Jacob Edenhofer
@jacobedenhofer.bsky.social
BA, PPE @warwickuni / MPhil, Comparative Government @UniofOxford / DPhil student in Politics @NuffieldCollege & @Politics_Oxford
Link to my blog “Often wrong, but sometimes useful”: https://jacobedenhofer.substack.com/
Link to my blog “Often wrong, but sometimes useful”: https://jacobedenhofer.substack.com/
Indeed! Let me add that Brexit has led to levelling up by levelling down and this has -- if anything -- benefitted right-wing populists.
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
November 10, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Indeed! Let me add that Brexit has led to levelling up by levelling down and this has -- if anything -- benefitted right-wing populists.
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
I am on tenterhooks! I discovered your paper while writing up some inchoate thoughts on "measuring the effects of structural power" (see below). I don't know this literature very well -- so, I reckon my intuition is pretty trivial. But I was just trying to explain it
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/726b3...
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/726b3...
November 6, 2025 at 1:20 PM
I am on tenterhooks! I discovered your paper while writing up some inchoate thoughts on "measuring the effects of structural power" (see below). I don't know this literature very well -- so, I reckon my intuition is pretty trivial. But I was just trying to explain it
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/726b3...
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/726b3...
Such a great paper!
Francis, David C., and @rmkubinec.bsky.social. 2025. ‘Beyond Political Connections: A Measurement Model Approach to Estimating Firm-Level Political Influence in 41 Countries’. @psrm.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Francis, David C., and @rmkubinec.bsky.social. 2025. ‘Beyond Political Connections: A Measurement Model Approach to Estimating Firm-Level Political Influence in 41 Countries’. @psrm.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
November 6, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Such a great paper!
Francis, David C., and @rmkubinec.bsky.social. 2025. ‘Beyond Political Connections: A Measurement Model Approach to Estimating Firm-Level Political Influence in 41 Countries’. @psrm.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Francis, David C., and @rmkubinec.bsky.social. 2025. ‘Beyond Political Connections: A Measurement Model Approach to Estimating Firm-Level Political Influence in 41 Countries’. @psrm.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
November 5, 2025 at 8:48 PM
There are now fewer voters that parties can saddle with the short-term costs of long-term policies at low electoral cost, given these voters' loyalty (see Dixit and Londregan). academic.oup.com/qje/article/...
November 3, 2025 at 8:14 PM
There are now fewer voters that parties can saddle with the short-term costs of long-term policies at low electoral cost, given these voters' loyalty (see Dixit and Londregan). academic.oup.com/qje/article/...
(formal) institutions with low trust in the system writ large (see the cool paper below). The model by
@grattonecon.bsky.social et al. shows how such beliefs can become "self-confirming". This is scary, especially if we also consider the decline in core voters.
academic.oup.com/ej/article/1...
@grattonecon.bsky.social et al. shows how such beliefs can become "self-confirming". This is scary, especially if we also consider the decline in core voters.
academic.oup.com/ej/article/1...
November 3, 2025 at 8:14 PM
(formal) institutions with low trust in the system writ large (see the cool paper below). The model by
@grattonecon.bsky.social et al. shows how such beliefs can become "self-confirming". This is scary, especially if we also consider the decline in core voters.
academic.oup.com/ej/article/1...
@grattonecon.bsky.social et al. shows how such beliefs can become "self-confirming". This is scary, especially if we also consider the decline in core voters.
academic.oup.com/ej/article/1...
Fascinating paper by @grattonecon.bsky.social, @bartonelee2.bsky.social, and Hasin Yousaf!
The paper addresses a fundamental question: Why do some democracies chronically avoid ambitious, long-term reforms even when they have decent institutions?
They argue that what matters is not only
The paper addresses a fundamental question: Why do some democracies chronically avoid ambitious, long-term reforms even when they have decent institutions?
They argue that what matters is not only
November 3, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Fascinating paper by @grattonecon.bsky.social, @bartonelee2.bsky.social, and Hasin Yousaf!
The paper addresses a fundamental question: Why do some democracies chronically avoid ambitious, long-term reforms even when they have decent institutions?
They argue that what matters is not only
The paper addresses a fundamental question: Why do some democracies chronically avoid ambitious, long-term reforms even when they have decent institutions?
They argue that what matters is not only
October 20, 2025 at 1:15 PM
by the bottom left, the top left, and finally the strong rationality claim. Retrospective accountability is really hard, especially in a complex world, though this doesn't necessarily mean that voters shouldn't respond to exogenous shocks, as @soashworth.bsky.social and @ethanbdm.bsky.social have
October 17, 2025 at 1:46 PM
by the bottom left, the top left, and finally the strong rationality claim. Retrospective accountability is really hard, especially in a complex world, though this doesn't necessarily mean that voters shouldn't respond to exogenous shocks, as @soashworth.bsky.social and @ethanbdm.bsky.social have
and punish failure (prospective vs. retrospective rationality). While the distinction is somewhat artifical, I think it helps to disentangle different positions in the debate about voter (ir)rationality.
My amateur reading of the literatue is that the top right cell is the most plausible, followed
My amateur reading of the literatue is that the top right cell is the most plausible, followed
October 17, 2025 at 1:46 PM
and punish failure (prospective vs. retrospective rationality). While the distinction is somewhat artifical, I think it helps to disentangle different positions in the debate about voter (ir)rationality.
My amateur reading of the literatue is that the top right cell is the most plausible, followed
My amateur reading of the literatue is that the top right cell is the most plausible, followed
Voter rationality can mean two things: (i) voters support those candidates/parties whose policy platforms are closest to their own preferences (whatever these are), holding valence and salience constant, and/or (ii) voters use elections to incentivise good performance — they reward success
October 17, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Voter rationality can mean two things: (i) voters support those candidates/parties whose policy platforms are closest to their own preferences (whatever these are), holding valence and salience constant, and/or (ii) voters use elections to incentivise good performance — they reward success
under-responsiveness on certain dimensions. See my substack for a short discussion of this.
If I had to bet, my money would be on 1, 2, and 4, though this is just a hunch.
I'd be interested to hear which of these explanations strikes you as most
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
If I had to bet, my money would be on 1, 2, and 4, though this is just a hunch.
I'd be interested to hear which of these explanations strikes you as most
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
October 13, 2025 at 2:58 PM
under-responsiveness on certain dimensions. See my substack for a short discussion of this.
If I had to bet, my money would be on 1, 2, and 4, though this is just a hunch.
I'd be interested to hear which of these explanations strikes you as most
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
If I had to bet, my money would be on 1, 2, and 4, though this is just a hunch.
I'd be interested to hear which of these explanations strikes you as most
jacobedenhofer.substack.com/p/explaining...
make persistent programmatic concessions to party activists to incentivse effort on their part, which, in turn, is important for their electoral prospects. If party activists are extreme on the cultural dimension, then this can push politician into what looks like a trustee trap of
October 13, 2025 at 2:58 PM
make persistent programmatic concessions to party activists to incentivse effort on their part, which, in turn, is important for their electoral prospects. If party activists are extreme on the cultural dimension, then this can push politician into what looks like a trustee trap of
politicians believe they should act as what Burke called "trustees", while voters tend to believe they should act as "delegates" (Locke). I want to introduce you to this paper by Fox and Shotts that sheds interesting light on this debate: ‘Delegates or Trustees?
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
October 13, 2025 at 2:58 PM
politicians believe they should act as what Burke called "trustees", while voters tend to believe they should act as "delegates" (Locke). I want to introduce you to this paper by Fox and Shotts that sheds interesting light on this debate: ‘Delegates or Trustees?
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
substack.com/inbox/post/1...
Yet another very interesting post by Laurenz Guenther! Let me add some thoughts, especially in light of the debate about the delegate vs. trustee models of representation.
I'd argue that Laurenz's arguments point to a "trustee trap". By way of explanation: he points out that in Europe many
I'd argue that Laurenz's arguments point to a "trustee trap". By way of explanation: he points out that in Europe many
October 13, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Yet another very interesting post by Laurenz Guenther! Let me add some thoughts, especially in light of the debate about the delegate vs. trustee models of representation.
I'd argue that Laurenz's arguments point to a "trustee trap". By way of explanation: he points out that in Europe many
I'd argue that Laurenz's arguments point to a "trustee trap". By way of explanation: he points out that in Europe many
October 10, 2025 at 9:06 AM
Maybe also Grossman/Helpman and Rogoff
October 9, 2025 at 8:41 AM
Maybe also Grossman/Helpman and Rogoff
See the appendix -- ours is a very restrictive definition, with the objective being to keep the conceptual and empirical analysis clean.
October 7, 2025 at 8:28 PM
See the appendix -- ours is a very restrictive definition, with the objective being to keep the conceptual and empirical analysis clean.
advisory bodies were created to establish the equivalent to the UK Climate Change Committee (CCC), which was established as part of the Climate Change Act. The table below summarises results of our (@claudiazwar.bsky.social and @chflachsland.bsky.social) comparative
October 7, 2025 at 8:09 PM
advisory bodies were created to establish the equivalent to the UK Climate Change Committee (CCC), which was established as part of the Climate Change Act. The table below summarises results of our (@claudiazwar.bsky.social and @chflachsland.bsky.social) comparative
doesn't mean I agree with her. On the contrary! The UK CCA is an extremely important piece of legislation that has not only served as a robust framework for UK climate policy over the last 15 years or so; it has also engendered institutional diffusion. Quite a few climate osf.io/preprints/so...
October 7, 2025 at 8:09 PM
doesn't mean I agree with her. On the contrary! The UK CCA is an extremely important piece of legislation that has not only served as a robust framework for UK climate policy over the last 15 years or so; it has also engendered institutional diffusion. Quite a few climate osf.io/preprints/so...
growth rates have declined secularly in many industrialised democracies, it is perhaps not all that surprising that zero-sum attitudes are particularly pronounced among younger generations (see this graph from the @sahilchinoy.bsky.social et al. paper). scholar.harvard.edu/files/stantc...
October 6, 2025 at 9:44 AM
growth rates have declined secularly in many industrialised democracies, it is perhaps not all that surprising that zero-sum attitudes are particularly pronounced among younger generations (see this graph from the @sahilchinoy.bsky.social et al. paper). scholar.harvard.edu/files/stantc...
how recent those years are (recency gets more weight, based on Malmendier & @profstefannagel.bsky.social's “memory decay” model). Their "identifying variation" comes from within-country differences in growth experiences from within-country differences in growth experiences
cepr.org/publications...
cepr.org/publications...
October 6, 2025 at 9:44 AM
how recent those years are (recency gets more weight, based on Malmendier & @profstefannagel.bsky.social's “memory decay” model). Their "identifying variation" comes from within-country differences in growth experiences from within-country differences in growth experiences
cepr.org/publications...
cepr.org/publications...
Let me add this forthcoming paper by Besley et al (in the @qjeharvard.bsky.social), which, I think, provides a nice micro-foundation for between-cohort variation in zero-sum attitudes. They define “growth experience” as the average GDP growth an individual has lived through since birth, weighted by
October 6, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Let me add this forthcoming paper by Besley et al (in the @qjeharvard.bsky.social), which, I think, provides a nice micro-foundation for between-cohort variation in zero-sum attitudes. They define “growth experience” as the average GDP growth an individual has lived through since birth, weighted by
unemployment, and the often vulture-like behaviour of some Western investors during the transition. Many came to associate democracy not with liberation, but with insecurity, loss, humiliation, and rampant inequality.
Second, those born after 1989 in the East. sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Second, those born after 1989 in the East. sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
October 3, 2025 at 3:10 PM
unemployment, and the often vulture-like behaviour of some Western investors during the transition. Many came to associate democracy not with liberation, but with insecurity, loss, humiliation, and rampant inequality.
Second, those born after 1989 in the East. sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Second, those born after 1989 in the East. sciencedirect.com/science/arti...