One way to look at this is through a brand lens: segments of the progressive left cultivate a style of moral confidence and historical inevitability, and that outlook tends to be reinforced internally because it supports group cohesion and motivation.

You say it’s a popularity contest. I say it’s not. A popularity content on Truth Social is only slightly more useless.

Obviously, truth is determined by likes, ratios, and engagement metrics.

Man it’s crazy how much Matty gets under people’s skin. He must be doing something right.

Like it or not Twitter and bluesky are just as detrimental to humanity as TikTok and AI.

As an American living in Europe for a decade: Europe is equally as nutty in its own way… if not more so. People just pay less attention so you hear less criticism from other countries. Also marinading in ethnocultural chauvinism keeps you from being particularly self-critical.

Academic studies have repeatedly demonstrated that prediction markets are actually fairly accurate. For example, the study that showed polymarket was more accurate than pulling.

arxiv.org/html/2507.08...

I tend to believe science, academics, and statistics over motivated Internet bubble reasoning

What’s the point here? As I’ve said it’s far from perfect, even with market manipulation it’s still somewhat valuable.

During the 2024 election everybody around me was sure Harris would win, I assumed the betting market was just full of a bunch of MAGA crypto bros, but it was actually correct.

The motivated rationalization in the comment section is big. Surely prediction markets are far from perfect, but feel free to get on there with your superior wisdom and beat the market if you know better. You can donate the money or whatever to make sure its for a good cause.

Perhaps it would be good to give a concrete example of what you’re talking about so we can actually discuss something factual.

Is this totally bad ass and cool like fight club??

Dems are very definitely serving a buffet of very unpopular food, we can just look at polling on issues. In immigration a huge majority of Democrats thought the border was a major issue by Jan 2024, and all Biden did was one executive order six months later and try one bill, clearly just symbolic.

You people need to get over this. You would rather marinade in schadenfreude than actually beat Trump.

This is more in the range of normal discourse. That’s more useful if the goal is to persuade people who don’t already agree with us, instead of just doing resistance-porn. Ultimately the only way anything changes is by winning votes.

Yeah, the chart definitely points to a double standard, but it’s not exactly cataclysmic. Why does everything on here have to go straight to 11, rhetoric-wise.

Yeah, it’s interesting. If you look at the data beef prices started taking off literally the month Trump took office, and are steeper than any non-Covid time.

It’s crazy how many online Democrats are revulsed by the take that “voters tend to vote in alignment with their viewpoint on issues.”