Erin Thead
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erinthead.com
Erin Thead
@erinthead.com
PhD atmospheric scientist 🌩️🌀 | Red Sox fan | National Spelling Bee finalist '97-'98 | MS State alumna | Cat mom 🐈‍⬛🐈‍
https://www.erinthead.com
Reposted by Erin Thead
As a public service, people will find the original pdf files of all the U.S. National Climate Assessments, 2001-2023, publicly available at: www.patrickgonzalez.net#us_national_...
July 15, 2025 at 6:30 PM
They are still up... for now.

Get them and host them. Every private atmospheric scientist's website needs to have these.

repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/61...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
Fifth National Climate AssessmentSearchSearchSearchhomehome
repository.library.noaa.gov
August 7, 2025 at 7:05 PM
And another thing. When you insist that everyone did JUST AS GOOD a job as they would have done with the vacancies filled and the measurements fully available, what others will hear is that that was superfluous, unnecessary spending. You are undermining efforts to get this damage reversed.
July 6, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Y'all.

The talk about probability and predictability is one for conferences and papers. It is NOT WORKING in the public eye. To people who are not knowledgeable about meteorology, it comes across as self-defense-by-obfuscation. I know it's NOT, but that's how it looks to anyone other than us.
July 6, 2025 at 12:51 AM
Reposted by Erin Thead
Here’s another helpful timeline, this one from @coweatherman.bsky.social just to reinforce the early alarm and the successive warnings. The National Weather Service by no means “missed” this.
Flood Watch issued yesterday at 1:18 pm.

WPC had mesoscale discussions throughout the event.

NWS issues Flash Flood Warning at 1:14 am.

NWS issues Flash Flood Emergency at 4:03 am.

NWS was on the ball.

The challenge is always getting the warning the last mile and getting people to respond.
Everyone making comments about DOGE and FEMA as it relates to the Texas flooding is insulting to the NWS employees working this event that were well aware of how bad this was becoming. Plenty of opportunities to use those arguments elsewhere.
July 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM
I also don't think impacts will make a dent in this problem. Helene's impact just set off lunatic conspiracy theories that meteorologists had "controlled" the hurricane to target them.

Fortunately, I don't think these bullheaded unpersuadables are the majority. They just are the ones in power.
July 1, 2025 at 9:01 PM