Dr Grace
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drgracephd.bsky.social
Dr Grace
@drgracephd.bsky.social
Christian, Musician (Singer), Academic, Mathematician, Political Thinker.
Reposted by Dr Grace
With a combined total of 53 seats (55%), Plaid Cymru and the Green Party would be able to form a clear majority without needing Labour or the Lib Dems at all.

In terms of votes, Plaid and the Greens would win a combined 50% of total votes, up from 25% in 2021.
January 13, 2026 at 8:17 PM
Reposted by Dr Grace
My Seat Model:

PLC: 44
RFM: 26
LAB: 10
CON: 8
GRN: 7
LDM: 1

49 for Majority.
Plaid + Green = 51.
January 13, 2026 at 10:34 PM
Reposted by Dr Grace
🚨 Senedd seat estimate 👇👇

🟢 PLAID: 43 seats (+21)
➡️ REF: 27 seats (+27)
🟢 GRN: 10 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB: 10 seats (-34)
🔵 CON: 5 seats (-25)
🟠 LD: 1 seat (+1)

Based on @YouGov poll, 5-12 Jan
(+/- vs 2021 notional results)
January 13, 2026 at 8:17 PM