Ivan CoAn
@ivancoan.bsky.social
Into foreign affairs, security, and all things military
Monitoring recent evolutions in US intelligence
Swiss 🇨🇭 with Balkanic roots 🇺🇦🌻🍉
Monitoring recent evolutions in US intelligence
Swiss 🇨🇭 with Balkanic roots 🇺🇦🌻🍉
Swiss neutrality can be criticised on many accounts, but this is a bizarre argument. What was Switzerland supposed to do in WWII? Embrace a suicide pact by joining the allies for the sake of diplomatic signalling?
Even in 1944/45, it'd still mean cities razed and territory occupied.
Even in 1944/45, it'd still mean cities razed and territory occupied.
August 15, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Swiss neutrality can be criticised on many accounts, but this is a bizarre argument. What was Switzerland supposed to do in WWII? Embrace a suicide pact by joining the allies for the sake of diplomatic signalling?
Even in 1944/45, it'd still mean cities razed and territory occupied.
Even in 1944/45, it'd still mean cities razed and territory occupied.
Hey!
I read your RST article yesterday, and I really liked the scalable framework you laid down it.
How has it been received by other scholars of tactics? Do you have other authors supporting or pushing back against that?
And do you intend to expand on that?
@bafriedman.bsky.social
I read your RST article yesterday, and I really liked the scalable framework you laid down it.
How has it been received by other scholars of tactics? Do you have other authors supporting or pushing back against that?
And do you intend to expand on that?
@bafriedman.bsky.social
July 14, 2025 at 7:40 PM
Hey!
I read your RST article yesterday, and I really liked the scalable framework you laid down it.
How has it been received by other scholars of tactics? Do you have other authors supporting or pushing back against that?
And do you intend to expand on that?
@bafriedman.bsky.social
I read your RST article yesterday, and I really liked the scalable framework you laid down it.
How has it been received by other scholars of tactics? Do you have other authors supporting or pushing back against that?
And do you intend to expand on that?
@bafriedman.bsky.social
Special mention goes to Mark Rutte, who is on a Crusade to negatively polarise every single leftist voter towards defence
Austerity hurt European security in a big way too because it’s much harder for politicians today to convince people they need to fund defence spending after years of cutting healthcare, education, social services etc when some European countries face very real threats.
June 24, 2025 at 11:25 PM
Special mention goes to Mark Rutte, who is on a Crusade to negatively polarise every single leftist voter towards defence
Changes to the US intelligence services by the Trump administration
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February 11, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Changes to the US intelligence services by the Trump administration
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While most points are fair, I think this misses key factors that shorten the timeline on which Russia becomes a credible threat to European states, namely:
1. Transformations in force structure
2. Chinese cooperation
3. Political incentives to start a fight
1/
1. Transformations in force structure
2. Chinese cooperation
3. Political incentives to start a fight
1/
This thread presents arguments why IMO the reconstitution of the Russian military after the war in Ukraine is likely to take a long time.
Some fo these factors are interconnected and can involve disruptive feedback loops.
note: I am not an expert on Russian politics or military
Some fo these factors are interconnected and can involve disruptive feedback loops.
note: I am not an expert on Russian politics or military
February 3, 2025 at 5:24 PM
While most points are fair, I think this misses key factors that shorten the timeline on which Russia becomes a credible threat to European states, namely:
1. Transformations in force structure
2. Chinese cooperation
3. Political incentives to start a fight
1/
1. Transformations in force structure
2. Chinese cooperation
3. Political incentives to start a fight
1/