National Institute of Economic and Social Research
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National Institute of Economic and Social Research
@niesrorg.bsky.social
Founded in 1938, NIESR is Britain’s longest established independent research institute focusing on macroeconomics and social policy.
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🎄✨ Starting today, we’re excited to begin our #NIESRHighlights2025 series! ✨🎄

Each day throughout the festive season, we’ll spotlight our standout publications, blogs, events and much more from 2025 🗓️📖

Stay tuned for today’s first highlights!🌟

#research #economicpolicy #socialpolicy
niesr.ac.uk
November - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Unlocking Economic Growth Through #Climate Commitments 🔓📈🌱

Our webinar where we discussed why the #ParisAgreement goals are becoming increasingly unachievable and the economic consequences of countries' inaction

Watch it back here 👇
Unlocking Economic Growth Through Enhanced Climate Committments - NIESR
With the Paris Agreement goal of limiting global temperature rise to below 1.5c becoming increasingly unachievable, this year's COP30 represents a fundamental turning point for governments to…
niesr.ac.uk
January 3, 2026 at 12:26 PM
November - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our 2025 #AutumnBudget Reaction

We believe the #Budget locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates with a modest fiscal tightening over the forecast 👇
2025 Autumn Budget Reaction - NIESR
Today’s Autumn Budget locks in a high-tax, high-debt steady state in a world of low productivity growth and higher interest rates.
niesr.ac.uk
January 3, 2026 at 9:03 AM
November - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Supporting Schools to Teach Controversial Issues

Amidst concerns about growing political polarisation in the UK, our #report considers the role played by #schools in discussing social and political issues with #children and #youngpeople
Supporting Schools to Teach Controversial Issues - NIESR
There have been a series of reports over the last 25 years highlighting concerns around social cohesion and connection, across difference, especially religious and ethnic difference. Schools are…
niesr.ac.uk
January 2, 2026 at 3:16 PM
October - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our Ben Caswell piece for The Times about the pensions #triplelock, why has become unsustainable for the UK public finances, and how to modify it going forward 🔒🔒🔓
👇👇👇
State Pension Triple Lock is Unsustainable and Must Go - NIESR
The coalition government introduced the triple lock in 2011. It ensures the state pension rises each year by CPI inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5 per cent, whichever is the highest. On…
niesr.ac.uk
January 2, 2026 at 12:09 PM
October - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

We analyzed the #Chancellor's tax options ahead of the #AutumnBudget - Read here the paper👉 niesr.ac.uk/publications...

We then discussed the findings in this webinar with @danneidle.bsky.social - Watch it back here👇

niesr.ac.uk/event/taxing...
Analysing the Chancellor's Tax Options - NIESR
What will be the effect of raising one of the four main taxes in the autumn Budget. A rise in the rate of income tax would appear to be the least damaging.
niesr.ac.uk
January 2, 2026 at 9:37 AM
September - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

The month which saw the beginning of the 'Dean Trench Weekly Memo' from our Director David Aikman

In this #DirectorView he tackled a fundamental question as we approached the #AutumnBudget: is the UK’s public debt position sustainable?
Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic - NIESR
Whilst much of the focus has been on the current UK fiscal rules, a more fundamental question is around the sustainability of UK public debt.
niesr.ac.uk
January 1, 2026 at 3:31 PM
September - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our event on the Dependence on the US #Financial System: Risks and Policy Implications

Panel with Stephen Cecchetti, Sir Jon Cunliffe, and the author Natasha de Terán, chaired by Mehreen Khan

Watch it back here👇
Our Dependence on the US Financial System: Risks and Policy Implications - NIESR
The UK economy is deeply entwined with the US financial system. From VISA in retail payments, to the CME’s central role in global derivatives clearing, to the use of US Treasuries as the world’s safe…
niesr.ac.uk
January 1, 2026 at 11:55 AM
August - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our report exploring the barriers Bangladeshi and Pakistani women face in London's labour market and offering some policy recommendations to address them
👇

@londonassembly.bsky.social
Bangladeshi and Pakistani Women in Good Work - NIESR
Bangladeshi and Pakistani women are among the most underrepresented group in London’s workforce. This report explores the barriers these women face.
niesr.ac.uk
December 31, 2025 at 3:11 PM
August - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

'The #Chancellor's Trilemma': Our quarterly UK Economic Outlook which sparked the public debate around the so called 'fiscal #blackhole' 💥
👇👇👇
UK Economic Outlook: The Chancellor's Trilemma - NIESR
The UK economy enters the second half of 2025 still confronting weak growth and stubborninflationary pressures.
niesr.ac.uk
December 31, 2025 at 11:11 AM
July - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

The first #blog by our new Director David Aikman, analyzing the so called 'Leeds Reforms' - the government’s new financial services strategy - and assessing the extent to which they will achieve their desired aims 👇
A Closer Look at the Leeds Reforms - NIESR
To what extent will the Chancellor's "Leeds Reforms" achieve their aims? We explore some of the implications of the proposed changes to banking regulation.
niesr.ac.uk
December 31, 2025 at 9:03 AM
July - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Assessing #Labour’s First Year - We analyzed the Government’s economic approach and record one year in

Read the #blog 👉 niesr.ac.uk/blog/assessi...

Watch back the event 👇
niesr.ac.uk/event/one-ye...
Assessing Labour's First Year - NIESR
One of the main themes of the year has been the Labour Government consistently talking about economic growth. What has happened on that front? And what indicators are telling is likely to happen in…
niesr.ac.uk
December 30, 2025 at 3:16 PM
July - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

🧁The Great British skills mismatch⚙️

'#Britain has never been more educated, yet skills mismatches, regional divides, and graduate overqualification threaten #productivity', wrote our Larissa Marioni in this piece for @feweek.bsky.social ⬇️
The Great British skills mismatch explored
Why skills mismatches, regional divides, and graduate overqualification threaten productivity
feweek.co.uk
December 30, 2025 at 12:43 PM
July - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our publication with @productivity.bsky.social

"This #labour govt needs a clear set of priorities for long-term economic growth in order to reverse current trends and end the 15 years of poor #productivity it has experienced"

Read it here👇
Joining Up Pro-Productivity Policies in the UK - NIESR
Joining up pro-productivity policies is a huge challenge. These 14 essays contain recommendations to reverse the poor productivity the UK has experienced.
niesr.ac.uk
December 30, 2025 at 8:53 AM
June - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our Public Lecture with Bank of England's MPC member @economistmeg.bsky.social examining the differences in how the main #centralbanks are managing their balance sheets, and whether this impacts their abilities to implement #monetarypolicy👇
Public Lecture with Megan Greene: Monetary Policy Implications of Differences in Central Bank Balance Sheet Management - NIESR
In this speech, Megan will examine the differences in how the Bank of England, ECB and Federal Reserve are managing their balance sheets, whether they provide financial arbitrage opportunities for…
niesr.ac.uk
December 29, 2025 at 3:23 PM
June - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our response to the Comprehensive #SpendingReview where we explored some of the implications of the spending decisions and how they are likely to impact regions and sectors as well as household #livingstandards 👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
Response to the 2025 Comprehensive Spending Review - NIESR
Some implications of the decision's in today's Comprehensive Spending Review, and their likely impact on UK regions and household living standards.
niesr.ac.uk
December 29, 2025 at 12:11 PM
June - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

#Inflation has been one of the most discussed economic topic of the year - Our Huw Dixon provided helpful and accurate insights throughout the year

Read here one of his #blogs👇
Inflation will Remain Above 3 per cent Throughout 2025 and into 2026 - NIESR
Annual CPI Inflation fell slightly in May to 3.4 per cent from 3.5 per cent in April
niesr.ac.uk
December 29, 2025 at 9:21 AM
May - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our inaugural #Sustainability Lecture with Professor Sir Partha Dasgupta talking about 'natural capital' 🌱

Watch it back here 👇
Inaugural Sustainability Lecture with Partha Dasgupta: On Natural Capital - NIESR
For the inaugural lecture from our new Sustainability series, Professor Sir Partha Dasgupta will be speaking on his work around nature and capital.
niesr.ac.uk
December 28, 2025 at 12:48 PM
May - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

#TradeDeals & #TradeWars: The Regional Impact

Our #blog on the implications for UK regions and sectors of higher US #tariffs 👇
Trade Deals & Trade Wars: The Regional Impact - NIESR
What were the implications for UK regions and sectors of President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs? How will with UK-US trade deal help?
niesr.ac.uk
December 28, 2025 at 9:44 AM
April - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our Review Special Issue on the economic impact of #Brexit

We will do new analysis and events as we approach the 10th Anniversary of the Brexit #Referendum, so watch this space! 🗳️
Introduction to the Special Issue on the Economic Impact of Brexit - NIESR
Brexit has cast a long shadow over the UK economy, with its impact masked by the COVID-19 pandemic and the crisis in Ukraine.
niesr.ac.uk
December 27, 2025 at 3:02 PM
April - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our UK #LivingStandards Review 'Part Two' exploring the lived experiences of low-income living

Access the report here 👉 niesr.ac.uk/publications...

Listen to the podcast here👇

@UKRI.org

soundcloud.com/niesr1938/st...
December 27, 2025 at 12:45 PM
April - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our analysis of US 'Liberation Day' #tariffs announcement on the Global econoy - including the US itself - as well as the UK economy 👇
High US Tariffs Could Knock UK GDP Growth Close to Zero Next Year - NIESR
US President Donald Trump is set to announce a comprehensive tariff plan later today. While the scope and extent of these tariffs are yet to be known, previous NIESR research on the impact of tariffs…
niesr.ac.uk
December 27, 2025 at 9:47 AM
March - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our response to the 2025 Spring Statement 💥

"Today’s policy announcements have neither improved the UK’s trend growth outlook nor placed the public finances on a fundamentally more sustainable path"
Response to the 2025 Spring Statement - NIESR
The 2025 Spring Statement was delivered against a background of continuing low growth and above target inflation. Did it deliver what was needed for the economy?
niesr.ac.uk
December 24, 2025 at 2:40 PM
March - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our #LivingStandards Review finding that the poorest parts of the UK are now poorer than the poorest parts of countries like Slovenia 👇

@ukri.org

Access the report here 👉
niesr.ac.uk/publications...

Watch the video here 👇
December 24, 2025 at 11:12 AM
February - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our 'Dow Lecture' with MPC member Swati Dhingra on #trade fragmentation and #MonetaryPolicy

'Between a Shock and a Hard Place'

Watch it back here 👇

@cep-lse.bsky.social
Dow Lecture with Swati Dhingra: Trade Fragmentation and Monetary Policy - NIESR
For the 2025 Dow Lecture, we hosted External MPC Member and LSE Associate Professor Swati Dhingra, who gave a talk on trade fragmentation and monetary policy. About the Speaker  Dr. Dhingra has been…
niesr.ac.uk
December 24, 2025 at 9:32 AM
February - #NIESRHighlights2025⚡

Our #GDP Tracker provided monthly useful insights on economic growth throughout the year, which has been
characterized - as last year - by being a 'tale of two halves' 📊👇

niesr.ac.uk/publications...
An Economy Slowly Returning to Momentum - NIESR
The UK economy wrapped up 2024 on a flat note, with monthly GDP outturn of 0.4 per cent for December and 0.1 per cent for Q4, concluding a disappointing year for growth. Low business and consumer conf...
niesr.ac.uk
December 23, 2025 at 3:01 PM