Hamidreza Azizi
@hamidrezaaz.bsky.social
Pinned
Hamidreza Azizi
@hamidrezaaz.bsky.social
· Dec 23
How Iran Lost Syria
A stable post-Assad future will require Tehran’s involvement.
www.foreignaffairs.com
In my latest for @foreignaffairs.com, I examine why #Iran didn’t step in to prevent Assad’s downfall, the challenges Tehran faces as #Syria breaks away from its orbit, and how it might adapt to a post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
In Syrien findet am Sonntag die erste Parlamentswahl nach dem Sturz Assads statt. In einem SWP-Aktuell erklären @sinemadar.bsky.social, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social, Muriel Asseburg, Margarete Klein & Guido Steinberg, wie die EU beim Wiederaufbau unterstützen kann. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
Der politische Übergang in Syrien: Regionale und internationale Interessen
Am 8. Dezember 2024 wurde in Syrien das Assad-Regime durch eine von Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) angeführte Rebellenallianz gestürzt. Die...
www.swp-berlin.org
October 3, 2025 at 12:08 PM
In Syrien findet am Sonntag die erste Parlamentswahl nach dem Sturz Assads statt. In einem SWP-Aktuell erklären @sinemadar.bsky.social, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social, Muriel Asseburg, Margarete Klein & Guido Steinberg, wie die EU beim Wiederaufbau unterstützen kann. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
All concerned should use next 30 days to seek off-ramp before snapback. Alternative is outcome nobody wants, except advocates of war. Good thoughts on stepping stones to avoiding such outcome in this @theeln.bsky.social piece by @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social 👇‼️
europeanleadershipnetwork.org?p=24532
europeanleadershipnetwork.org?p=24532
August 28, 2025 at 4:45 PM
All concerned should use next 30 days to seek off-ramp before snapback. Alternative is outcome nobody wants, except advocates of war. Good thoughts on stepping stones to avoiding such outcome in this @theeln.bsky.social piece by @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social 👇‼️
europeanleadershipnetwork.org?p=24532
europeanleadershipnetwork.org?p=24532
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Today, 🇬🇧, 🇫🇷 & 🇩🇪 diplomats meet Iranian counterparts in Geneva, days before an end-of-August snapback deadline that would restore pre-2015 sanctions on Iran. @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social writes that a narrow path remains open for those willing to take it.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
A narrow path forward: Iran and the snapback deadline
By the end of August, Britain, France, and Germany have to decide whether to invoke the “snapback” mechanism, which would automatically restore pre-2015 UN sanctions on Iran. Hamidreza Azizi writes th...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
August 26, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Today, 🇬🇧, 🇫🇷 & 🇩🇪 diplomats meet Iranian counterparts in Geneva, days before an end-of-August snapback deadline that would restore pre-2015 sanctions on Iran. @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social writes that a narrow path remains open for those willing to take it.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
In his piece for @amwajmedia.bsky.social, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social assesses Iran’s options after the war with Israel - and how Tehran could use nuclear ambiguity to buy time, preserve its leverage, and quietly recalibrate.
Read the full article👇
amwaj.media/en/article/d...
Read the full article👇
amwaj.media/en/article/d...
Deep Dive: ‘Nuclear ambiguity’ on horizon as Iran weighs options
In the early hours of June 23, the United States launched a major military operation against key Iranian nuclear facilities, striking underground uranium enrichment sites at Fordow and Natanz, and a c...
amwaj.media
July 8, 2025 at 1:29 PM
In his piece for @amwajmedia.bsky.social, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social assesses Iran’s options after the war with Israel - and how Tehran could use nuclear ambiguity to buy time, preserve its leverage, and quietly recalibrate.
Read the full article👇
amwaj.media/en/article/d...
Read the full article👇
amwaj.media/en/article/d...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Im Interview mit CNN äußerte sich @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social zu den Implikationen des jüngsten Krieges mit Israel für die strategische Ausrichtung des Iran. Dabei analysierte er Defizite in der iranischen Militärdoktrin und die Wahrscheinlichkeit von Anpassungen.👇
www.linkedin.com/posts/hamidr...
www.linkedin.com/posts/hamidr...
Spoke with CNN on what the recent war with #Israel revealed about the shortcomings in #Iran‘s military strategy and how likely the Islamic Republic will try to fix them. | Hamidreza Azizi
Spoke with CNN on what the recent war with #Israel revealed about the shortcomings in #Iran‘s military strategy and how likely the Islamic Republic will try to fix them.
www.linkedin.com
June 25, 2025 at 8:20 AM
Im Interview mit CNN äußerte sich @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social zu den Implikationen des jüngsten Krieges mit Israel für die strategische Ausrichtung des Iran. Dabei analysierte er Defizite in der iranischen Militärdoktrin und die Wahrscheinlichkeit von Anpassungen.👇
www.linkedin.com/posts/hamidr...
www.linkedin.com/posts/hamidr...
My new analysis for Middle East Council Om Global Affairs on #Iran's strategic calculations amid the ongoing war with #Israel
mecouncil.org/blog_posts/h...
mecouncil.org/blog_posts/h...
How Iran Is Calculating Its War with Israel
Facing a massive attack on its homeland, the Islamic Republic is in survival mode. Its war-time decision-making reflects this.
mecouncil.org
June 18, 2025 at 11:27 AM
My new analysis for Middle East Council Om Global Affairs on #Iran's strategic calculations amid the ongoing war with #Israel
mecouncil.org/blog_posts/h...
mecouncil.org/blog_posts/h...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Everyone, please read this excellent assessment of the Israeli strikes by Hamidreza Azizi @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social.
I do wonder how the resistance in Iran would react to this, if it is indeed Israel's goal. There are few things worse than a destabilized and failed state.
I do wonder how the resistance in Iran would react to this, if it is indeed Israel's goal. There are few things worse than a destabilized and failed state.
June 14, 2025 at 12:34 AM
Everyone, please read this excellent assessment of the Israeli strikes by Hamidreza Azizi @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social.
I do wonder how the resistance in Iran would react to this, if it is indeed Israel's goal. There are few things worse than a destabilized and failed state.
I do wonder how the resistance in Iran would react to this, if it is indeed Israel's goal. There are few things worse than a destabilized and failed state.
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
This is a very comprehensive article analysing the rationale, strategies and possible responses by both Iran and Israel. Highly recommended. 👇
June 13, 2025 at 5:43 PM
This is a very comprehensive article analysing the rationale, strategies and possible responses by both Iran and Israel. Highly recommended. 👇
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
6/ #Iran: @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explores how Iran is prioritising the Red Sea in its political & military agenda by increasing its naval presence in the sea, deploying naval forces to conduct operations & gather intelligence in the region.
May 15, 2025 at 8:26 AM
6/ #Iran: @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explores how Iran is prioritising the Red Sea in its political & military agenda by increasing its naval presence in the sea, deploying naval forces to conduct operations & gather intelligence in the region.
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Trump’s return brings back “maximum pressure” on Iran - but this time, diplomacy is also on the table. @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explores how sanctions and backchannel talks are reshaping US - Iran relations & why Israel might be the biggest spoiler.
📖 Read now: mecouncil.org/blog_posts/t...
📖 Read now: mecouncil.org/blog_posts/t...
Trump’s Middle East Policy, Revisited
In this Council Views, experts from the ME Council reflect on the past 100 days of the new Trump administration's disruptive foreign policy, unpacking what recent changes mean for MENA and how states ...
mecouncil.org
April 30, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Trump’s return brings back “maximum pressure” on Iran - but this time, diplomacy is also on the table. @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social explores how sanctions and backchannel talks are reshaping US - Iran relations & why Israel might be the biggest spoiler.
📖 Read now: mecouncil.org/blog_posts/t...
📖 Read now: mecouncil.org/blog_posts/t...
In this piece for ELN, I explore the Iranian narratives surrounding the upcoming talks with the US in Oman, why the location and format of the negotiations matter, and what to expect from the renewed diplomacy.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
A fragile opening: Iran, the US, and the high-stakes return to diplomacy
Talks between Tehran and Washington are set to take place on Saturday in Oman. Hamidreza Azizi writes that much of Iran’s political spectrum is cautiously optimistic about negotiations, reflecting a r...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
April 11, 2025 at 12:55 PM
In this piece for ELN, I explore the Iranian narratives surrounding the upcoming talks with the US in Oman, why the location and format of the negotiations matter, and what to expect from the renewed diplomacy.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
The latest blog in our Clingendael series Iran in Transition is out now.
Erwin van Veen and I explore #Iran’s strategic predicament as it faces the threat of war, a deteriorating economy, and widening fractures within the political elite 👇
www.clingendael.org/publication/...
Erwin van Veen and I explore #Iran’s strategic predicament as it faces the threat of war, a deteriorating economy, and widening fractures within the political elite 👇
www.clingendael.org/publication/...
Running out of road: Iran’s strategic predicament
Iran’s deteriorating economy is hit by new and tighter US sanction enforcement just as the Islamic Republic’s primary mechanism of deterrence – its Axis of Resistance - is weak.
www.clingendael.org
March 31, 2025 at 9:34 PM
The latest blog in our Clingendael series Iran in Transition is out now.
Erwin van Veen and I explore #Iran’s strategic predicament as it faces the threat of war, a deteriorating economy, and widening fractures within the political elite 👇
www.clingendael.org/publication/...
Erwin van Veen and I explore #Iran’s strategic predicament as it faces the threat of war, a deteriorating economy, and widening fractures within the political elite 👇
www.clingendael.org/publication/...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
In brief, Iran feels geographically cornered by Turkey & threatened by Turkey’s growing influence in the region. Check out this interview with Iran expert @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social where he explains the context.
podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/o...
podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/o...
For some in Iran, Turkey is a bigger threat than Israel as its regional influence rises
Poddavsnitt · On the Middle East with Amberin Zaman · 2025-02-10 · 24 min
podcasts.apple.com
March 24, 2025 at 4:28 PM
In brief, Iran feels geographically cornered by Turkey & threatened by Turkey’s growing influence in the region. Check out this interview with Iran expert @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social where he explains the context.
podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/o...
podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/o...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Syriens Übergangsregierung steht vor immensen Herausforderungen. Wie die EU zur Stabilisierung des Landes beitragen kann, erklären @sinemadar.bsky.social, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social, Muriel Asseburg, Margarete Klein & Guido Steinberg in einem neuen SWP-Aktuell: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
Der politische Übergang in Syrien: Regionale und internationale Interessen
Am 8. Dezember 2024 wurde in Syrien das Assad-Regime durch eine von Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) angeführte Rebellenallianz gestürzt. Die...
www.swp-berlin.org
March 5, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Syriens Übergangsregierung steht vor immensen Herausforderungen. Wie die EU zur Stabilisierung des Landes beitragen kann, erklären @sinemadar.bsky.social, @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social, Muriel Asseburg, Margarete Klein & Guido Steinberg in einem neuen SWP-Aktuell: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Hello Bluesky community! Welcome to the official account of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP). Follow us for updates on our latest research.
February 27, 2025 at 8:43 AM
Hello Bluesky community! Welcome to the official account of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP). Follow us for updates on our latest research.
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Worth listening to this conversation between
@amberinzaman.bsky.social and @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social on Iranian perceptions of this dynamic.
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
@amberinzaman.bsky.social and @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social on Iranian perceptions of this dynamic.
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
For some in Iran, Turkey is bigger threat than Israel as its regional influence rises
The surprise fall of Iran's close regional ally Bashar al-Assad has dealt a huge blow to Tehran's so called axis of resistance running through Iraq onto Syria and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Iran's loss is ...
www.al-monitor.com
February 11, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Worth listening to this conversation between
@amberinzaman.bsky.social and @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social on Iranian perceptions of this dynamic.
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
@amberinzaman.bsky.social and @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social on Iranian perceptions of this dynamic.
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
It was a pleasure to once again join @amberinzaman.bsky.social on her Al-Monitor podcast to discuss how #Iran’s threat perception of #Turkey has been on the rise since the fall of #Assad, as well as the prospects for long-term relations 👇
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
For some in Iran, Turkey is bigger threat than Israel as its regional influence rises
The surprise fall of Iran's close regional ally Bashar al-Assad has dealt a huge blow to Tehran's so called axis of resistance running through Iraq onto Syria and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Iran's loss is ...
www.al-monitor.com
February 10, 2025 at 9:26 PM
It was a pleasure to once again join @amberinzaman.bsky.social on her Al-Monitor podcast to discuss how #Iran’s threat perception of #Turkey has been on the rise since the fall of #Assad, as well as the prospects for long-term relations 👇
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
www.al-monitor.com/podcasts/som...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
Was fascinating interviewing Hamidreza Azizi on the current and future course of Iran's Nuclear program. Especially relevant given the current state of regional politics in the Middle East.
On the sidelines of the Doha Forum last month, I joined @marcowenjones.bsky.social on his ME Council podcast to discuss the current state and future prospects of #Iran’s nuclear program - including what to expect from Trump’s second term
www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpGB...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpGB...
The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program
YouTube video by ME Council
www.youtube.com
January 16, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Was fascinating interviewing Hamidreza Azizi on the current and future course of Iran's Nuclear program. Especially relevant given the current state of regional politics in the Middle East.
On the sidelines of the Doha Forum last month, I joined @marcowenjones.bsky.social on his ME Council podcast to discuss the current state and future prospects of #Iran’s nuclear program - including what to expect from Trump’s second term
www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpGB...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpGB...
The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program
YouTube video by ME Council
www.youtube.com
January 16, 2025 at 1:39 PM
On the sidelines of the Doha Forum last month, I joined @marcowenjones.bsky.social on his ME Council podcast to discuss the current state and future prospects of #Iran’s nuclear program - including what to expect from Trump’s second term
www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpGB...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpGB...
#Iran and #Russia are set to sign a strategic partnership agreement tomorrow.
For a detailed background on Iran-Russia relations and their growing partnership in recent years, read this edited volume by Abdolrasool Divsallar, in which I also have a chapter on IR-RU in #Syria 👇
For a detailed background on Iran-Russia relations and their growing partnership in recent years, read this edited volume by Abdolrasool Divsallar, in which I also have a chapter on IR-RU in #Syria 👇
January 16, 2025 at 10:29 AM
I was quoted in this RFE-RL piece by @kiansharifi.bsky.social on the election of #Lebanon‘s president and its implications for #Iran & #Hezbollah 👇
www.rferl.org/a/joseph-aou...
www.rferl.org/a/joseph-aou...
Election Of New Lebanese President Signals Iran's Waning Influence
Lebanese lawmakers have elected army chief Joseph Aoun as the country’s new president, ending a two-year gridlock in a clear sign of the weakening of Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed political party and ...
www.rferl.org
January 10, 2025 at 2:41 PM
I was quoted in this RFE-RL piece by @kiansharifi.bsky.social on the election of #Lebanon‘s president and its implications for #Iran & #Hezbollah 👇
www.rferl.org/a/joseph-aou...
www.rferl.org/a/joseph-aou...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
In my latest for @foreignaffairs.com, I examine why #Iran didn’t step in to prevent Assad’s downfall, the challenges Tehran faces as #Syria breaks away from its orbit, and how it might adapt to a post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
How Iran Lost Syria
A stable post-Assad future will require Tehran’s involvement.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 23, 2024 at 10:07 AM
In my latest for @foreignaffairs.com, I examine why #Iran didn’t step in to prevent Assad’s downfall, the challenges Tehran faces as #Syria breaks away from its orbit, and how it might adapt to a post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
Reposted by Hamidreza Azizi
“The United States should offer Iran a seat at the table during regional talks over Syria’s future,” writes @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social. “This strategy could curtail Iran’s disruptive influence in Syria and the greater Middle East.”
How Iran Lost Syria
A stable post-Assad future will require Tehran’s involvement.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 24, 2024 at 1:11 AM
“The United States should offer Iran a seat at the table during regional talks over Syria’s future,” writes @hamidrezaaz.bsky.social. “This strategy could curtail Iran’s disruptive influence in Syria and the greater Middle East.”
In my latest for @foreignaffairs.com, I examine why #Iran didn’t step in to prevent Assad’s downfall, the challenges Tehran faces as #Syria breaks away from its orbit, and how it might adapt to a post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
How Iran Lost Syria
A stable post-Assad future will require Tehran’s involvement.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 23, 2024 at 10:07 AM
In my latest for @foreignaffairs.com, I examine why #Iran didn’t step in to prevent Assad’s downfall, the challenges Tehran faces as #Syria breaks away from its orbit, and how it might adapt to a post-Assad era.
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...
www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/how-ir...