with Iran. We wouldn’t sanction if Iran halted its nuclear program. Trump tore that up. So Iran began to enrich again. A worried Israel attacked Iran. Trump joined. But, the nuclear program has only been delayed by a few months. Now Trump says a deal doesn’t matter. wtf
We had a deal with Iran. We wouldn’t sanction if Iran halted its nuclear program. Trump tore that up. So Iran began to enrich again. A worried Israel attacked Iran. Trump joined. But, the nuclear program has only been delayed by a few months. Now Trump says a deal doesn’t matter. wtf
Can’t believe how many American news outlets wrote something like “Trump brokers ceasefire” last night before going to bed.
They’re only gradually realizing that missile exchanges are ongoing and there’s no functional ceasefire. Still many outdated headlines up.
They’re only gradually realizing that missile exchanges are ongoing and there’s no functional ceasefire. Still many outdated headlines up.
Iran denies violating ceasefire as Israel orders powerful strikes on Tehran - live updates
Israel says it shot down an incoming Iranian missile, hours after agreeing to the deal brokered by Donald Trump and Qatar.
www.bbc.com
June 24, 2025 at 11:08 AM
Can’t believe how many American news outlets wrote something like “Trump brokers ceasefire” last night before going to bed.
They’re only gradually realizing that missile exchanges are ongoing and there’s no functional ceasefire. Still many outdated headlines up.
They’re only gradually realizing that missile exchanges are ongoing and there’s no functional ceasefire. Still many outdated headlines up.
This story In a nutshell:
Previous presidents restrained Israel. Trump is unable. Israel scuttled his attempted “deal” with Iran. Now he may bomb Iran because radio talk show host, Mark Levin, told him to and because he wants glory on Fox News.
Previous presidents restrained Israel. Trump is unable. Israel scuttled his attempted “deal” with Iran. Now he may bomb Iran because radio talk show host, Mark Levin, told him to and because he wants glory on Fox News.
How Trump Shifted on Iran Under Pressure From Israel
www.nytimes.com
June 19, 2025 at 1:03 PM
This story In a nutshell:
Previous presidents restrained Israel. Trump is unable. Israel scuttled his attempted “deal” with Iran. Now he may bomb Iran because radio talk show host, Mark Levin, told him to and because he wants glory on Fox News.
Previous presidents restrained Israel. Trump is unable. Israel scuttled his attempted “deal” with Iran. Now he may bomb Iran because radio talk show host, Mark Levin, told him to and because he wants glory on Fox News.
wow
Emmanuel Macron of France and Giorgia Meloni of Italy having a chat. They 1000% hate him. It’s the eye roll for me 💀
June 16, 2025 at 10:59 PM
wow
