Helen Toner
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hlntnr.bsky.social
Helen Toner
@hlntnr.bsky.social
AI, national security, China. Part of the founding team at @csetgeorgetown.bsky.social‬ (opinions my own). Author of Rising Tide on substack: helentoner.substack.com
Been thinking recently about how central "AI is just a tool" is to disagreements about the future of AI. Is it? Will it continue to be?

Just posted a transcript from a talk where I go into this + a couple other key open qs/disagreements (not p(doom)!).

🔗 below, preview here:
June 30, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Cognitive Revolution (🇺🇸): More insidery chat with @nathanlabenz.bsky.social getting into why nonproliferation is the wrong way to manage AI misuse; AI in military decision support systems, and a bunch of other stuff.

Clip on my beef with talk about the "offense-defense" balance in AI:
April 22, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Stop the World (🇦🇺): Fun, wide-ranging conversation with David Wroe of @aspi-org.bsky.social on where we're at with AI, reasoning models, DeepSeek, scaling laws, etc etc.

Excerpt on whether we can "just" keep scaling language models:
April 22, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Lately it sometimes feels like there are only 2 AI futures on the table—insanely fast progress or total stagnation.

Talked with @axios.com's Alison Snyder at SXSW about the many in-between worlds, and all the things we can be doing now to help things go better in those worlds.
March 12, 2025 at 3:13 PM