J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés
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eduardoveravaldes.bsky.social
J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés
@eduardoveravaldes.bsky.social
Associate Professor in Mathematics-Economics at the Department of Mathematical Sciences in Aalborg University.

Research Interests:
Econometrics, time series, long memory, statistical learning, and climate econometrics.

Website: everval.github.io
To coincide with #COP30, we updated the dashboard for "Breaching 1.5C: Give Me the Odds". Latest odds show we’ll likely breach 1.5C soon, but decisive action can delay & shorten time above the target. Every month matters, let's act now everval.github.io/Dashboard-Br...
#ClimateAction #ParisAgreement
November 11, 2025 at 10:42 AM
September 22, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Challenge completed: Presented at EMCC25. Talking climate econometrics is so much fun. #ClimateResesearch
August 27, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Almost in Victoria for EMCC
August 27, 2025 at 12:01 AM
I’ve created a Quarto notebook in Julia that:
– Downloads temperature anomaly datasets from the most used sources (HadCRUT, GISTEMP, NOAAGlobalTemp and Berkeley Earth)
– Adjusts them to a preindustrial baseline (1850–1900) as suggested by the Paris Agreement
– Outputs harmonised CSVs and plots
July 28, 2025 at 7:12 AM
🌍 Paris Agreement Probabilities: Dashboard Update 📊
I’ve just updated the dashboard that estimates the monthly probabilities of breaching the climate goals set by the Paris Agreement to include the latest available data.
In addition, the code has now been improved to automatically fetch new data.
July 10, 2025 at 7:01 AM
A happy snap I took a couple of days ago on my way to the office.
January 13, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Always give me the odds!📊

Climate change communication is crucial to raising awareness and motivating action. In the context of breaching the limits set out by the Paris Agreement, we argue that climate scientists should move away from point estimates and towards reporting probabilities.
December 18, 2024 at 10:40 PM
November 29, 2024 at 5:55 AM
June 21, 2024 at 1:13 PM