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niesrorg.bsky.social
National Institute of Economic and Social Research
@niesrorg.bsky.social
2.9K followers 24 following 950 posts
Founded in 1938, NIESR is Britain’s longest established independent research institute focusing on macroeconomics and social policy.
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 11d
⚡️Our latest UK economic outlook is now free to read⚡️

Check it out here ahead of our webinar at 11am 👇

niesr.ac.uk/reports/econ...
Economic Outlook: Normality Under Strain - NIESR
Although the growth momentum has slowed since early 2025 & inflation remains above target, the outlook for 2026 is more favourable than recent years.
niesr.ac.uk
niesrorg.bsky.social
Our reaction to this morning's #CPI figures:
#interestrates
#inflation
February 18, 2026 at 7:26 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️Our reaction to the latest labour market figures is out now⚡️

#unemployment
#wages
#interestrates
February 17, 2026 at 7:21 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️OUT NOW ⚡️ Latest MRN forecasts point to higher than expected #inflation for the second half of 2026 📈

Ahead of the latest official figures out on Wednesday, read here Huw Dixon's latest #blog 👇👇👇

@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/latest-...
Latest MRN Forecasts Point to Higher Than Expected Inflation for the Second Half of 2026 - NIESR
In this month’s update, we are trying something slightly new.  We are taking the “simple” MRN (based on the CPI data alone), and adding one variable to it: the updated Divisia Price Dual (DPD). In add...
niesr.ac.uk
February 16, 2026 at 3:13 PM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, Senior Economist Peter Dixon assesses the latest news on UK productivity and explains why there may be some indications of a UK #productivity revival

Read it here👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/are-the...
Are There Early Signs of a UK Productivity Revival? - NIESR
What is the latest on UK productivity? At the risk of sounding like a typical two-handed economist, it all depends. Specifically, much depends on the definition of employment we use as the basis of ou...
niesr.ac.uk
February 16, 2026 at 11:31 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️OUT NOW ⚡️ Latest MRN forecasts point to higher than expected #inflation for the second half of 2026 📈

Ahead of the latest official figures out on Wednesday, read here Huw Dixon's latest #blog 👇👇👇

@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/latest-...
Latest MRN Forecasts Point to Higher Than Expected Inflation for the Second Half of 2026 - NIESR
In this month’s update, we are trying something slightly new.  We are taking the “simple” MRN (based on the CPI data alone), and adding one variable to it: the updated Divisia Price Dual (DPD). In add...
niesr.ac.uk
February 16, 2026 at 3:13 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, Senior Economist Peter Dixon assesses the latest news on UK productivity and explains why there may be some indications of a UK #productivity revival

Read it here👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/are-the...
Are There Early Signs of a UK Productivity Revival? - NIESR
What is the latest on UK productivity? At the risk of sounding like a typical two-handed economist, it all depends. Specifically, much depends on the definition of employment we use as the basis of ou...
niesr.ac.uk
February 16, 2026 at 11:31 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️JUST PUBLISHED⚡️ The latest #DirectorView is out now 📈

In today's 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo our Director David Aikman assesses how the UK’s bank leverage ratio is implemented 👇

*Spoiler alert* Don't change what is working, and - more important - don't weaken it!

niesr.ac.uk/blog/uks-lev...
The UK’s Leverage Ratio Is Working. Don’t Weaken It - NIESR
The Bank of England is reviewing the leverage ratio framework “to ensure it functions as intended”. But, the leverage ratio is doing its job and here's why.
niesr.ac.uk
February 13, 2026 at 9:48 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ Our latest #GDP Tracker suggests GDP will grow by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2026 📈

Services sector is expected to drive growth after sluggish performance in the last quarter of 2025

Read more here 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
A Disappointing Fourth Quarter - NIESR
“Today’s GDP figures show that growth in 2025 was 1.3 per cent, coming in slightly below expectations. The fourth quarter only just scraped together a positive growth figure, with services… To access ...
niesr.ac.uk
February 12, 2026 at 11:51 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ Our latest #GDP Tracker suggests GDP will grow by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2026 📈

Services sector is expected to drive growth after sluggish performance in the last quarter of 2025

Read more here 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
A Disappointing Fourth Quarter - NIESR
“Today’s GDP figures show that growth in 2025 was 1.3 per cent, coming in slightly below expectations. The fourth quarter only just scraped together a positive growth figure, with services… To access ...
niesr.ac.uk
February 12, 2026 at 11:51 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️Our reaction to the latest #GDP figures is out now⚡️

#GDPgrowth
#UKeconomy

@resmedia.bsky.social
February 12, 2026 at 7:31 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
⭐️Stay up to date with all our analyses and insights ⭐️

Subscribe here to receive straight into your inbox all the latest from us 📩

#newsletter
#Trackers
#Blogs
#events

niesr.ac.uk/subscribe-up...
Subscribe for Updates - NIESR
Want to stay up to date with the latest from NIESR? Subscribe for regular updates.
niesr.ac.uk
February 10, 2026 at 12:52 PM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️Why Haven’t #Tariffs Trashed the Global Economy?⚡️📉🌎

In our latest #blog, out now, our Ben Caswell explains the the ‘Global Resilience #Puzzle’ 🌏🧩

Read it here👇👇

#GlobalEconomy
#Trade
#TradeWar
niesr.ac.uk/blog/why-hav...
Why Haven’t Tariffs Trashed the Global Economy? - NIESR
In 2025, despite the introduction of trade tariffs, growth held up surprisingly well. What are the reasons behind this resilience in the global economy?
niesr.ac.uk
February 10, 2026 at 11:41 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⭐️Stay up to date with all our analyses and insights ⭐️

Subscribe here to receive straight into your inbox all the latest from us 📩

#newsletter
#Trackers
#Blogs
#events

niesr.ac.uk/subscribe-up...
Subscribe for Updates - NIESR
Want to stay up to date with the latest from NIESR? Subscribe for regular updates.
niesr.ac.uk
February 10, 2026 at 12:52 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️Why Haven’t #Tariffs Trashed the Global Economy?⚡️📉🌎

In our latest #blog, out now, our Ben Caswell explains the the ‘Global Resilience #Puzzle’ 🌏🧩

Read it here👇👇

#GlobalEconomy
#Trade
#TradeWar
niesr.ac.uk/blog/why-hav...
Why Haven’t Tariffs Trashed the Global Economy? - NIESR
In 2025, despite the introduction of trade tariffs, growth held up surprisingly well. What are the reasons behind this resilience in the global economy?
niesr.ac.uk
February 10, 2026 at 11:41 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️How #MinimumWage Rises Impact #Household Income 📈🏘️

In our latest #MondayInteview, just published, @adrianpabst.bsky.social, @econarnab.bsky.social, Larissa Marioni & Tibor Szendrei talk through their new research for the Low Pay Commission 👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-min...
How Minimum Wage Rises Impact Household Income - NIESR
How do minimum wage rises affect household income & consumption? We outline some of the main findings that informed the upcoming rises to the minimum wage
niesr.ac.uk
February 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 - The #blog by NIESR Visitor Bill Allen on Treasury Bill Supply and #CentralBank Policy Implementation

Well worth a read 👇
Treasury Bill Supply and Central Bank Policy Implementation - NIESR
The UK DMO is moving toward shorter-dated debt & a major expansion of Treasury bills. We explore the consequences for monetary & financial stability policy.
niesr.ac.uk
February 8, 2026 at 12:41 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️OUT NOW⚡️How #MinimumWage Rises Impact #Household Income 📈🏘️

In our latest #MondayInteview, just published, @adrianpabst.bsky.social, @econarnab.bsky.social, Larissa Marioni & Tibor Szendrei talk through their new research for the Low Pay Commission 👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-min...
How Minimum Wage Rises Impact Household Income - NIESR
How do minimum wage rises affect household income & consumption? We outline some of the main findings that informed the upcoming rises to the minimum wage
niesr.ac.uk
February 9, 2026 at 10:30 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 - The #blog by NIESR Visitor Bill Allen on Treasury Bill Supply and #CentralBank Policy Implementation

Well worth a read 👇
Treasury Bill Supply and Central Bank Policy Implementation - NIESR
The UK DMO is moving toward shorter-dated debt & a major expansion of Treasury bills. We explore the consequences for monetary & financial stability policy.
niesr.ac.uk
February 8, 2026 at 12:41 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 The latest #DirectorView📈

In this week's 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo our Director David Aikman outlines what economics and public finance theory suggests about financing an increased #defence spending👇
How Should We Pay for Increased Defence Spending? - NIESR
The UK needs a sustained increase in defence spending. What can economic theory tell us about financing a defence build-up of this type?
niesr.ac.uk
February 8, 2026 at 9:39 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 Our latest UK quarterly Economic Outlook, which made news throughout the week, is now available to read in full 🔓

Containing analysis on #unemployment, #NetZeroMigration, #FiscalPolicy... and much more! 👇
Economic Outlook: Normality Under Strain - NIESR
Although the growth momentum has slowed since early 2025 & inflation remains above target, the outlook for 2026 is more favourable than recent years.
niesr.ac.uk
February 7, 2026 at 12:35 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
#WeekendReading 🔖 In our last #MondayInterview our Stephen Millard asked Fergus Jimenez England and Nic Crittenden about what to expect from the UK economy this year, and what are the main issues to pay attention to?

#UKeconomy #Geopolitics #LabourMarket
What's in Store for the UK Economy in 2026? - NIESR
Let’s start with global conditions, how would you sum up prospects for global growth and the risks around it? Last year the global economy saw a significant increase in barriers to trade and…
niesr.ac.uk
February 7, 2026 at 9:28 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️JUST PUBLISHED⚡️ The latest #DirectorView is out now 📈

In today's 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo our Director David Aikman outlines what economics and public finance theory suggests about financing an increased #defence spending👇

#UKeconomy
#FiscalRules
niesr.ac.uk/blog/how-sho...
How Should We Pay for Increased Defence Spending? - NIESR
The UK needs a sustained increase in defence spending. What can economic theory tell us about financing a defence build-up of this type?
niesr.ac.uk
February 6, 2026 at 12:23 PM
niesrorg.bsky.social
⚡️Our latest UK economic outlook is now free to read⚡️

Check it out here ahead of our webinar at 11am 👇

niesr.ac.uk/reports/econ...
Economic Outlook: Normality Under Strain - NIESR
Although the growth momentum has slowed since early 2025 & inflation remains above target, the outlook for 2026 is more favourable than recent years.
niesr.ac.uk
February 6, 2026 at 9:40 AM
niesrorg.bsky.social
Treasury Bill Supply and #CentralBank Policy Implementation - Our latest #blog by NIESR Visitor Bill Allen is out now 👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/treasur...
Treasury Bill Supply and Central Bank Policy Implementation - NIESR
The UK DMO is moving toward shorter-dated debt & a major expansion of Treasury bills. We explore the consequences for monetary & financial stability policy.
niesr.ac.uk
February 5, 2026 at 5:25 PM
Reposted by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
niesrorg.bsky.social
"Overall, there is limited evidence of either #disinflation or further economic slowdown since the MPC’s previous meeting."

Ahead of tomorrow's Bank of England decision on #InterestRates check our updated 'Monetary Policy Dashboard' and play with our interactive tool 👇

niesr.ac.uk/monetary-pol...
Monetary Policy Dashboard - NIESR
What factors affect the MPC members when they are assessing Bank Rate? Our dashboard contains analysis of the main determinants and likely policy responses.
niesr.ac.uk
February 4, 2026 at 1:18 PM