Jan Stropek
@honzastropek.bsky.social
War in Ukraine and related geopolitics
Non-payment is mostly much more deadly for small businesses which suffers with secondary insolvency much quicker than large companies. 2/5 is huge number and it will get much worse in the last weeks of the year. State budget is cutting every possible expenditure, regional budgets are empty.
November 11, 2025 at 8:29 PM
Non-payment is mostly much more deadly for small businesses which suffers with secondary insolvency much quicker than large companies. 2/5 is huge number and it will get much worse in the last weeks of the year. State budget is cutting every possible expenditure, regional budgets are empty.
What would be the debt service cost in the 2026 budget if the first version of 2025 budget materialized and compare it to current version of 2025 budget - much lager deficit - mostly covered by OFZ bonds.
What will be the debt service cost difference in the 2026 budget?
What will be the debt service cost difference in the 2026 budget?
November 10, 2025 at 11:36 PM
What would be the debt service cost in the 2026 budget if the first version of 2025 budget materialized and compare it to current version of 2025 budget - much lager deficit - mostly covered by OFZ bonds.
What will be the debt service cost difference in the 2026 budget?
What will be the debt service cost difference in the 2026 budget?
Would you be able to calculate the difference in complete 2026 debt servicing cost (without new 2026 bonds) between the first 2025 variant of budget and the last (still unrealistic) budget version? Roughly something about 0.7 trillon?
November 10, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Would you be able to calculate the difference in complete 2026 debt servicing cost (without new 2026 bonds) between the first 2025 variant of budget and the last (still unrealistic) budget version? Roughly something about 0.7 trillon?
What I can't understand about Scott Bessent is how he can make such a completely sane comments like this one and still supporting e.g. Trump's tariffs which are complete economic stupidity. Is he directly responsible for the tariffs or is it the responsibility of the lunatic Lutnick?
November 7, 2025 at 9:35 AM
What I can't understand about Scott Bessent is how he can make such a completely sane comments like this one and still supporting e.g. Trump's tariffs which are complete economic stupidity. Is he directly responsible for the tariffs or is it the responsibility of the lunatic Lutnick?
Is some miracle happening or did the FSB pressure the managers to answer the poll as putin wants?
November 6, 2025 at 8:32 AM
Is some miracle happening or did the FSB pressure the managers to answer the poll as putin wants?
Röpcke blockiert mich am X bereits für zwei Jahre wenn ich versucht habe ihn zu korrigieren. Er hat viel Informationen, aber keine Fähigkeit davon wirkliche Schlussfolgerungen zu ziehen.
November 5, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Röpcke blockiert mich am X bereits für zwei Jahre wenn ich versucht habe ihn zu korrigieren. Er hat viel Informationen, aber keine Fähigkeit davon wirkliche Schlussfolgerungen zu ziehen.
I can imagine the russian nuclear maintenance personnel is in panic mode rigjt now.
November 5, 2025 at 3:44 PM
I can imagine the russian nuclear maintenance personnel is in panic mode rigjt now.
Correct, and none of us has the information needed for proper evaluation, so we should refrain from commenting and just wait for them to make the decision. I can't understand the need to comment on what and when they should do.
November 5, 2025 at 9:45 AM
Correct, and none of us has the information needed for proper evaluation, so we should refrain from commenting and just wait for them to make the decision. I can't understand the need to comment on what and when they should do.
Die ukrainische Armee ist bei weitem nicht menschlich ausgebrannt. Das Bild aus der Front ist immer deformiert. Die ukrainische Strategie funktioniert. Der Zustand Russlands verschlechtert sich viel mehr und viel schneller.
November 3, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Die ukrainische Armee ist bei weitem nicht menschlich ausgebrannt. Das Bild aus der Front ist immer deformiert. Die ukrainische Strategie funktioniert. Der Zustand Russlands verschlechtert sich viel mehr und viel schneller.
Es kommt eine neue Welle vom Pesimismus genauso wie es war bei Avdiivka oder Bachmut. Die Leute sehen nicht wie stark sich der Zustand Russlands inzwischen verschlechter hat.
November 3, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Es kommt eine neue Welle vom Pesimismus genauso wie es war bei Avdiivka oder Bachmut. Die Leute sehen nicht wie stark sich der Zustand Russlands inzwischen verschlechter hat.
Does he speak about ongoing russian invasion?
November 2, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Does he speak about ongoing russian invasion?
They are massively cutting their expenses.
October 30, 2025 at 10:16 PM
They are massively cutting their expenses.
It's hard to satisfy us who follow everything daily 😁 - good news is that we are just one day and some hours from October datasets 😜
October 30, 2025 at 1:03 PM
It's hard to satisfy us who follow everything daily 😁 - good news is that we are just one day and some hours from October datasets 😜
Is this really current video? For me it almost seems like some 2 weeks old one. Please don't take it as criticism. I heard it and liked it.
October 30, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Is this really current video? For me it almost seems like some 2 weeks old one. Please don't take it as criticism. I heard it and liked it.
Is it really important when they (at least partially) pre-calculated the costs in their federal budget as so as? The deficit will be around 8-9 trillions of rubles and they will manage to cover it this way ... probably for the last time.
October 29, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Is it really important when they (at least partially) pre-calculated the costs in their federal budget as so as? The deficit will be around 8-9 trillions of rubles and they will manage to cover it this way ... probably for the last time.
I'd say there is another trend they need to consider and this trend is an argument for even rising the interest rate, surely not lowering it. The banks aren't profitable enough to rise interest rates on saving accounts on their own.
October 24, 2025 at 4:57 AM
I'd say there is another trend they need to consider and this trend is an argument for even rising the interest rate, surely not lowering it. The banks aren't profitable enough to rise interest rates on saving accounts on their own.
I don't think the current ruble market is big enough to really affect the price and/or the price is dictated directly from CBR as was the case in communism, while completely ignoring any market influence.
October 23, 2025 at 7:35 PM
I don't think the current ruble market is big enough to really affect the price and/or the price is dictated directly from CBR as was the case in communism, while completely ignoring any market influence.
They manipulate the exchange rate as they want to and currently they want import as cheap as possible. I remember the last December, the manipulation got them more revenue. It's possible they'll repeat it.
October 23, 2025 at 7:15 PM
They manipulate the exchange rate as they want to and currently they want import as cheap as possible. I remember the last December, the manipulation got them more revenue. It's possible they'll repeat it.