@joergbulach.bsky.social
Reposted
And here we are: the entire transatlantic alliance is now talking about Greenland, instead of talking about ending the war in Ukraine.
January 14, 2026 at 1:36 PM
And here we are: the entire transatlantic alliance is now talking about Greenland, instead of talking about ending the war in Ukraine.
Reposted
Just a note, long-term global temperatures are not measured "over 30 years to iron out natural fluctuations." There was no measurement methodology defined in the Paris Agreement.
The method I use is a 20 year window centered on the current year.
climatecasino.net/2024/01/how-...
The method I use is a 20 year window centered on the current year.
climatecasino.net/2024/01/how-...
How Hot is Hell? I Mean Earth?
Do you want to get frustrated by climate scientists? Just ask them what the current level of global surface warming is above the IPCC 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
climatecasino.net
January 14, 2026 at 2:44 PM
Just a note, long-term global temperatures are not measured "over 30 years to iron out natural fluctuations." There was no measurement methodology defined in the Paris Agreement.
The method I use is a 20 year window centered on the current year.
climatecasino.net/2024/01/how-...
The method I use is a 20 year window centered on the current year.
climatecasino.net/2024/01/how-...
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
In the depths of La Nina the planet is still breaking temperature records: January 6th was the hottest on record for the date since 1940, at 1.65°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
The next El Nino is going to be interesting.
Code Yikes!
In the depths of La Nina the planet is still breaking temperature records: January 6th was the hottest on record for the date since 1940, at 1.65°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
The next El Nino is going to be interesting.
January 8, 2026 at 3:03 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
In the depths of La Nina the planet is still breaking temperature records: January 6th was the hottest on record for the date since 1940, at 1.65°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
The next El Nino is going to be interesting.
Code Yikes!
In the depths of La Nina the planet is still breaking temperature records: January 6th was the hottest on record for the date since 1940, at 1.65°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
The next El Nino is going to be interesting.
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The January, 2026, ENSO update was just released this morning and it now shows a better than 60% chance of an El Nino developing by early Fall, and a 50% chance by mid-Summer.
The Climate 8-Ball is in hiding.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Code Yikes!
The January, 2026, ENSO update was just released this morning and it now shows a better than 60% chance of an El Nino developing by early Fall, and a 50% chance by mid-Summer.
The Climate 8-Ball is in hiding.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
January 8, 2026 at 3:46 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
The January, 2026, ENSO update was just released this morning and it now shows a better than 60% chance of an El Nino developing by early Fall, and a 50% chance by mid-Summer.
The Climate 8-Ball is in hiding.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Code Yikes!
The January, 2026, ENSO update was just released this morning and it now shows a better than 60% chance of an El Nino developing by early Fall, and a 50% chance by mid-Summer.
The Climate 8-Ball is in hiding.
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
December's data just came in and "Global Total Column Precipitable Water" once again set a new record high for the 36-month running average.
In other words, when it rains, it pours!
Data: climatereanalyzer.org/research_too...
Code Yikes!
December's data just came in and "Global Total Column Precipitable Water" once again set a new record high for the 36-month running average.
In other words, when it rains, it pours!
Data: climatereanalyzer.org/research_too...
January 9, 2026 at 2:29 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
December's data just came in and "Global Total Column Precipitable Water" once again set a new record high for the 36-month running average.
In other words, when it rains, it pours!
Data: climatereanalyzer.org/research_too...
Code Yikes!
December's data just came in and "Global Total Column Precipitable Water" once again set a new record high for the 36-month running average.
In other words, when it rains, it pours!
Data: climatereanalyzer.org/research_too...
Reposted
Over six years ago, I published an 11,000 word article in The Atlantic (gift link below) explaining how Donald Trump was, beyond any question, mentally ill and unfit to hold any office of public trust.
He has proven these points virtually every day since.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
He has proven these points virtually every day since.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Unfit for Office
Donald Trump’s narcissism makes it impossible for him to carry out the duties of the presidency in the way the Constitution requires.
www.theatlantic.com
December 16, 2025 at 12:55 AM
Over six years ago, I published an 11,000 word article in The Atlantic (gift link below) explaining how Donald Trump was, beyond any question, mentally ill and unfit to hold any office of public trust.
He has proven these points virtually every day since.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
He has proven these points virtually every day since.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Reposted
Here's the 3-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly for the past 75 years of data, now at 1.51°C over pre-industrial.
Where is this going over the next 75 years? The Climate 8-ball is moving to its bunker in New Zealand.
Where is this going over the next 75 years? The Climate 8-ball is moving to its bunker in New Zealand.
December 11, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Here's the 3-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly for the past 75 years of data, now at 1.51°C over pre-industrial.
Where is this going over the next 75 years? The Climate 8-ball is moving to its bunker in New Zealand.
Where is this going over the next 75 years? The Climate 8-ball is moving to its bunker in New Zealand.
Reposted
It's been about a month since I've posted this one. Global sea-ice extent is currently 3rd lowest for the day on record.
The annual minimum happens in mid-February. Will 2026 see a new record low? The Climate 8-ball is thinking globally.
The annual minimum happens in mid-February. Will 2026 see a new record low? The Climate 8-ball is thinking globally.
December 14, 2025 at 2:31 PM
It's been about a month since I've posted this one. Global sea-ice extent is currently 3rd lowest for the day on record.
The annual minimum happens in mid-February. Will 2026 see a new record low? The Climate 8-ball is thinking globally.
The annual minimum happens in mid-February. Will 2026 see a new record low? The Climate 8-ball is thinking globally.
Reposted
🥰 Was für eine Niedlichkeit! In Deutschland lebt das kleinste Pferd der Welt
Pumukel ist im Guinness-Buch der Rekorde eingetragen. Das Tier wurde nicht gezielt gezüchtet, sondern ist aufgrund eines genetischen Fehlers so klein geworden.
👇🏽
Pumukel ist im Guinness-Buch der Rekorde eingetragen. Das Tier wurde nicht gezielt gezüchtet, sondern ist aufgrund eines genetischen Fehlers so klein geworden.
👇🏽
December 2, 2025 at 10:33 AM
🥰 Was für eine Niedlichkeit! In Deutschland lebt das kleinste Pferd der Welt
Pumukel ist im Guinness-Buch der Rekorde eingetragen. Das Tier wurde nicht gezielt gezüchtet, sondern ist aufgrund eines genetischen Fehlers so klein geworden.
👇🏽
Pumukel ist im Guinness-Buch der Rekorde eingetragen. Das Tier wurde nicht gezielt gezüchtet, sondern ist aufgrund eines genetischen Fehlers so klein geworden.
👇🏽
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
As of November 25th, Arctic sea-ice extent just hit a new record daily low and is now more than 32,000 km² below the previous record low for the date, set in 2016.
Current extent is more than 1,360,000 km² below the 1991-2020 average.
Code Yikes!
As of November 25th, Arctic sea-ice extent just hit a new record daily low and is now more than 32,000 km² below the previous record low for the date, set in 2016.
Current extent is more than 1,360,000 km² below the 1991-2020 average.
November 27, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
As of November 25th, Arctic sea-ice extent just hit a new record daily low and is now more than 32,000 km² below the previous record low for the date, set in 2016.
Current extent is more than 1,360,000 km² below the 1991-2020 average.
Code Yikes!
As of November 25th, Arctic sea-ice extent just hit a new record daily low and is now more than 32,000 km² below the previous record low for the date, set in 2016.
Current extent is more than 1,360,000 km² below the 1991-2020 average.
Reposted
With 4 days of data to go, November, 2025, will likely end up as the third warmest November on record and third warmest November in the last 120,000+ years.
November will also mark the second consecutive month breaking 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Stay tuned!
November will also mark the second consecutive month breaking 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Stay tuned!
November 28, 2025 at 5:25 PM
With 4 days of data to go, November, 2025, will likely end up as the third warmest November on record and third warmest November in the last 120,000+ years.
November will also mark the second consecutive month breaking 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Stay tuned!
November will also mark the second consecutive month breaking 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Stay tuned!
Reposted
Meanwhile, while the Arctic sets new record daily lows, the global surface temperature continues setting new record daily highs.
November 27, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Meanwhile, while the Arctic sets new record daily lows, the global surface temperature continues setting new record daily highs.
Reposted
The scientific understanding is that we should see a decrease in Absorbed Solar Radiation from a negative PDO and a decreasing Net Flux Anomaly as the North Pacific rapidly warms.
The opposite is happening and that's a Big F*cking Deal (BFD) to use @drjamesehansen.bsky.social his phrasing.
1/
The opposite is happening and that's a Big F*cking Deal (BFD) to use @drjamesehansen.bsky.social his phrasing.
1/
November 17, 2025 at 4:02 PM
The scientific understanding is that we should see a decrease in Absorbed Solar Radiation from a negative PDO and a decreasing Net Flux Anomaly as the North Pacific rapidly warms.
The opposite is happening and that's a Big F*cking Deal (BFD) to use @drjamesehansen.bsky.social his phrasing.
1/
The opposite is happening and that's a Big F*cking Deal (BFD) to use @drjamesehansen.bsky.social his phrasing.
1/
Reposted
🌊 🧊 📉
Global Sea Ice Area Maximum never peaked lower than it did this year...
Less sea ice leads to less sunlight reflection back to space, more (high latitude) heat uptake and even faster ice melt.
Global Sea Ice Area Maximum never peaked lower than it did this year...
Less sea ice leads to less sunlight reflection back to space, more (high latitude) heat uptake and even faster ice melt.
November 17, 2025 at 8:08 PM
🌊 🧊 📉
Global Sea Ice Area Maximum never peaked lower than it did this year...
Less sea ice leads to less sunlight reflection back to space, more (high latitude) heat uptake and even faster ice melt.
Global Sea Ice Area Maximum never peaked lower than it did this year...
Less sea ice leads to less sunlight reflection back to space, more (high latitude) heat uptake and even faster ice melt.
Reposted
The latest, from November 18, has the planet at 1.61°C above pre-industrial.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
November 20, 2025 at 4:53 PM
The latest, from November 18, has the planet at 1.61°C above pre-industrial.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
Will the planet reach an anomaly of 1.80°C above pre-industrial over the coming few days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is busy eating gobsmacking bananas.
Reposted
This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
November 19, 2025 at 2:42 PM
This graphic shows the difference from the 1981-2010 baseline. Add about 0.60°C to get the anomaly above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
In other words, an anomaly over pre-industrial above 1.80°C is likely in the next few days.
www.karstenhaustein.com/climate
Reposted
The 2-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly is still above 1.55°C.
Everything will be fine.
Everything will be fine.
November 17, 2025 at 1:05 PM
The 2-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly is still above 1.55°C.
Everything will be fine.
Everything will be fine.
Reposted
And just to be complete, in case you need verified NOAA data, yes, as of October, 2025, it's official, a new record was set for the 36-month mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth:
Feb., 2019: 7.826 ppm per 36 months.
Oct., 2025: 7.874 ppm per 36 months.
Winning!
Feb., 2019: 7.826 ppm per 36 months.
Oct., 2025: 7.874 ppm per 36 months.
Winning!
November 14, 2025 at 1:20 AM
And just to be complete, in case you need verified NOAA data, yes, as of October, 2025, it's official, a new record was set for the 36-month mean rate of atmospheric CO2 growth:
Feb., 2019: 7.826 ppm per 36 months.
Oct., 2025: 7.874 ppm per 36 months.
Winning!
Feb., 2019: 7.826 ppm per 36 months.
Oct., 2025: 7.874 ppm per 36 months.
Winning!
Reposted
Breaking News!
Breaking News!
Breaking News!
The NOAA site monitoring GHGs is posting updates again! And here is October CO2!
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/
Breaking News!
Breaking News!
The NOAA site monitoring GHGs is posting updates again! And here is October CO2!
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/
November 14, 2025 at 12:58 AM
Breaking News!
Breaking News!
Breaking News!
The NOAA site monitoring GHGs is posting updates again! And here is October CO2!
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/
Breaking News!
Breaking News!
The NOAA site monitoring GHGs is posting updates again! And here is October CO2!
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
November 10, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
Code UFB!!!
The three-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly now exceeds 1.50°C over the pre-industrial baseline, as of November 8, 2025.
Are you there, COP 30? It's me, the Paris Agreement.
Reposted
The median date for global sea-ice extent to hit its annual maximum is November 2nd. That was yesterday.
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
November 3, 2025 at 4:29 PM
The median date for global sea-ice extent to hit its annual maximum is November 2nd. That was yesterday.
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
It's looking like 2025 may end up with the second lowest global sea-ice maximum since records began in 1988, behind only 2024. And 2016 is just barely higher.
Stay tuned!
Reposted
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
October 25th, 2025 was the hottest on record for the date since records began in 1940, making it likely the hottest October 25th in the last 120,000 years.
More records are forecast to be set over the next week. Stay tuned.
Code UFB!!!
October 25th, 2025 was the hottest on record for the date since records began in 1940, making it likely the hottest October 25th in the last 120,000 years.
More records are forecast to be set over the next week. Stay tuned.
October 27, 2025 at 12:19 PM
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
October 25th, 2025 was the hottest on record for the date since records began in 1940, making it likely the hottest October 25th in the last 120,000 years.
More records are forecast to be set over the next week. Stay tuned.
Code UFB!!!
October 25th, 2025 was the hottest on record for the date since records began in 1940, making it likely the hottest October 25th in the last 120,000 years.
More records are forecast to be set over the next week. Stay tuned.
Reposted
Here's a water-cooler fun fact:
The 3-year running mean for the Global surface temperature anomaly above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline is now at 1.495°C.
Given the current global temperature forecast, the 3-year mean should cross 1.50°C within the next 30 days.
The 3-year running mean for the Global surface temperature anomaly above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline is now at 1.495°C.
Given the current global temperature forecast, the 3-year mean should cross 1.50°C within the next 30 days.
October 27, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Here's a water-cooler fun fact:
The 3-year running mean for the Global surface temperature anomaly above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline is now at 1.495°C.
Given the current global temperature forecast, the 3-year mean should cross 1.50°C within the next 30 days.
The 3-year running mean for the Global surface temperature anomaly above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline is now at 1.495°C.
Given the current global temperature forecast, the 3-year mean should cross 1.50°C within the next 30 days.
Reposted
Hansen's "acid-test" is borderline acidic at the moment, with the global anomaly for 2025 year-to-date at 1.464°C above the pre-industrial baseline and rising, currently about 0.135°C below the anomaly for 2024.
The Climate 8-ball is dissolving.
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
The Climate 8-ball is dissolving.
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
October 27, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Hansen's "acid-test" is borderline acidic at the moment, with the global anomaly for 2025 year-to-date at 1.464°C above the pre-industrial baseline and rising, currently about 0.135°C below the anomaly for 2024.
The Climate 8-ball is dissolving.
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
The Climate 8-ball is dissolving.
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
Reposted
The October 23rd daily global surface temperature anomaly was 1.69°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Will the anomaly rise to 1.90°C or higher over the coming days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is out looking for their blue-eyed son.
Will the anomaly rise to 1.90°C or higher over the coming days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is out looking for their blue-eyed son.
October 25, 2025 at 4:23 PM
The October 23rd daily global surface temperature anomaly was 1.69°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Will the anomaly rise to 1.90°C or higher over the coming days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is out looking for their blue-eyed son.
Will the anomaly rise to 1.90°C or higher over the coming days, as forecast? The Climate 8-ball is out looking for their blue-eyed son.