Hailey Low
@haileylow.bsky.social
Economist, Bank of England. Art, philosophy & nature. Christian. Singaporean. Ecclesiastes 3. Views own.
Reposted by Hailey Low
📉 New research shows Brexit’s non-tariff barriers are hurting UK firms - raising costs and reducing investment.
Read more from Ahmet Kaya, @haileylow.bsky.social & @econstevem.bsky.social for The Productivity Institute and @niesrorg.bsky.social.
🔗 www.productivity.ac.uk/research/bre...
Read more from Ahmet Kaya, @haileylow.bsky.social & @econstevem.bsky.social for The Productivity Institute and @niesrorg.bsky.social.
🔗 www.productivity.ac.uk/research/bre...
Brexit and Non-Tariff Barriers: Effects on UK Business Investment and Productivity - The Productivity Institute
Investigating impacts of Brexit-related increased non-tariff trade costs on UK business investment and productivity growth.
www.productivity.ac.uk
August 14, 2025 at 2:47 PM
📉 New research shows Brexit’s non-tariff barriers are hurting UK firms - raising costs and reducing investment.
Read more from Ahmet Kaya, @haileylow.bsky.social & @econstevem.bsky.social for The Productivity Institute and @niesrorg.bsky.social.
🔗 www.productivity.ac.uk/research/bre...
Read more from Ahmet Kaya, @haileylow.bsky.social & @econstevem.bsky.social for The Productivity Institute and @niesrorg.bsky.social.
🔗 www.productivity.ac.uk/research/bre...
Reposted by Hailey Low
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP numbers is out now⚡️
#UKGDP
#UKEconomy
@haileylow.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
#UKGDP
#UKEconomy
@haileylow.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
July 11, 2025 at 6:31 AM
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP numbers is out now⚡️
#UKGDP
#UKEconomy
@haileylow.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
#UKGDP
#UKEconomy
@haileylow.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
Reposted by Hailey Low
OUT NOW 📊👇
Our latest tracker expects #GDP to expand by 0.3% in the second quarter of this year 📈
However, subdued demand and slow progress in unlocking private #investment are likely to constrain this momentum.
Read the main points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest tracker expects #GDP to expand by 0.3% in the second quarter of this year 📈
However, subdued demand and slow progress in unlocking private #investment are likely to constrain this momentum.
Read the main points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Confidence and Caution: Policy Priorities in a Changing Economy - NIESR
Today’s GDP growth reported -0.3 per cent in April, suggesting that increases in employers' NICs and wider cost pressures have weighed on activity.
niesr.ac.uk
June 12, 2025 at 9:58 AM
OUT NOW 📊👇
Our latest tracker expects #GDP to expand by 0.3% in the second quarter of this year 📈
However, subdued demand and slow progress in unlocking private #investment are likely to constrain this momentum.
Read the main points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest tracker expects #GDP to expand by 0.3% in the second quarter of this year 📈
However, subdued demand and slow progress in unlocking private #investment are likely to constrain this momentum.
Read the main points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Reposted by Hailey Low
June 12, 2025 at 6:39 AM
Reposted by Hailey Low
How has leaving the #EU impacted business investment and productivity in the UK?
This article from our latest NIER journal by Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino & @econstevem.bsky.social explains📊
Read the full paper here 🔓⬇
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
This article from our latest NIER journal by Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino & @econstevem.bsky.social explains📊
Read the full paper here 🔓⬇
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
May 22, 2025 at 9:02 AM
How has leaving the #EU impacted business investment and productivity in the UK?
This article from our latest NIER journal by Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino & @econstevem.bsky.social explains📊
Read the full paper here 🔓⬇
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
This article from our latest NIER journal by Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino & @econstevem.bsky.social explains📊
Read the full paper here 🔓⬇
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Hailey Low
#WeekendReading 📊
Our May GDP tracker expects #GDP to grow by 0.4% in the second quarter of this year 📈
Policymakers face a delicate balancing act in the short term - supporting growth without hindering disinflation progress.
Read the main points from our analysis 👇
Our May GDP tracker expects #GDP to grow by 0.4% in the second quarter of this year 📈
Policymakers face a delicate balancing act in the short term - supporting growth without hindering disinflation progress.
Read the main points from our analysis 👇
Stalling Growth, Shifting Risks as Outlook Falters Amid Rising Headwinds - NIESR
“The economy displayed strong growth of 0.7 per cent in Q1 of 2025, driven by a front-loaded uptick in exports and economic activity as firms and households sought to hedge… To access the content,…
niesr.ac.uk
May 18, 2025 at 8:01 AM
#WeekendReading 📊
Our May GDP tracker expects #GDP to grow by 0.4% in the second quarter of this year 📈
Policymakers face a delicate balancing act in the short term - supporting growth without hindering disinflation progress.
Read the main points from our analysis 👇
Our May GDP tracker expects #GDP to grow by 0.4% in the second quarter of this year 📈
Policymakers face a delicate balancing act in the short term - supporting growth without hindering disinflation progress.
Read the main points from our analysis 👇
Reposted by Hailey Low
May 15, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Reposted by Hailey Low
⚡️Fragile #Growth and #Trade Tensions: The UK’s Spring Economic Challenge⚡️
In our latest #blog, just published, our Ben Caswell speaks to @haileylow.bsky.social about current challenges the UK economy faces ahead of publication of our new outlooks later this week⬇️
niesr.ac.uk/blog/fragile...
In our latest #blog, just published, our Ben Caswell speaks to @haileylow.bsky.social about current challenges the UK economy faces ahead of publication of our new outlooks later this week⬇️
niesr.ac.uk/blog/fragile...
Fragile Growth and Trade Tensions - NIESR
Fragile growth, rising trade tensions & increased cost pressures are all shaping the UK’s economic outlook. We explore the key risks and questions.
niesr.ac.uk
May 6, 2025 at 10:01 AM
⚡️Fragile #Growth and #Trade Tensions: The UK’s Spring Economic Challenge⚡️
In our latest #blog, just published, our Ben Caswell speaks to @haileylow.bsky.social about current challenges the UK economy faces ahead of publication of our new outlooks later this week⬇️
niesr.ac.uk/blog/fragile...
In our latest #blog, just published, our Ben Caswell speaks to @haileylow.bsky.social about current challenges the UK economy faces ahead of publication of our new outlooks later this week⬇️
niesr.ac.uk/blog/fragile...
Reposted by Hailey Low
#WeekendReading 📊
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
Maintaining Growth in an Increasingly Fragmented Environment - NIESR
The UK economy expanded by 0.5 per cent in February, surprising but welcome positive news. However, heightened global uncertainty and escalating trade tensions mean the outlook remains uncertain
niesr.ac.uk
April 13, 2025 at 7:30 AM
#WeekendReading 📊
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
Reposted by Hailey Low
OUT NOW 📊⚡
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Maintaining Growth in an Increasingly Fragmented Environment - NIESR
The UK economy expanded by 0.5 per cent in February, surprising but welcome positive news. However, heightened global uncertainty and escalating trade tensions mean the outlook remains uncertain
niesr.ac.uk
April 11, 2025 at 9:54 AM
OUT NOW 📊⚡
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects GDP to expand by 0.6% in the first quarter of this year, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors
You can read the key points from our analysis here ⬇
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Reposted by Hailey Low
Policy responses must match the scale and complexity of the economic environment. As global volatility intensifies, policies should be anchored in long-term economic growth, investment, and productivity, prioritising resilience over short-term fiscal targets. /3
April 11, 2025 at 8:03 AM
Policy responses must match the scale and complexity of the economic environment. As global volatility intensifies, policies should be anchored in long-term economic growth, investment, and productivity, prioritising resilience over short-term fiscal targets. /3
Reposted by Hailey Low
Given January and February’s GDP outturns, alongside signals from the Purchasing Managers’ Index and a patchy recovery across sectors, we project GDP to expand by 0.6 per cent in Q1 2025, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors. /2
April 11, 2025 at 8:03 AM
Given January and February’s GDP outturns, alongside signals from the Purchasing Managers’ Index and a patchy recovery across sectors, we project GDP to expand by 0.6 per cent in Q1 2025, with growth primarily driven by the Production and Services sectors. /2
Reposted by Hailey Low
Monthly GDP growth in February performed better than expected, with output expanding by 0.5 per cent, mainly driven by widespread growth across all sectors. This follows an upward revision from stagnant growth in January and recovery from the flatlined growth in 2024. /1
April 11, 2025 at 8:03 AM
Monthly GDP growth in February performed better than expected, with output expanding by 0.5 per cent, mainly driven by widespread growth across all sectors. This follows an upward revision from stagnant growth in January and recovery from the flatlined growth in 2024. /1
Reposted by Hailey Low
A short 🧵from @haileylow.bsky.social where she shares her thoughts on this morning's GDP numbers:
April 11, 2025 at 8:03 AM
A short 🧵from @haileylow.bsky.social where she shares her thoughts on this morning's GDP numbers:
Reposted by Hailey Low
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now ⚡️
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social
April 11, 2025 at 6:22 AM
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now ⚡️
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social
Reposted by Hailey Low
#WeekendReading 📃
In this NIER article, our Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino and @econstevem.bsky.social explore the impact of #Brexit on business investment and labour productivity in the UK 📊
Read it here ⬇💡
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
In this NIER article, our Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino and @econstevem.bsky.social explore the impact of #Brexit on business investment and labour productivity in the UK 📊
Read it here ⬇💡
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
March 23, 2025 at 12:30 PM
#WeekendReading 📃
In this NIER article, our Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino and @econstevem.bsky.social explore the impact of #Brexit on business investment and labour productivity in the UK 📊
Read it here ⬇💡
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
In this NIER article, our Ahmet Kaya, Iana Liadze, @haileylow.bsky.social, Patricia Sanchez Juanino and @econstevem.bsky.social explore the impact of #Brexit on business investment and labour productivity in the UK 📊
Read it here ⬇💡
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Hailey Low
⚡ OUT NOW ⚡
Our latest Tracker expects #GDP growth to expand by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 📈
The upcoming Spring Statement presents an opportunity to reinforce economic stability rather than introduce further uncertainty 💬
Find out more in our full analysis ⬇📃
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest Tracker expects #GDP growth to expand by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 📈
The upcoming Spring Statement presents an opportunity to reinforce economic stability rather than introduce further uncertainty 💬
Find out more in our full analysis ⬇📃
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Modest Growth, but Outlook Clouded by Risk - NIESR
The UK economy contracted by 0.1 per cent per cent in January, starting 2025 on a negative note. Following the lacklustre performance in the second half of 2024, growth remains fragile due to global a...
niesr.ac.uk
March 14, 2025 at 10:45 AM
⚡ OUT NOW ⚡
Our latest Tracker expects #GDP growth to expand by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 📈
The upcoming Spring Statement presents an opportunity to reinforce economic stability rather than introduce further uncertainty 💬
Find out more in our full analysis ⬇📃
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest Tracker expects #GDP growth to expand by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 📈
The upcoming Spring Statement presents an opportunity to reinforce economic stability rather than introduce further uncertainty 💬
Find out more in our full analysis ⬇📃
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Reposted by Hailey Low
⚡️ Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now ⚡️
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
February 13, 2025 at 7:39 AM
⚡️ Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now ⚡️
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
@haileylow.bsky.social @econstevem.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
Reposted by Hailey Low
⚡ OUT NOW ⚡
Our latest #GDP Tracker expects growth of 0.4% in the first quarter of this year 📈
The respite in growth momentum suggests the #Chancellor might have gained slight flexibility around her announced fiscal rules 📃
Read more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest #GDP Tracker expects growth of 0.4% in the first quarter of this year 📈
The respite in growth momentum suggests the #Chancellor might have gained slight flexibility around her announced fiscal rules 📃
Read more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
An Economy Slowly Returning to Momentum - NIESR
The UK economy wrapped up 2024 on a flat note, with monthly GDP outturn of 0.4 per cent for December and 0.1 per cent for Q4, concluding a disappointing year for growth. Low business and consumer conf...
niesr.ac.uk
February 13, 2025 at 12:43 PM
⚡ OUT NOW ⚡
Our latest #GDP Tracker expects growth of 0.4% in the first quarter of this year 📈
The respite in growth momentum suggests the #Chancellor might have gained slight flexibility around her announced fiscal rules 📃
Read more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest #GDP Tracker expects growth of 0.4% in the first quarter of this year 📈
The respite in growth momentum suggests the #Chancellor might have gained slight flexibility around her announced fiscal rules 📃
Read more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Reposted by Hailey Low
Five years ago, the UK became the first member state to leave the #EU ↪
But what impact has Brexit-related uncertainty had on UK #investment and trade? And how has #Brexit compared to other economic shocks? 📊
Our Ben Caswell asks Hailey Low in this NEW blog 👇
niesr.ac.uk/blog/five-ye...
But what impact has Brexit-related uncertainty had on UK #investment and trade? And how has #Brexit compared to other economic shocks? 📊
Our Ben Caswell asks Hailey Low in this NEW blog 👇
niesr.ac.uk/blog/five-ye...
Five Years On: The Economic Impact of Brexit - NIESR
On 31 January 2020, the United Kingdom became the first member state to leave the European Union. In the five years since, what impact has Brexit-related uncertainty had on UK investment and trade? An...
niesr.ac.uk
January 31, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Five years ago, the UK became the first member state to leave the #EU ↪
But what impact has Brexit-related uncertainty had on UK #investment and trade? And how has #Brexit compared to other economic shocks? 📊
Our Ben Caswell asks Hailey Low in this NEW blog 👇
niesr.ac.uk/blog/five-ye...
But what impact has Brexit-related uncertainty had on UK #investment and trade? And how has #Brexit compared to other economic shocks? 📊
Our Ben Caswell asks Hailey Low in this NEW blog 👇
niesr.ac.uk/blog/five-ye...
Reposted by Hailey Low
January 16, 2025 at 7:27 AM
Reposted by Hailey Low
🚨 OUT NOW 🚨
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects growth to stagnate in Q4 of 2024 📉 with flatlining growth in the Services and Production sectors and a slight fall in the Construction sector 🔧
Discover more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects growth to stagnate in Q4 of 2024 📉 with flatlining growth in the Services and Production sectors and a slight fall in the Construction sector 🔧
Discover more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Post-Budget Economy at a Crossroads - NIESR
Month-on-month GDP fell by 0.1 per cent in October, largely driven by a fall in the production sector, particularly pharmaceutical products, machinery and equipment, and chemicals. More broadly, GDP g...
niesr.ac.uk
December 13, 2024 at 12:27 PM
🚨 OUT NOW 🚨
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects growth to stagnate in Q4 of 2024 📉 with flatlining growth in the Services and Production sectors and a slight fall in the Construction sector 🔧
Discover more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Our latest #GDP Tracker projects growth to stagnate in Q4 of 2024 📉 with flatlining growth in the Services and Production sectors and a slight fall in the Construction sector 🔧
Discover more in our full analysis ⬇🔓
niesr.ac.uk/publications...