Reposted by Hlowe
The next financial crisis is coming ...
www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/11/the-...
"The key to preventing a financial crisis is to keep the non-regulated (or poorly regulated) areas of finance out of the financial system."
www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/11/the-...
"The key to preventing a financial crisis is to keep the non-regulated (or poorly regulated) areas of finance out of the financial system."
December 18, 2025 at 12:22 AM
The next financial crisis is coming ...
www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/11/the-...
"The key to preventing a financial crisis is to keep the non-regulated (or poorly regulated) areas of finance out of the financial system."
www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/11/the-...
"The key to preventing a financial crisis is to keep the non-regulated (or poorly regulated) areas of finance out of the financial system."
Reposted by Hlowe
Goldman forecast for 2026 GDP:
“The US is likely to outperform substantially (2.6% vs 2.0% consensus) because of reduced tariff drag, tax cuts, and easier financial conditions.”
“The US is likely to outperform substantially (2.6% vs 2.0% consensus) because of reduced tariff drag, tax cuts, and easier financial conditions.”
December 18, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Goldman forecast for 2026 GDP:
“The US is likely to outperform substantially (2.6% vs 2.0% consensus) because of reduced tariff drag, tax cuts, and easier financial conditions.”
“The US is likely to outperform substantially (2.6% vs 2.0% consensus) because of reduced tariff drag, tax cuts, and easier financial conditions.”
Reposted by Hlowe
The Trump administration blessed plans to launch five new cryptocurrency-focused national banks.
Trump Administration Approves First Round of Crypto-Focused Banks
Circle, Paxos and Ripple are among those receiving conditional approval.
on.wsj.com
December 12, 2025 at 10:09 PM
The Trump administration blessed plans to launch five new cryptocurrency-focused national banks.
Reposted by Hlowe
Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 4.2% Year-over-year www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/10/hote...
Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 4.2% Year-over-year
Hotel occupancy was weak over the summer months, due to less international tourism. The fall months are mostly domestic travel and occupanc...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
October 2, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 4.2% Year-over-year www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/10/hote...
Reposted by Hlowe
Yellen not at all pulling her punches in this op-ed for the FT www.ft.com/content/d2ea...
August 27, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Yellen not at all pulling her punches in this op-ed for the FT www.ft.com/content/d2ea...
Reposted by Hlowe
Influential ex-Thai PM Thaksin to receive verdict on royal insult case in late August reut.rs/4lq9Dpf
Influential ex-Thai PM Thaksin to receive verdict on royal insult case in late August
Thailand's billionaire former premier Thaksin Shinawatra will hear a verdict on a royal insult case on August 22, his lawyer said on Wednesday, the first in a series of challenges against him and his daughter, Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra, whose government hangs by a thread.
reut.rs
July 16, 2025 at 7:45 AM
Influential ex-Thai PM Thaksin to receive verdict on royal insult case in late August reut.rs/4lq9Dpf
Reposted by Hlowe
"If there are any abroad who desire to make this the land of their adoption, it is not in my heart to throw aught in their way, to prevent them from coming to the United States" - Abe Lincoln
To Be an American
This July Fourth, let’s remember the immigrants who were drawn to this country’s promise of liberty and who have contributed to its greatness.
www.thebulwark.com
July 7, 2025 at 8:01 AM
"If there are any abroad who desire to make this the land of their adoption, it is not in my heart to throw aught in their way, to prevent them from coming to the United States" - Abe Lincoln
Reposted by Hlowe
June 24, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Reposted by Hlowe
Turning dehumanizing conditions and ritual humiliation into a US government propaganda video. This makes me ill
Homeland Security secretary Kristi Noem making content in front of the imprisoned men of El Salvador's notorious Terrorism Confinement Center mega-prison www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2...
March 27, 2025 at 2:11 AM
Turning dehumanizing conditions and ritual humiliation into a US government propaganda video. This makes me ill
Reposted by Hlowe
This executive order is bad — cartoonishly so. But it is also a wake-up call for those who believe the danger of election subversion has passed.
To the contrary, it has only just begun.
And so has our fight.
www.democracydocket.com/opinion/trum...
To the contrary, it has only just begun.
And so has our fight.
www.democracydocket.com/opinion/trum...
Trump’s Latest Executive Order is a Sham—and a Warning
From Marc | The greatest threat to Donald Trump’s authoritarian dream is not the courts — it is free and fair elections.
www.democracydocket.com
March 27, 2025 at 3:23 AM
This executive order is bad — cartoonishly so. But it is also a wake-up call for those who believe the danger of election subversion has passed.
To the contrary, it has only just begun.
And so has our fight.
www.democracydocket.com/opinion/trum...
To the contrary, it has only just begun.
And so has our fight.
www.democracydocket.com/opinion/trum...
Reposted by Hlowe
BofA: "Everything nods to stagflation risks ... The longer the high policy uncertainty regimes continues, the greater and more persistent downside risks to the economy are. ... The SEP forecasts and distribution of risks are both likely to reflect stagflation: weaker growth and higher inflation."
March 17, 2025 at 12:43 PM
BofA: "Everything nods to stagflation risks ... The longer the high policy uncertainty regimes continues, the greater and more persistent downside risks to the economy are. ... The SEP forecasts and distribution of risks are both likely to reflect stagflation: weaker growth and higher inflation."
Reposted by Hlowe
Goldman FOMC Preview: Inflation up, GDP down.
"We expect the FOMC’s median economic projections to show a 0.3pp upward revision to 2025 core PCE inflation to 2.8% and a 0.3pp downgrade to 2025 GDP growth to 1.8%, mainly reflecting the tariff news."
"We expect the FOMC’s median economic projections to show a 0.3pp upward revision to 2025 core PCE inflation to 2.8% and a 0.3pp downgrade to 2025 GDP growth to 1.8%, mainly reflecting the tariff news."
March 16, 2025 at 11:33 PM
Goldman FOMC Preview: Inflation up, GDP down.
"We expect the FOMC’s median economic projections to show a 0.3pp upward revision to 2025 core PCE inflation to 2.8% and a 0.3pp downgrade to 2025 GDP growth to 1.8%, mainly reflecting the tariff news."
"We expect the FOMC’s median economic projections to show a 0.3pp upward revision to 2025 core PCE inflation to 2.8% and a 0.3pp downgrade to 2025 GDP growth to 1.8%, mainly reflecting the tariff news."
Reposted by Hlowe
For Canadians Visiting Myrtle Beach, Trump Policies Make the Vibe Chillier www.nytimes.com/2025/03/15/u...
For Canadians Visiting Myrtle Beach, Trump Policies Make the Vibe Chillier
Canadians have long flocked to the South Carolina beach town. This year, many are offended by the president and threatening to stay away.
www.nytimes.com
March 16, 2025 at 6:41 PM
For Canadians Visiting Myrtle Beach, Trump Policies Make the Vibe Chillier www.nytimes.com/2025/03/15/u...
Reposted by Hlowe
"International travel to US is expected -5% this year, contributing to a $64 billion shortfall for the travel industry, according to Tourism Economics ... originally forecast a 9% increase but revised its estimate late last month to reflect “polarizing Trump Administration policies and rhetoric.”
March 16, 2025 at 6:37 PM
"International travel to US is expected -5% this year, contributing to a $64 billion shortfall for the travel industry, according to Tourism Economics ... originally forecast a 9% increase but revised its estimate late last month to reflect “polarizing Trump Administration policies and rhetoric.”
Reposted by Hlowe
Lutnick has quickly become the world's foremost Trump gargler. I mean, listen to this stuff. Ri Chun-hee blushes somewhere in Pyongyang.
March 7, 2025 at 9:03 PM
Lutnick has quickly become the world's foremost Trump gargler. I mean, listen to this stuff. Ri Chun-hee blushes somewhere in Pyongyang.
Reposted by Hlowe
Gee I wonder why it was necessary for the President to tell his [checks notes] Senate-confirmed cabinet heads that they, not Elon Musk, are in charge of the federal departments that they were selected to run
March 6, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Gee I wonder why it was necessary for the President to tell his [checks notes] Senate-confirmed cabinet heads that they, not Elon Musk, are in charge of the federal departments that they were selected to run
Reposted by Hlowe
March 6, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Reposted by Hlowe
North Korea's Kim Yo Jong, the powerful sister of leader Kim Jong Un, criticized the Trump administration for stepping up ‘provocations’ and said it justified the nuclear state increasing its nuclear deterrent, state media KCNA said reut.rs/41rW2Fd
North Korea's Kim Yo Jong accuses Trump administration of stepping up provocations
North Korea's Kim Yo Jong, the powerful sister of leader Kim Jong Un, criticised the Trump administration for stepping up "provocations" and said it justified the nuclear state increasing its nuclear deterrent, state media KCNA said.
reut.rs
March 4, 2025 at 4:37 AM
North Korea's Kim Yo Jong, the powerful sister of leader Kim Jong Un, criticized the Trump administration for stepping up ‘provocations’ and said it justified the nuclear state increasing its nuclear deterrent, state media KCNA said reut.rs/41rW2Fd
Reposted by Hlowe
Yep. Warned everyone. Privatization of everything is coming.
‘Prelude to privatization:’ Social Security confirms workforce reduction targets, continues to shutter offices www.govexec.com/workforce/20... via @GovExec
‘Prelude to privatization:’ Social Security confirms workforce reduction targets, continues to shutter offices
Despite most of the agency being exempt from deferred resignations and the government-wide hiring freeze, early retirement and Voluntary Separation Incentive Payments are now available to the entire a...
www.govexec.com
March 4, 2025 at 5:06 AM
Yep. Warned everyone. Privatization of everything is coming.
Reposted by Hlowe
The powerful sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un threatened Tuesday to launch high-profile provocations in response to the arrival of a U.S. aircraft carrier in South Korea and other U.S. military activities.
Kim's sister threatens response to U.S. carrier's deployment in South Korea
The warning by Kim Yo Jong implies that North Korea will most likely ramp up weapons testing activities and maintain its confrontational posture against the U.S.
www.nbcnews.com
March 4, 2025 at 5:50 AM
The powerful sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un threatened Tuesday to launch high-profile provocations in response to the arrival of a U.S. aircraft carrier in South Korea and other U.S. military activities.
Reposted by Hlowe
The United States will lift sanctions on Russia sooner rather than later.
Europe has no time to lose.
Decisive action must be taken immediately, including consideration for declaration of war against Russia.
Russia is right now at its weakest it will be.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Europe has no time to lose.
Decisive action must be taken immediately, including consideration for declaration of war against Russia.
Russia is right now at its weakest it will be.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
White House directs officials to draft proposal to lift US sanctions on Russia
Sources say work on so-called ‘options paper’ comes as Trump seeks to restore Moscow ties and end Ukraine war
www.theguardian.com
March 4, 2025 at 6:02 AM
The United States will lift sanctions on Russia sooner rather than later.
Europe has no time to lose.
Decisive action must be taken immediately, including consideration for declaration of war against Russia.
Russia is right now at its weakest it will be.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Europe has no time to lose.
Decisive action must be taken immediately, including consideration for declaration of war against Russia.
Russia is right now at its weakest it will be.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Reposted by Hlowe
Stupid is as stupid does! And a "Crypto Reserve" is STUPID.
This was the end goal of crypto aligning behind Trump - the crypto economy has very few actual dollars in it and relies on finding new people to hold the bag to get their dollars. The US government is the ultimate bag holder and they’re going to use your tax dollars to bail out crypto owners.
March 2, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Stupid is as stupid does! And a "Crypto Reserve" is STUPID.
Reposted by Hlowe
What Happened to "Paying off the National Debt"? www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/05/what...
What Happened to "Paying off the National Debt"?
We are seeing scary articles about the debt again. It is worth remembering that at the turn of the millennium, the concern was that the U...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
January 30, 2025 at 2:26 PM
What Happened to "Paying off the National Debt"? www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/05/what...