No, but we have a post-election survey going into the field today in Calgary (and six other AB muns), and it includes a good issue question. More soon!

OK, that's it for now. Much more to come. Big thanks to the Canadian Municipal Barometer and the UofC Faculty of Arts for supporting this research. Thanks also to our partnership coordinator / survey programmer extraordinaire Reed Merrill, and to any Calgarians out there who completed our survey!

...and here are the feeling scores from the same survey respondents for the provincial parties. The averages are similar to the municipal parties, but notice the polarization in the distributions. Far fewer choose the middle option (5), and more (around one fifth) choose (0) for "strongly dislike."

...here are the feeling thermometer scores for the municipal parties, with the averages at the top, and then the full distribution down below. Notice that many, many respondents choose five on this scale, which in this setting is a bit like the survey-response equivalent of the shrug emoji (🤷).

Feeling thermometer (like/dislike) scales are a common way to measure how people feel about political parties. In Calgary, average feeling thermometer scores for the municipal parties were similar to average scores for provincial parties. But the distributions are very different...

Finally, municipal political parties. Calgarians have mixed views. Overwhelming majorities prefer independent candidates (the questions in the top row). But many also recognize the benefits of municipal parties, especially in the information they provide to voters (bottom centre and bottom right).

(Important note: these policy items were co-developed with my TERRIFIC students in an undergraduate seminar on public opinion and political representation at the University of Calgary; stay tuned for their very cool and much more in-depth analysis of these policy attitudes!)

OK, OK, I hear you saying — enough about ideology! Fine. How about some data on policy? Here's support for nine policy statements among Calgarians (in blue) and among supporters of each mayoral candidate (in black). Clear polarization on some issues. Striking ambivalence across the housing items.

Here's the proportion of Calgarians who supported each mayoral candidate, by their provincial party identity. Gondek and Sharp look like mirror images of each other in terms of NDP/UCP support, whereas Farkas enjoys at least *some* support among all of the partisan identities.

While we're on the subject of ideology, here's the probability of support for each candidate, conditional on Calgarians' own ideological self-placements. There's a strong relationship between ideology and support. But notice the higher support for Farkas on the left, in contrast to Davison/Sharp.

How have these perceptions shifted? This has been an important question in this election, especially for Farkas, and we can use 2021 CMES data to compare. According to Calgarians, Farkas has shifted dramatically to the centre, Davison has moved rightward, and Gondek has moved leftward.

Here's the average left-right placement for each candidate. Remember: these are Calgarians' perceptions; they may not align with how the candidates think of themselves. On average, Calgarians put Sharp, Davison, and Farkas on the right, Thiessen left of centre, and Gondek on the far left.

Now some results related to ideology. Here's how Calgarians placed each major mayoral candidate on the left-right spectrum. The most striking result to me: more than one fifth of Calgarians now place Jyoti Gondek at the most extreme left-wing position on the scale.

We'll know soon enough (I hope!) who Calgarians voted for in the mayoral race. But what about the candidates who Calgarians would NOT vote for? Here are the patterns of "negative voting" — the people for whom Calgarians would NOT vote — organized by supporters of each major mayoral candidate.