Affan
feynzz.bsky.social
Affan
@feynzz.bsky.social
Chartered Accountant/Trader/Investor. I invest based on fundamentals only. Addicted to Free Cash Flow. Views are my own, DYOR.
#AVAP.L new note from CG today, all you need to read from it
September 10, 2025 at 7:38 AM
Bofa high yield index at 6.45%..
September 9, 2025 at 3:18 PM
#AVAP.L getting some interest post the AL acquisition announcement. I know Raper and Co have been sellers for a while, interesting to see if another party taking interest although I would quite like the company to buy some more of their own stock at this level before re-fi
September 2, 2025 at 1:12 PM
#AVAP.L Bonds trading at 99.75c on the dollar today almost at par. What does that tell you?
August 21, 2025 at 9:14 AM
#AVAP.L

Again not sure how accurate this is but if true would seem to suggest the B777 deal has completed. Big movement from $303m a few hours earlier. We will probably find out next week.
August 8, 2025 at 3:01 PM
#AVAP.L another $2m down.
July 29, 2025 at 8:41 PM
#AVAP.L Looks like the company has bought back another $5m of their unsecured bonds leaving the outstanding amount at $305m. $25m bought back since April, finance costs already lower by $2.1m p.a before you take into account re-fi etc.
July 25, 2025 at 10:34 AM
#AVAP.L New note from Zeus. The last line says it all.
July 4, 2025 at 6:33 AM
Formally announced yesterday
July 3, 2025 at 11:30 AM
#AVAP.L Incredible!
July 2, 2025 at 12:06 PM
Last week Azorra raised $550m more in the bond market at 7.25% maturing 2031.
July 1, 2025 at 5:47 AM
June 27, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Passenger aircraft listings are down 21% compared to last year June, according to Ishka. Demand remains strong and supply a real issue.
June 24, 2025 at 3:41 PM
#AVAP.L this is from Canaccord's recent note. I reckon Avation is on track to achieve a 150bps to 200bps reduction.

This is such a unique case of buying £1 chips for 50p with significant upward pressure on NAV. Takeover by y/e?
June 23, 2025 at 4:20 PM
#AVAP.L this is interesting
June 13, 2025 at 7:06 AM
June 12, 2025 at 8:39 AM
#AVAP.L I believe the loan associated with the B777 is the "Warehouse Loan", The value outstanding per the May presentation was c$47m. A net cash gain after debt payment and transaction costs suggest they have disposed it off for c$82m. I don't know what BV is and there could have been more debt.
June 11, 2025 at 8:14 PM
#AVAP.L This slide from the new deck is interesting. Suggest #AVAP.L considering reducing the unsecured debt to $250m to $275m. The one obvious way they can do that is by borrowing against their unencumbered aircraft (worth c$140m). Doing so could reduce finance costs by c$1.5m to $2.5m alone.
May 26, 2025 at 9:43 PM
#AVAP.L Not sure how accurate this is but it seems like Avation has bought more of its bonds. There has been a $15m decrease in outstanding value here in the last 2 days. With #AVAP.L only notifying of purchases at the end of quarter we will have to wait and see if this is accurate or not.
May 16, 2025 at 10:59 AM
Aercap quarterly report is worth reading just to get a flavour on what the aircraft secondary market is like atm. Selling at 2.6x book 🤷‍♂️
February 26, 2025 at 2:20 PM
February 4, 2025 at 7:35 PM
#AVAP.L They have posted a new corporate presentation. This chart stands out. Note that Avation's B777-300ER is only 7 years old and will generate c$36m in lease payments until it becomes 10 years old. 40% increase YoY not yet reflected in NAV.
February 1, 2025 at 12:40 PM
#AVAP.L Wow! I wasn't expecting this. The company bought back 7.8m shares (10.5% of the share capital) at 150p (47% discount to NAV). Crazy! Who sold it to them? Still a mystery but we will find out. Sudden boost to NAV. Well I can say I am a happy shareholder.
December 18, 2024 at 7:05 AM
#AVAP.L 7.8m print at 150p. Who could sell these many? that is over 10% of the company? so Rangeley selling? Can't be anyone else. Interesting
December 17, 2024 at 1:58 PM
#AVAP.L Total volume so far today 142k, of which 92% were ATs. Just a large buyer and seller playing games. 2 broker notes days before the AGM. 36% of all shares traded in the last 2 months. AGM next Thursday. A very interesting week ahead.
December 13, 2024 at 2:05 PM