Israel Arroyo
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iarroyo48.bsky.social
Israel Arroyo
@iarroyo48.bsky.social
Q: “Are you going to make sure that all the [immigrants detained]…have due process"

Indiana Lt. Gov. Beckwith: “They don't have a right to see a judge…When the Japanese were bombing Pearl Harbor, did we give them due process?”

Read more about it in Morning Shots: www.thebulwark.com/p/drinks-app...
August 8, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
A British crow is asking passersby if they're alright.
August 2, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Civil servants will privately tell you that a major reason every process is slow, full of redundant checks and forms is that, "government accidentally granted benefit to someone who shouldn't get one" is a front page tabloid story, and "government was annoying, slow and painful for citizen" is not.
June 30, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Making economic growth the overriding purpose, to which all else must be sacrificed, not only trashes ecological and social values. It's also spectacularly bad politics. Governments can't control growth, but when it dips, this government, by its own criteria, fails. A rod for its own back.
March 16, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Hi ha un paràgraf que sembla insignificant, però és clau en la lluita contra la pobresa. I és aquest:
March 7, 2025 at 11:09 AM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
New post: Labour and Growth
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/01/labo...
There is a danger the government is giving undue prominence to achieving growth in areas where the growth benefits are relatively small or where the costs are high, while ignoring the reasons for the past 15 years of decline.
Labour and Growth
Is this Labour government right to make achieving growth so central to its missions ? Does making higher growth a central priority require...
mainlymacro.blogspot.com
January 28, 2025 at 9:06 AM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Trump suspends U.S. foreign aid for 90 days, saying aid is “antithetical to American values” and serves to “destabilize world peace.”

apnews.com/article/trum...
Trump suspends US foreign assistance for 90 days pending reviews
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order temporarily suspending all U.S. foreign assistance programs for 90 days pending reviews to determine whether they are aligned with his policy goals...
apnews.com
January 21, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Interessant: Adrien Bilal & Diego R. Känzig zeigen, dass unilaterale Dekarbonisierung fuer grosse Laender sinnvoll sein kann:

www.nber.org/papers/w33364
Does Unilateral Decarbonization Pay For Itself?
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
January 20, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
In which Chuck Manski sets out to overhaul welfare economics: arxiv.org/pdf/2501.0...
January 15, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
How do employers and workers behave during dismissals?

In a new paper with @schoefer.bsky.social, we test between cooperation and deliberate imposition of costs.

Summary 🧵:

1/9
nber.org NBER @nber.org · Dec 18
Why are dismissals so fraught with conflict? Evidence from the introduction of "Separations by Mutual Agreement" in France, from Pauline Carry and Benjamin Schoefer https://www.nber.org/papers/w33245
December 19, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
I've been warning about this for a while. Sooner than you think U.S. economists may have to go Argentine, cobbling together alternative estimates of inflation, employment and so on because the official data have been corrupted.
Former BLS commissioner Erica Groshen on how the policy change to Schedule F that Trump & #Project2025 advocate would destroy the credibility of the federal statistical system.

Her comment on LinkedIn
www.linkedin.com/posts/erica-...
...
December 19, 2024 at 1:50 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
December 9, 2024 at 5:23 AM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Can you guess what happens when a Walmart Supercenter enters a community?
...
...
...

◾EITC receipts in the community increase
◾ workers' incomes go down

as a direct result.

"Walmart Supercenters gradually accumulate and exercise monopsony power, with negative consequences for workers."
December 1, 2024 at 3:26 AM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
Excited to debut my new paper, "Housing Is the Financial Cycle: Evidence from 100 Years of Local Building Permits,” joint with @cortesgustavos.bsky.social. We document that building permits predict financial market volatility across a century of U.S. economic history.
papers.ssrn.com/abstract=485...
November 27, 2024 at 1:46 PM
Reposted by Israel Arroyo
In today's #econjmp, Nikita Kohli of Duke uses synthetic DiD to show how a labor reform in Brazil that was intended to increase formal employment by weakening union power actually decreased formal employment & increased informal labor due to less enforcement blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...?
Can Weakened Unions Fuel Formal Work? Lessons from Brazil's Labor Reform. Guest post by Nikita Kohli
blogs.worldbank.org
November 19, 2024 at 2:57 PM