Jonas Haslbeck
jmbh.bsky.social
Jonas Haslbeck
@jmbh.bsky.social
Postdoc @ University of Amsterdam; working on Applied Statistics, Time Series Modeling, Dynamical Systems, Generative AI, Climate Change; www.jonashaslbeck.com
September 22, 2025 at 11:14 AM
We found that model selection was successful for state separations similar to the ones we found in empirical data and estimation error was satisfactory for realistic numbers of observations and subjects.
September 22, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Going beyond existing simulations, we independently varied the number of true states, the state separation, the number of variables, the number of time points, and the number of subjects.
September 22, 2025 at 11:13 AM
In the second paper (osf.io/preprints/ps...) we conduct an extensive simulation study to evaluate whether existing software works as intended and how well multilevel HMMs can be estimated in typical time series designs in psychology.
OSF
osf.io
September 22, 2025 at 11:13 AM
In the first paper with Emmeke Aarts (osf.io/preprints/ps...) we provide a gentle introduction to (multilevel) HMMs and walk the reader through a fully reproducible tutorial on model specification, estimation, selection, and interpretation by analyzing a typical EMA emotion time series dataset.
September 22, 2025 at 11:12 AM
While Emmeke Aart's R-package mHMMbayes already allows estimating multilevel HMMs, there has been no easily accessible tutorial on how to use these models and no evaluation of how well these models can be estimated in situations typical for psychology research.
September 22, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Thanks, but I'm afraid also this link doesn't work for me (requires a KU Leuven login)
June 10, 2025 at 9:32 PM
... and provide a fully reproducible step-by-step tutorial on model estimation, selection, diagnostics and interpretation.
February 13, 2025 at 3:09 PM
... we valuate how well these models can be estimated in typical empirical settings using a simulation study ...
February 13, 2025 at 3:08 PM
...we provide an introduction to LCVAR models, introduce the new R package ClusterVAR (cran.r-project.org/.../pack.../...)
cran.r-project.org
February 13, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Was also confused and just uploaded everything as a PDF again (:
February 1, 2025 at 10:47 AM