Jack Lucas
@jacklucas.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science, University of Calgary https://lucasjacklucas.github.io/ | Co-Director, Canadian Municipal Barometer http://www.cmb-bmc.ca
The CMB Online Speakers Series is back! Jérémy Gilbert on Multilevel Climate Governance, Friday October 31st from 11:00am to 12:00pm (MT)/1:00pm to 2:00pm (ET). Email me or @nicolemcmahon.bsky.social for the link if you'd like to join!
October 23, 2025 at 5:46 PM
The CMB Online Speakers Series is back! Jérémy Gilbert on Multilevel Climate Governance, Friday October 31st from 11:00am to 12:00pm (MT)/1:00pm to 2:00pm (ET). Email me or @nicolemcmahon.bsky.social for the link if you'd like to join!
Congratulations to our winner, Alex Middleton (@alexyyc.bsky.social)! Twelve correct calls, plus a remarkably low 11.5% overall error in the tiebreaker. Well done!
October 23, 2025 at 1:52 AM
Congratulations to our winner, Alex Middleton (@alexyyc.bsky.social)! Twelve correct calls, plus a remarkably low 11.5% overall error in the tiebreaker. Well done!
Reposted by Jack Lucas
Alberta Voted: Now What?
I'll be moderating this Nonprofits Vote event with panelists Matt Solberg, @markusoff.bsky.social, Rachel Swendseid & @jacklucas.bsky.social discussing the election that was.
Join us at 10 a.m. on Oct. 23. No cost and online, register here: www.eventbrite.ca/e/political-...
I'll be moderating this Nonprofits Vote event with panelists Matt Solberg, @markusoff.bsky.social, Rachel Swendseid & @jacklucas.bsky.social discussing the election that was.
Join us at 10 a.m. on Oct. 23. No cost and online, register here: www.eventbrite.ca/e/political-...
Political Gossip with Friends
Alberta’s 2025 municipal elections are looking different this year. Join Nonprofits Vote on October 23rd for nonprofit focused debrief!
www.eventbrite.ca
October 22, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Alberta Voted: Now What?
I'll be moderating this Nonprofits Vote event with panelists Matt Solberg, @markusoff.bsky.social, Rachel Swendseid & @jacklucas.bsky.social discussing the election that was.
Join us at 10 a.m. on Oct. 23. No cost and online, register here: www.eventbrite.ca/e/political-...
I'll be moderating this Nonprofits Vote event with panelists Matt Solberg, @markusoff.bsky.social, Rachel Swendseid & @jacklucas.bsky.social discussing the election that was.
Join us at 10 a.m. on Oct. 23. No cost and online, register here: www.eventbrite.ca/e/political-...
Remarkably, because of the low turnout and the number of competitive mayoral candidates, it looks like Jeromy Farkas will win the 2025 mayoral election with 25,000 *fewer* votes than he received in 2021.
October 21, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Remarkably, because of the low turnout and the number of competitive mayoral candidates, it looks like Jeromy Farkas will win the 2025 mayoral election with 25,000 *fewer* votes than he received in 2021.
For the past year, I've been doing an embedded "ethnographic" study of Calgary's election. As a consequence, I've mostly kept quiet about it. It'll still be months before I have qualitative results to share, but in the meantime, here are some results from our pre-election survey. #yyccc #yycvote
October 21, 2025 at 2:00 AM
Reposted by Jack Lucas
Nerds: it's time for our Calgary municipal election forecasting contest! The winner gets a free copy of my forthcoming co-edited book, City Politics in Canada. Please share widely! #yyccc
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
Qualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience Management
The most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.
survey.ucalgary.ca
October 19, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Nerds: it's time for our Calgary municipal election forecasting contest! The winner gets a free copy of my forthcoming co-edited book, City Politics in Canada. Please share widely! #yyccc
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
Nerds: it's time for our Calgary municipal election forecasting contest! The winner gets a free copy of my forthcoming co-edited book, City Politics in Canada. Please share widely! #yyccc
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
Qualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience Management
The most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.
survey.ucalgary.ca
October 19, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Nerds: it's time for our Calgary municipal election forecasting contest! The winner gets a free copy of my forthcoming co-edited book, City Politics in Canada. Please share widely! #yyccc
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
survey.ucalgary.ca/jfe/form/SV_...
We have a cover layout...blurbs and all! Very excited about this book: 320 pages of pure urban politics goodness. Coming in December. Co-edited with Martin Horak and @bigcitypolitics.bsky.social. utppublishing.com/doi/book/10....
October 15, 2025 at 5:51 PM
We have a cover layout...blurbs and all! Very excited about this book: 320 pages of pure urban politics goodness. Coming in December. Co-edited with Martin Horak and @bigcitypolitics.bsky.social. utppublishing.com/doi/book/10....
Reposted by Jack Lucas
The @zeit.de has 3 pages on one of our PolPop articles, led by @jacklucas.bsky.social, where politicians reflect on our finding that they perceive voters differently than voters perceive themselves. Would love to see this more often, where the subjects get a chance to reflect on the findings.
Meinung über Wähler: Verachten Politiker uns? Womöglich gar: zu Recht?
Egoistisch, schlecht informiert, unsozial: So sehen Politiker laut einer Studie ihre Wähler.
www.zeit.de
October 2, 2025 at 7:18 AM
The @zeit.de has 3 pages on one of our PolPop articles, led by @jacklucas.bsky.social, where politicians reflect on our finding that they perceive voters differently than voters perceive themselves. Would love to see this more often, where the subjects get a chance to reflect on the findings.
"Place Types." Excited that this paper with @sborwein.bsky.social is now available. We develop a new typology of place types in Canada at a fairly fine-grained level of geography, and then show how these place types relate to Canadian politics. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
June 11, 2025 at 2:18 PM
"Place Types." Excited that this paper with @sborwein.bsky.social is now available. We develop a new typology of place types in Canada at a fairly fine-grained level of geography, and then show how these place types relate to Canadian politics. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Reposted by Jack Lucas
#OpenAccess from @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social -
Place Types - cup.org/44cNqVq
"...we propose a new typology of geographic places for use in advancing Canadian politics research on the political effects of place..."
- @sborwein.bsky.social & @jacklucas.bsky.social
#FirstView
Place Types - cup.org/44cNqVq
"...we propose a new typology of geographic places for use in advancing Canadian politics research on the political effects of place..."
- @sborwein.bsky.social & @jacklucas.bsky.social
#FirstView
June 11, 2025 at 7:50 AM
#OpenAccess from @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social -
Place Types - cup.org/44cNqVq
"...we propose a new typology of geographic places for use in advancing Canadian politics research on the political effects of place..."
- @sborwein.bsky.social & @jacklucas.bsky.social
#FirstView
Place Types - cup.org/44cNqVq
"...we propose a new typology of geographic places for use in advancing Canadian politics research on the political effects of place..."
- @sborwein.bsky.social & @jacklucas.bsky.social
#FirstView
Happy to report that this article is now available: doi.org/10.1017/S000.... See Tyler's thread below for more detail on the associated R package and interactive online app.
June 9, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Happy to report that this article is now available: doi.org/10.1017/S000.... See Tyler's thread below for more detail on the associated R package and interactive online app.
Excited to share a new working paper, co-authored with students in my undergraduate course on city politics. As part of the course, we did a field experiment to explore if (a) 311 calls increase issue responsiveness and (b) if this varies by neighbourhood.
lucasjacklucas.github.io/calgary311.pdf
lucasjacklucas.github.io/calgary311.pdf
May 9, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Excited to share a new working paper, co-authored with students in my undergraduate course on city politics. As part of the course, we did a field experiment to explore if (a) 311 calls increase issue responsiveness and (b) if this varies by neighbourhood.
lucasjacklucas.github.io/calgary311.pdf
lucasjacklucas.github.io/calgary311.pdf
Reposted by Jack Lucas
Hot off the heels of yesterday's Canadian federal election Jack Lucas @jacklucas.bsky.social and I have updated our estimate of the size of the urban-rural divide in party support. The punchline: it hasn't gone away!
April 29, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Hot off the heels of yesterday's Canadian federal election Jack Lucas @jacklucas.bsky.social and I have updated our estimate of the size of the urban-rural divide in party support. The punchline: it hasn't gone away!
Tonight’s most important question: will the anecdote that opens our article on the urban-rural divide survive another election cycle?
April 28, 2025 at 11:39 PM
Tonight’s most important question: will the anecdote that opens our article on the urban-rural divide survive another election cycle?
Canadian Municipal Barometer online research talk next week. Should be fun! If you'd like to attend, send me an email and I'll share the link.
April 17, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Canadian Municipal Barometer online research talk next week. Should be fun! If you'd like to attend, send me an email and I'll share the link.
"Geographic Proximity Dampens Ideological Disagreement on Municipal Policy Issues." New working paper with Martin Horak, Shanaya Vanhooren, and Dave Armstrong. Comments and feedback welcome! A brief description of what we're up to…
osf.io/preprints/os...
osf.io/preprints/os...
April 9, 2025 at 6:55 PM
"Geographic Proximity Dampens Ideological Disagreement on Municipal Policy Issues." New working paper with Martin Horak, Shanaya Vanhooren, and Dave Armstrong. Comments and feedback welcome! A brief description of what we're up to…
osf.io/preprints/os...
osf.io/preprints/os...
Reposted by Jack Lucas
Very sad to hear of the passing yesterday of Warren Magnusson. He was a generous scholar, a brilliant political theorist, a captivating speaker, and deep believer in the emancipatory possibilities of the city. @uvic.ca #urbanpoltics
April 4, 2025 at 12:45 AM
Very sad to hear of the passing yesterday of Warren Magnusson. He was a generous scholar, a brilliant political theorist, a captivating speaker, and deep believer in the emancipatory possibilities of the city. @uvic.ca #urbanpoltics
This new R package makes it easy to extract weighted annual estimates of vote intention for the major parties going back to the 1940s. For instance, here's annual vote intention for the Liberals, with a red line marking where they currently stand in the polls according to the 338 aggregator.
April 3, 2025 at 5:01 PM
This new R package makes it easy to extract weighted annual estimates of vote intention for the major parties going back to the 1940s. For instance, here's annual vote intention for the Liberals, with a red line marking where they currently stand in the polls according to the 338 aggregator.
Reposted by Jack Lucas
With the federal election approaching, I’m excited to share insights on how Canadians' vote intentions have shifted since 1945. This forthcoming CJPS paper, with @jacklucas.bsky.social, Dave Armstrong, and @eplusgg.bsky.social, features a public dataset, R package, and Shiny app—more details below!
April 3, 2025 at 3:26 PM
With the federal election approaching, I’m excited to share insights on how Canadians' vote intentions have shifted since 1945. This forthcoming CJPS paper, with @jacklucas.bsky.social, Dave Armstrong, and @eplusgg.bsky.social, features a public dataset, R package, and Shiny app—more details below!
New interactive app: explore Canadians' policy attitudes across many geographic and demographic characteristics on 40 distinct municipal policy statements, including housing, policing, active transportation, social policy, and much more: cmb-bmc-municipal-policy-attitudes.share.connect.posit.cloud
Canadians' Municipal Policy Attitudes
Please select one or more policy domains, and then choose a specific question from the drop-down menu below.
https://cmb-bmc-municipal-policy-attitudes.share.connect.posit.cloud/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_term=2025-03-28&utm_campaign=Welcome+to+the+Canadian+Municipal+Barometer+Newsletter+Bienvenue+à+la+lettre+d+information+du+Baromètre+municipal+du+Canada+
March 28, 2025 at 1:48 PM
New interactive app: explore Canadians' policy attitudes across many geographic and demographic characteristics on 40 distinct municipal policy statements, including housing, policing, active transportation, social policy, and much more: cmb-bmc-municipal-policy-attitudes.share.connect.posit.cloud
Really enjoyed this conversation with @jerusalem.bsky.social about our new paper on politicians' theories of voting behaviour. Such a thrill to be a guest on one of my favourite podcasts! www.theatlantic.com/podcasts/arc...
Politicians Think Voters Are Dumb. Are They Right?
A striking new study reveals that elected officials have a far more pessimistic view of voter behavior than do citizens themselves.
www.theatlantic.com
March 25, 2025 at 11:08 PM
Really enjoyed this conversation with @jerusalem.bsky.social about our new paper on politicians' theories of voting behaviour. Such a thrill to be a guest on one of my favourite podcasts! www.theatlantic.com/podcasts/arc...
Swedish historical municipal council database, by Abrar Bawati et al. This is really something. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
The Swedish historical municipal council database
Local political assemblies often perform essential political and governing functions. We introduce the Swedish Municipal Council Database (SMCD), whic…
www.sciencedirect.com
March 25, 2025 at 12:14 PM
Swedish historical municipal council database, by Abrar Bawati et al. This is really something. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
New paper on urban-rural policy divides. We use 456 unique issue questions from 1993-present to show (1) large & persistent urban-rural issue divides, (2) especially large divides in cultural policy, and (3) no evidence that divides have grown over time. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
March 22, 2025 at 9:28 PM
New paper on urban-rural policy divides. We use 456 unique issue questions from 1993-present to show (1) large & persistent urban-rural issue divides, (2) especially large divides in cultural policy, and (3) no evidence that divides have grown over time. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
The Canadian Municipal Barometer now has a newsletter - if you're interested in occasional (three or four times per year) updates on the academic research and other work we're doing, please sign up at the link below. Thanks!
www.cmb-bmc.ca/newsletter/
www.cmb-bmc.ca/newsletter/
Newsletter - CMB-BMC
Newsletter Stay informed and gain valuable insights by subscribing to our quarterly newsletter, where we share updates on all our latest tools and research: ...
www.cmb-bmc.ca
March 12, 2025 at 5:33 PM
The Canadian Municipal Barometer now has a newsletter - if you're interested in occasional (three or four times per year) updates on the academic research and other work we're doing, please sign up at the link below. Thanks!
www.cmb-bmc.ca/newsletter/
www.cmb-bmc.ca/newsletter/