Matt Savoca
@draftaholic.bsky.social
Football, games, and data. R truther. Reformed spreadsheet warrior, mediocre crossworder | Prev: 4for4, FantasyFootballers, Stokastic | Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding
Favorite Opto based CPT/MVPs: Mahomes, Worthy, Pachecho
Favorite Vibes based CPT/MVPs: Herbert, Hampton/Harris, Pacheco
Favorite Vibes based CPT/MVPs: Herbert, Hampton/Harris, Pacheco
September 5, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Favorite Opto based CPT/MVPs: Mahomes, Worthy, Pachecho
Favorite Vibes based CPT/MVPs: Herbert, Hampton/Harris, Pacheco
Favorite Vibes based CPT/MVPs: Herbert, Hampton/Harris, Pacheco
Primary questions worth answering when building lineups/props:
- What's the RB market share breakdown between Hampton and Harris? (my guess: 60/40 OH, Harris getting GL work and OH in 2MD).
- Is Ladd ready to be a true WR1 or does someone else (QJ, KLS, or Keenan) step up?
- What's the RB market share breakdown between Hampton and Harris? (my guess: 60/40 OH, Harris getting GL work and OH in 2MD).
- Is Ladd ready to be a true WR1 or does someone else (QJ, KLS, or Keenan) step up?
September 5, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Primary questions worth answering when building lineups/props:
- What's the RB market share breakdown between Hampton and Harris? (my guess: 60/40 OH, Harris getting GL work and OH in 2MD).
- Is Ladd ready to be a true WR1 or does someone else (QJ, KLS, or Keenan) step up?
- What's the RB market share breakdown between Hampton and Harris? (my guess: 60/40 OH, Harris getting GL work and OH in 2MD).
- Is Ladd ready to be a true WR1 or does someone else (QJ, KLS, or Keenan) step up?
Mahomes is a positive regression candidate in terms of production this season. The efficiency numbers dropped in 2024, but only a little bit. EPA and drive success rate numbers looked fine and drops affected CPOE (true for both QBs tbh)
September 5, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Mahomes is a positive regression candidate in terms of production this season. The efficiency numbers dropped in 2024, but only a little bit. EPA and drive success rate numbers looked fine and drops affected CPOE (true for both QBs tbh)
Top opto-based CPTs/MVPs (early runs): Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, DeVonta Smith, Javonte Wiliams
Top vibes-based CPTs/MVPs: Saquon, A.J. Brown
Top vibes-based CPTs/MVPs: Saquon, A.J. Brown
September 4, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Top opto-based CPTs/MVPs (early runs): Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, DeVonta Smith, Javonte Wiliams
Top vibes-based CPTs/MVPs: Saquon, A.J. Brown
Top vibes-based CPTs/MVPs: Saquon, A.J. Brown
Questions to consider when lineup and prop building: Is the DAL running game at all viable? PHI Def capable of overpowering an offense this talented? Does Saquon just dominate for 60min?
September 4, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Questions to consider when lineup and prop building: Is the DAL running game at all viable? PHI Def capable of overpowering an offense this talented? Does Saquon just dominate for 60min?
Dak needs to be better at finishing drives. Say what you will about last year's supporting cast, but he didn't play up to his typical standards evidenced by middling Drive Success/EPA ad CPOE. Philly's def was #3 in Pass Y/A and #1 in Pts/Play allowed.
September 4, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Dak needs to be better at finishing drives. Say what you will about last year's supporting cast, but he didn't play up to his typical standards evidenced by middling Drive Success/EPA ad CPOE. Philly's def was #3 in Pass Y/A and #1 in Pts/Play allowed.
appreciate you man 👊
January 24, 2025 at 3:33 PM
appreciate you man 👊
My full analysis for MNF is live now ($)
Week 11 DraftKings & FanDuel Showdown Plays: Texans vs. Cowboys Monday Night NFL DFS
Welcome to the Showdown Breakdown for Monday Night Football in Week 11 of the 2024 season, where the Houston Texans face off against the Dallas Cowboys in an all-Texas showdown. The Texans come into t...
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November 20, 2024 at 4:51 PM
My full analysis for MNF is live now ($)
Like I am trying to think of a less intelligent response and I don't know if there is, other than maybe the insinuation that the only other way to fix it was building a new stadium - which he also did. at least if JJ had provided garbled gibberish we would be concerned for his health
November 20, 2024 at 4:51 PM
Like I am trying to think of a less intelligent response and I don't know if there is, other than maybe the insinuation that the only other way to fix it was building a new stadium - which he also did. at least if JJ had provided garbled gibberish we would be concerned for his health