Claus
@grumpy-66.bsky.social
#OSINT || Naval C2/C3/C4I || #atc || #aviation || Cat Butler || Pneumatische Plastologie
Reposted by Claus
Reminder.
It is extremely unlikely that a grouping of 6 cable breaks in a week are explained by common causes.
A lot of cables break each year, and any one might be from a benign cause. But not this many.
It is extremely unlikely that a grouping of 6 cable breaks in a week are explained by common causes.
A lot of cables break each year, and any one might be from a benign cause. But not this many.
There is an estimated 1 in 10k - 100k years chance that all 8 of the Nov 2024 - Jan 2025 Baltic Sea cable breaks are coincidental.
Background data is hard to get by but no matter which real data or reasonable assumption one picks it is extremely unlikely all 8 of them are explained by chance.
🧵
Background data is hard to get by but no matter which real data or reasonable assumption one picks it is extremely unlikely all 8 of them are explained by chance.
🧵
January 5, 2026 at 6:41 AM
Reminder.
It is extremely unlikely that a grouping of 6 cable breaks in a week are explained by common causes.
A lot of cables break each year, and any one might be from a benign cause. But not this many.
It is extremely unlikely that a grouping of 6 cable breaks in a week are explained by common causes.
A lot of cables break each year, and any one might be from a benign cause. But not this many.
Reposted by Claus
"...und Frieden auf Erden den Menschen von Trumps und Putins Gnaden." -.-
www.der-postillon.com/2025/12/drog...
www.der-postillon.com/2025/12/drog...
December 25, 2025 at 3:06 PM
"...und Frieden auf Erden den Menschen von Trumps und Putins Gnaden." -.-
www.der-postillon.com/2025/12/drog...
www.der-postillon.com/2025/12/drog...
Reposted by Claus
This peace deal only has 3 steps.
1. Russia gets the land
2. Trump gets a bribe
3. Ukraine gets an empty promise
1. Russia gets the land
2. Trump gets a bribe
3. Ukraine gets an empty promise
November 28, 2025 at 5:53 PM
This peace deal only has 3 steps.
1. Russia gets the land
2. Trump gets a bribe
3. Ukraine gets an empty promise
1. Russia gets the land
2. Trump gets a bribe
3. Ukraine gets an empty promise