John M 🏴🇪🇺
@drjohnm61.bsky.social
Onich, Scotland, Former COO, all for Scottish Independence and rejoin the EU
#RejoinEU #ScottishIndependence
#RejoinEU #ScottishIndependence
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and kick the unionists out. This is what happens when your second vote swings to voting Scottish Greens. 22 more Scottish Green MSPs. That’s 22 fewer Reform, Lab, Tory and LD MSPs. An Indy supporting Parliament with a 59 seat majority. Biggest unionist party in 3rd place
November 17, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and kick the unionists out. This is what happens when your second vote swings to voting Scottish Greens. 22 more Scottish Green MSPs. That’s 22 fewer Reform, Lab, Tory and LD MSPs. An Indy supporting Parliament with a 59 seat majority. Biggest unionist party in 3rd place
Voting SNP 1&2 gifts regional seats to the unionists. Gifts seats to Reform.
November 17, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Voting SNP 1&2 gifts regional seats to the unionists. Gifts seats to Reform.
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and kick the unionists out of the Scottish Parliament
November 17, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and kick the unionists out of the Scottish Parliament
So again you refuse to show the calculations that support your mad assertions. So I have done the simple job that you refuse to do. 54% of the vote. Zero List seats…
November 9, 2025 at 4:52 AM
So again you refuse to show the calculations that support your mad assertions. So I have done the simple job that you refuse to do. 54% of the vote. Zero List seats…
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and decimate the unionists
November 8, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and decimate the unionists
The more SNP voters vote for the Scottish Greens, the fewer unionists. The fewer Reform MSPs
November 8, 2025 at 1:21 PM
The more SNP voters vote for the Scottish Greens, the fewer unionists. The fewer Reform MSPs
B to kick the unionists out
November 8, 2025 at 1:19 PM
B to kick the unionists out
And if every SNP voter voted SNP 1 SG 2, this is what happens: SG +2 seats, Reform -1, Lab -1
November 3, 2025 at 9:07 PM
And if every SNP voter voted SNP 1 SG 2, this is what happens: SG +2 seats, Reform -1, Lab -1
The regional vote is a vote for the region. In Glasgow, regardless where you are, your regional vote decides the list seats for the region. Everyone in Glasgow region needs to vote SNP 1, Scottish Greens 2
November 3, 2025 at 9:07 PM
The regional vote is a vote for the region. In Glasgow, regardless where you are, your regional vote decides the list seats for the region. Everyone in Glasgow region needs to vote SNP 1, Scottish Greens 2
You are welcome. PS, this is what happens in the South if the SNP second vote goes to the Scottish Greens who would pick up 3 seats. One each from the Tories, Labour and Reform. The region is 12 to 5 Nationalist to Unionists:
November 3, 2025 at 8:53 PM
You are welcome. PS, this is what happens in the South if the SNP second vote goes to the Scottish Greens who would pick up 3 seats. One each from the Tories, Labour and Reform. The region is 12 to 5 Nationalist to Unionists:
This is the current list analysis for "South"
With the SNP projected to get 8 constituency seats, their regional vote is divided by 9 (8+1). The last seat goes at 6.33%. The SNP have 3.18% but that delta (3.15) needs to be multiplied by 9. So the SNP gap to the last seat is a whopping 3.15*9=28.35%
With the SNP projected to get 8 constituency seats, their regional vote is divided by 9 (8+1). The last seat goes at 6.33%. The SNP have 3.18% but that delta (3.15) needs to be multiplied by 9. So the SNP gap to the last seat is a whopping 3.15*9=28.35%
November 3, 2025 at 8:45 PM
This is the current list analysis for "South"
With the SNP projected to get 8 constituency seats, their regional vote is divided by 9 (8+1). The last seat goes at 6.33%. The SNP have 3.18% but that delta (3.15) needs to be multiplied by 9. So the SNP gap to the last seat is a whopping 3.15*9=28.35%
With the SNP projected to get 8 constituency seats, their regional vote is divided by 9 (8+1). The last seat goes at 6.33%. The SNP have 3.18% but that delta (3.15) needs to be multiplied by 9. So the SNP gap to the last seat is a whopping 3.15*9=28.35%
The impact of shifting SNP second vote to Scottish Greens. Reform can be knocked into fourth place with just 10 seats and an Indy supporting party as the official opposition. 3/4th Indy supporting MSPs
November 1, 2025 at 11:02 AM
The impact of shifting SNP second vote to Scottish Greens. Reform can be knocked into fourth place with just 10 seats and an Indy supporting party as the official opposition. 3/4th Indy supporting MSPs
If the people of Scotland want to decimate Reform and the Tories then they have to vote tactically on the last seats. The SNP are forecast to get zero List seats so those seats need to go to some other party than reform. Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 is the way to stop the unionists. The result:
November 1, 2025 at 11:02 AM
If the people of Scotland want to decimate Reform and the Tories then they have to vote tactically on the last seats. The SNP are forecast to get zero List seats so those seats need to go to some other party than reform. Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 is the way to stop the unionists. The result:
The SNP aren’t going to get any list seats with the projected number of constituency seats and if they loose that many constituency seats that they gain list seats than they still don’t get 65. So concentrate on the constituency win. Throw out the unionists by voting Scottish Greens 2
October 31, 2025 at 10:38 PM
The SNP aren’t going to get any list seats with the projected number of constituency seats and if they loose that many constituency seats that they gain list seats than they still don’t get 65. So concentrate on the constituency win. Throw out the unionists by voting Scottish Greens 2
Want to keep the Tories and Reform out of Scotland at the Scottish Parliament Elections? Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2. Every extra Green seat is one less unionist
October 31, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Want to keep the Tories and Reform out of Scotland at the Scottish Parliament Elections? Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2. Every extra Green seat is one less unionist
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and this is what the Scottish Parliament could look like. An overwhelming, undeniable, optics and narrative changing super majority of Indy supporting MSPs + the unionists decimated.
October 30, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 and this is what the Scottish Parliament could look like. An overwhelming, undeniable, optics and narrative changing super majority of Indy supporting MSPs + the unionists decimated.
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 for a super majority of Indy supporting MSPs and decimate the unionists in the Scottish Parliament:
October 30, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Vote SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 for a super majority of Indy supporting MSPs and decimate the unionists in the Scottish Parliament:
There is a trend. Note how two companies consistently show NO in the lead. From wiki:
October 28, 2025 at 7:56 AM
There is a trend. Note how two companies consistently show NO in the lead. From wiki:
But asking for SNP 1&2 gets us maximum list 3 seats while decimating the Scottish Greens:
October 27, 2025 at 11:11 AM
But asking for SNP 1&2 gets us maximum list 3 seats while decimating the Scottish Greens:
Update on what the Scottish Parliament could look like if SNP voter voted SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2:
October 27, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Update on what the Scottish Parliament could look like if SNP voter voted SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2:
Edinburgh and Lothian East. SNP predicted to get 5 seats. Round 7 winner is 5.21% SNP are at 4.1%. Delta is 5.21-4.1=1.11*(5+1)=6.66%. This is the one region where actually a small (3.2%) swing voting to Alba would be the best thing. Taking votes from Scottish Greens likely to take a seat from them.
October 26, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Edinburgh and Lothian East. SNP predicted to get 5 seats. Round 7 winner is 5.21% SNP are at 4.1%. Delta is 5.21-4.1=1.11*(5+1)=6.66%. This is the one region where actually a small (3.2%) swing voting to Alba would be the best thing. Taking votes from Scottish Greens likely to take a seat from them.
Swing 85% of the SNP second vote to the Scottish Greens and they get three extra seats (Reform-2, Tory-1) and at last, the region is nationalist controlled.
Vote SNP 1 and Scottish Greens 2 to make H&I a nationalist run region and get rid of 3 unionists including 2 Reform seats.
Vote SNP 1 and Scottish Greens 2 to make H&I a nationalist run region and get rid of 3 unionists including 2 Reform seats.
October 26, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Swing 85% of the SNP second vote to the Scottish Greens and they get three extra seats (Reform-2, Tory-1) and at last, the region is nationalist controlled.
Vote SNP 1 and Scottish Greens 2 to make H&I a nationalist run region and get rid of 3 unionists including 2 Reform seats.
Vote SNP 1 and Scottish Greens 2 to make H&I a nationalist run region and get rid of 3 unionists including 2 Reform seats.
The regional vote is independent of the constituency seat. A second vote is Inverness is counted the same as one in Fort William. The second vote is a regional vote. This is H&I:
The shortfall is 4.26%. If that comes from the Scottish Greens, the SNP get an extra seat but SG's loose one.
The shortfall is 4.26%. If that comes from the Scottish Greens, the SNP get an extra seat but SG's loose one.
October 26, 2025 at 9:21 AM
The regional vote is independent of the constituency seat. A second vote is Inverness is counted the same as one in Fort William. The second vote is a regional vote. This is H&I:
The shortfall is 4.26%. If that comes from the Scottish Greens, the SNP get an extra seat but SG's loose one.
The shortfall is 4.26%. If that comes from the Scottish Greens, the SNP get an extra seat but SG's loose one.
This is the breakdown for North East:
The final seat goes with 7.8% of the vote. The SNP have only 2.56% due to the d'Hondt handicapping. This gives a delta of 7.8-2.56=5.24 but due to getting all 10 seats, thats (10+1)*5.24=57.64% short of getting a list seat. Impossible.
The final seat goes with 7.8% of the vote. The SNP have only 2.56% due to the d'Hondt handicapping. This gives a delta of 7.8-2.56=5.24 but due to getting all 10 seats, thats (10+1)*5.24=57.64% short of getting a list seat. Impossible.
October 26, 2025 at 9:11 AM
This is the breakdown for North East:
The final seat goes with 7.8% of the vote. The SNP have only 2.56% due to the d'Hondt handicapping. This gives a delta of 7.8-2.56=5.24 but due to getting all 10 seats, thats (10+1)*5.24=57.64% short of getting a list seat. Impossible.
The final seat goes with 7.8% of the vote. The SNP have only 2.56% due to the d'Hondt handicapping. This gives a delta of 7.8-2.56=5.24 but due to getting all 10 seats, thats (10+1)*5.24=57.64% short of getting a list seat. Impossible.