Jake Rubinstein
jlrube.jakerubinstein.com
Jake Rubinstein
@jlrube.jakerubinstein.com
Splitting time between here and my X. Slowly migrating.

/ Survey Methods / random pictures of my cat / #f1 / US politics

Data/Polling/Quant methods at HIT Strategies.

More active on the birdsite with the same handle

https://linktr.ee/jlrube
Hmmmmmm #mapoli
September 11, 2025 at 7:11 PM
Has anyone gone through and checked E.J. Antoni's dissertation for plagiarism?

Cause it would be very funny if he plagiarized.
August 12, 2025 at 8:31 PM
A Diddler on the roof. Sounds crazy, no?

But here, in our little island of Epstein you might say every one of us is a Diddler
August 5, 2025 at 3:13 PM
🧵 The data you have all been waiting for!

The NYC mayoral primary WITHOUT batch elimination (and some early analysis)

1) Zohran's first round (469,642) would have been enough to win against Cuomo's final round (443,229)
July 22, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Okay, I've got some questions about the region definitions in the new Suffolk Boston Mayoral Poll
July 21, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Did you ever wonder what the 2021 NYC mayoral looked like as a Sankey Diagram?

Well, wait no longer
July 15, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Reposted by Jake Rubinstein
The reason Cuomo and Generic White finance guy keep going after the Israel thing is because it is likely their only play for actually harming Mamdani.

It's cynical politics at its worst and it's why voters distrust politicians so damn much.
June 13, 2025 at 1:13 AM
As a Jew and a political operative, it's really fucking disgusting to watch Israel be a topic in the NYC mayors race.

If we learned anything in 2024 it's that voter were laser focused on the economy.

Any time you spend talking about Israel in this race is an insult to voters and tokenizing to jews
June 13, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Okay, now Bloomberg is endorsing Cuomo and I'm afraid I manifested too hard
✨Manifesting for the NYC mayoral debate✨
June 10, 2025 at 7:41 PM
Jeez, Cuomo really did suggest Obama was Shucking and Jiving
June 5, 2025 at 12:20 AM
Reposted by Jake Rubinstein
Ether the man who refuses to pronounce your name right @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social
✨Manifesting for the NYC mayoral debate✨
June 4, 2025 at 11:31 PM
✨Manifesting for the NYC mayoral debate✨
June 4, 2025 at 11:14 PM
Assuming all the votes are done being counted, that's roughly an 81% reduction in votes cast compared to the November presidential
So, the Democrat in the South Carolina #HD50 (Harris+5) special election just won the Kershaw County portion of the district by 25 points.

That part of the district backed Trump by 32% in 2024.

I'm calling it, the Democrats have HELD #HD50 and will massively overperform Kamala's 2024 performance.
June 4, 2025 at 2:34 AM
This is an incredible burn rate without any TV spending from Kraft. Wu is much closer to normal for this part of the year, and had cash on hand already.
May 28, 2025 at 6:46 PM
678 laps of racing watched and now I am tired
May 26, 2025 at 3:00 AM
Somehow this is not AI
May 23, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Cool shell formation on my beach walk
May 16, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Reposted by Jake Rubinstein
Latin translation: “He has eaten our dogs”
May 9, 2025 at 1:17 PM
The pope is a Leo here is what his zodiac sign means for the church...
May 8, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Papum PC small group
🛐🙏📿
May 8, 2025 at 4:41 PM
The Catholic church just held an entire election cycle quicker than California counts like half their votes
May 8, 2025 at 4:28 PM
The need to choose Pierbattista Pizzaballa for pope
a man wearing sunglasses and a fedora says " or else pizza is gonna send out for you "
ALT: a man wearing sunglasses and a fedora says " or else pizza is gonna send out for you "
media.tenor.com
May 8, 2025 at 4:24 PM
I want a Lego F1 car so badly
5 seconds for forcing another Lego car off the track
May 4, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Chunk Norris is cheering for Chunk of Gold in the Derby because they have the same first name
May 3, 2025 at 10:50 PM
Damn, the #f1 TV direction is SO bad. The race win is on the line with Oscar coming out of the pits. First to the safety car line wins. They show the safety car line and then zoom in on the safety car and stop showing the relevant line...
May 3, 2025 at 5:02 PM